Preseason Rankings
Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-16.8#355
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#174
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.1#357
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 1.8% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 14.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.3% 46.1% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 12.7% 51.4% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 7.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 5.3% 39.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 46 - 146 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 28   @ Dayton L 51-83 0.1%   
  Nov 13, 2022 70   @ Missouri L 57-85 1%    
  Nov 18, 2022 301   Lamar L 66-75 23%    
  Nov 19, 2022 331   @ McNeese St. L 71-80 23%    
  Nov 20, 2022 268   Western Carolina L 69-80 17%    
  Nov 23, 2022 324   Idaho St. L 66-70 38%    
  Nov 25, 2022 18   @ Illinois L 55-89 0.2%   
  Dec 03, 2022 289   @ UMKC L 64-76 16%    
  Dec 20, 2022 55   @ BYU L 59-88 1%    
  Dec 22, 2022 253   @ Utah Tech L 55-70 11%    
  Dec 29, 2022 330   @ Eastern Illinois L 65-74 24%    
  Dec 31, 2022 305   Tennessee Tech L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 05, 2023 261   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-78 12%    
  Jan 07, 2023 276   Tennessee St. L 68-76 27%    
  Jan 12, 2023 281   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-85 15%    
  Jan 14, 2023 326   @ SIU Edwardsville L 67-77 22%    
  Jan 19, 2023 339   Southern Indiana L 70-72 45%    
  Jan 21, 2023 187   Morehead St. L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 26, 2023 352   @ Tennessee Martin L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 28, 2023 276   @ Tennessee St. L 65-79 14%    
  Feb 02, 2023 330   Eastern Illinois L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 04, 2023 352   Tennessee Martin W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 09, 2023 326   SIU Edwardsville L 70-74 39%    
  Feb 11, 2023 339   @ Southern Indiana L 67-75 28%    
  Feb 16, 2023 305   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-81 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 187   @ Morehead St. L 58-77 7%    
  Feb 23, 2023 281   Southeast Missouri St. L 75-82 29%    
  Feb 25, 2023 261   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-75 25%    
Projected Record 6 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.1 4.1 1.4 0.2 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.6 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.3 2.8 6.5 7.3 4.1 1.0 0.1 22.2 9th
10th 3.8 7.8 9.0 5.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 29.5 10th
Total 3.8 8.1 11.8 13.1 13.2 11.9 10.3 8.5 6.5 4.7 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 42.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.8% 0.8
12-6 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3
9-9 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.7
8-10 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
7-11 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.5
6-12 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-14 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 13.1% 13.1
2-16 11.8% 11.8
1-17 8.1% 8.1
0-18 3.8% 3.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%