IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.7	#307
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.7	#51
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.7	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	11.8%	1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	14.0	15.3

.500 or above	10.9%	59.3%	10.8%
.500 or above in Conference	37.5%	76.4%	37.4%
Conference Champion	1.7%	12.0%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	7.7%	1.9%	7.7%

First Four	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%
First Round	1.5%	10.7%	1.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 0.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 6	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	6	@ Kansas	L	64-94	0.3%
Nov 10, 2022	98	@ Nebraska	L	74-91	6%
Nov 13, 2022	342	Idaho	W	83-76	73%
Nov 16, 2022	200	Ball St.	L	79-83	35%
Nov 21, 2022	29	@ Iowa	L	71-95	2%
Nov 25, 2022	259	Louisiana Monroe	L	76-80	38%
Nov 28, 2022	64	@ Mississippi St.	L	63-84	4%
Dec 03, 2022	79	@ North Texas	L	55-74	5%
Dec 07, 2022	74	@ Drake	L	66-86	5%
Dec 10, 2022	140	@ Montana St.	L	71-84	14%
Dec 19, 2022	346	Denver	W	79-72	73%
Dec 21, 2022	51	@ Iowa St.	L	61-83	4%
Dec 29, 2022	122	Oral Roberts	L	80-89	23%
Dec 31, 2022	289	UMKC	W	76-74	57%
Jan 05, 2023	288	@ Western Illinois	L	79-83	37%
Jan 07, 2023	357	@ St. Thomas	W	78-70	73%
Jan 12, 2023	322	North Dakota	W	80-76	63%
Jan 14, 2023	216	North Dakota St.	L	73-77	38%
Jan 19, 2023	134	@ South Dakota St.	L	76-90	14%
Jan 21, 2023	135	@ South Dakota	L	70-84	14%
Jan 26, 2023	289	@ UMKC	L	73-77	38%
Jan 28, 2023	122	@ Oral Roberts	L	77-92	11%
Feb 02, 2023	357	St. Thomas	W	81-67	85%
Feb 04, 2023	288	Western Illinois	W	82-80	56%
Feb 09, 2023	216	@ North Dakota St.	L	70-80	22%
Feb 11, 2023	322	@ North Dakota	L	77-79	44%
Feb 16, 2023	135	South Dakota	L	73-81	27%
Feb 18, 2023	134	South Dakota St.	L	79-87	27%
Feb 25, 2023	346	@ Denver	W	76-75	54%
Projected Record						9 - 20	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	1.0	0.4	0.0				3.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	1.8	2.5	1.5	0.3	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.3	3.4	3.5	1.7	0.2							10.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.6	3.0	5.3	4.2	1.4	0.1	0.0							14.6	5th
6th						0.1	1.5	4.8	6.0	3.4	0.8	0.0									16.6	6th
7th					0.3	2.4	5.6	5.7	2.4	0.3	0.0										16.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.7	3.3	5.6	4.0	1.1	0.1	0.0											14.9	8th
9th		0.1	1.4	3.4	3.5	1.8	0.4	0.0													10.6	9th
10th	0.3	1.1	1.5	1.1	0.3	0.1															4.4	10th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.9	5.2	7.4	9.9	11.4	12.3	11.7	10.3	8.9	6.8	5.0	3.3	1.8	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	89.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	56.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	26.8%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		25.0%	25.0%		11.5												0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.1%		30.3%	27.8%	2.5%	13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.1		3.5%
16-2	0.4%		23.3%	23.3%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
15-3	0.8%		19.5%	19.2%	0.3%	14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.7		0.4%
14-4	1.8%		13.7%	13.7%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.6
13-5	3.3%		8.9%	8.9%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	3.0
12-6	5.0%		5.1%	5.1%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	4.7
11-7	6.8%		3.5%	3.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	6.6
10-8	8.9%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.7
9-9	10.3%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	10.2
8-10	11.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	11.6
7-11	12.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.3
6-12	11.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-13	9.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.9
4-14	7.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
3-15	5.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.9%	1.9%	0.0%	15.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.1	98.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%