IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Howard
Mid-Eastern
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.7	#38
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.4	#356

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.0%	30.6%	7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.3	15.8

.500 or above	26.3%	75.3%	26.3%
.500 or above in Conference	68.7%	94.1%	68.7%
Conference Champion	9.4%	46.2%	9.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.5%	0.0%	4.5%

First Four	4.6%	8.1%	4.6%
First Round	4.2%	25.3%	4.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	9 - 8	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	3	@ Kentucky	L	63-96	0.1%
Nov 11, 2022	196	@ George Washington	L	73-86	11%
Nov 15, 2022	162	James Madison	L	77-85	23%
Nov 18, 2022	62	Wyoming	L	66-86	4%
Nov 26, 2022	254	@ Austin Peay	L	68-78	21%
Nov 30, 2022	146	@ Yale	L	69-85	10%
Dec 03, 2022	328	@ Hampton	L	78-82	39%
Dec 11, 2022	75	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	65-87	4%
Dec 13, 2022	224	Florida International	L	74-79	33%
Dec 18, 2022	167	@ Harvard	L	69-83	13%
Dec 21, 2022	267	Mount St. Mary's	L	69-72	42%
Dec 29, 2022	182	La Salle	L	72-80	27%
Jan 07, 2023	358	Delaware St.	W	86-75	82%
Jan 09, 2023	361	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	77-70	72%
Jan 14, 2023	190	@ Norfolk St.	L	69-82	14%
Jan 21, 2023	287	Morgan St.	L	81-82	48%
Jan 23, 2023	336	Coppin St.	W	84-81	61%
Jan 28, 2023	340	NC Central	W	78-74	64%
Jan 30, 2023	356	South Carolina St.	W	86-76	79%
Feb 11, 2023	358	@ Delaware St.	W	83-78	66%
Feb 13, 2023	361	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	80-67	85%
Feb 18, 2023	336	@ Coppin St.	L	81-84	42%
Feb 20, 2023	287	@ Morgan St.	L	78-85	31%
Feb 25, 2023	340	@ NC Central	L	75-77	45%
Feb 27, 2023	356	@ South Carolina St.	W	83-79	63%
Mar 02, 2023	190	Norfolk St.	L	72-79	28%
Projected Record						10 - 16	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.1	0.8	2.5	3.3	2.2	0.5		9.4	1st
2nd							0.0	0.0	0.8	3.9	7.1	5.4	1.7				19.0	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.2	7.0	8.1	3.5	0.3					21.2	3rd
4th					0.0	0.3	3.2	7.7	5.9	1.5	0.0						18.7	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	3.6	6.3	3.4	0.5	0.0							14.4	5th
6th			0.0	0.6	3.2	4.1	1.5	0.2									9.6	6th
7th		0.0	0.7	2.2	1.9	0.5	0.0										5.4	7th
8th	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0											2.3	8th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.6	3.5	5.8	8.6	11.2	13.5	14.2	13.6	11.4	8.2	5.0	2.2	0.5			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
13-1	100.0%	2.2		1.8	0.4
12-2	66.2%	3.3		1.9	1.4	0.1
11-3	30.2%	2.5		0.8	1.3	0.4	0.0
10-4	6.7%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0
9-5	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%	0.0					0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	9.4%	9.4		5.3	3.3	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.5%		63.8%	63.8%		15.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2
13-1	2.2%		43.8%	43.8%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2
12-2	5.0%		27.7%	27.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	1.1	3.6
11-3	8.2%		18.5%	18.5%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.4	6.7
10-4	11.4%		11.1%	11.1%		16.0																0.1	1.2	10.2
9-5	13.6%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																0.0	0.8	12.8
8-6	14.2%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.0	0.4	13.8
7-7	13.5%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	13.3
6-8	11.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
5-9	8.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.5
4-10	5.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
3-11	3.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
2-12	1.6%																							1.6
1-13	0.6%																							0.6
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.0%	7.0%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.9	5.9	93.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%