Preseason Rankings
Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-21.3#361
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.2#133
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-14.7#361
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 7.9% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.1% 34.6% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 2.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 44.6% 16.7% 44.9%
First Four0.2% 1.6% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 44 - 124 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 186   @ Old Dominion L 51-75 1%    
  Nov 14, 2022 164   @ Charlotte L 55-79 1%    
  Nov 18, 2022 196   @ George Washington L 58-81 2%    
  Nov 22, 2022 296   Marist L 60-70 19%    
  Nov 25, 2022 20   @ Virginia L 39-77 0.1%   
  Nov 30, 2022 282   Lehigh L 64-75 17%    
  Dec 02, 2022 100   @ Liberty L 50-80 1%    
  Dec 06, 2022 123   @ George Mason L 51-79 1%    
  Dec 10, 2022 7   @ Duke L 50-92 0.0%   
  Dec 20, 2022 93   @ Temple L 51-81 1%    
  Dec 28, 2022 315   @ Columbia L 63-78 11%    
  Jan 07, 2023 190   @ Norfolk St. L 54-78 3%    
  Jan 09, 2023 332   Howard L 70-77 28%    
  Jan 14, 2023 358   Delaware St. W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 21, 2023 356   @ South Carolina St. L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 23, 2023 340   @ NC Central L 61-73 18%    
  Jan 28, 2023 336   Coppin St. L 68-75 30%    
  Jan 30, 2023 287   @ Morgan St. L 63-80 9%    
  Feb 11, 2023 190   Norfolk St. L 57-75 8%    
  Feb 13, 2023 332   @ Howard L 67-80 15%    
  Feb 18, 2023 356   South Carolina St. W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 20, 2023 340   NC Central L 64-70 33%    
  Feb 25, 2023 336   @ Coppin St. L 65-78 16%    
  Feb 27, 2023 287   Morgan St. L 66-77 20%    
  Mar 03, 2023 358   @ Delaware St. L 68-73 35%    
Projected Record 4 - 21 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.4 4.6 1.3 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 7.8 5.8 1.3 0.1 18.3 6th
7th 1.2 7.3 10.5 5.6 0.9 0.0 25.5 7th
8th 7.2 12.2 9.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 32.5 8th
Total 7.2 13.4 17.1 16.7 14.9 11.5 8.1 5.3 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 60.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 39.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
10-4 9.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 61.5% 61.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.3% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-4 0.7% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
9-5 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
8-6 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
7-7 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.3
6-8 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-9 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-10 14.9% 14.9
3-11 16.7% 16.7
2-12 17.1% 17.1
1-13 13.4% 13.4
0-14 7.2% 7.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.0%