Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#239
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#218
Pace68.5#187
Improvement-0.1#188

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#247
First Shot-4.5#314
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#63
Layup/Dunks-6.0#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#183
Freethrows-0.7#217
Improvement+0.0#140

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#219
First Shot+0.3#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#290
Layups/Dunks-3.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#49
Freethrows-0.1#175
Improvement-0.1#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.4% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 43.3% 61.8% 34.6%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 64.9% 36.8%
Conference Champion 2.6% 5.3% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 3.7% 11.9%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round2.6% 4.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Away) - 31.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 411 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 16   @ West Virginia L 58-76 3%     0 - 1 +1.3 -4.2 +5.4
  Nov 11, 2022 313   @ Coppin St. L 78-83 58%     0 - 2 -11.0 -7.1 -3.4
  Nov 18, 2022 73   @ USC L 74-83 9%     0 - 3 +1.6 +3.1 -1.0
  Nov 20, 2022 285   @ Cal Poly W 73-68 48%     1 - 3 +1.6 +1.7 +0.0
  Nov 22, 2022 228   @ Pacific W 69-65 37%     2 - 3 +3.4 -4.2 +7.7
  Nov 26, 2022 170   @ Navy L 59-75 26%     2 - 4 -13.1 -6.9 -7.7
  Dec 01, 2022 206   @ St. Peter's L 63-68 32%    
  Dec 03, 2022 225   Rider W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 06, 2022 235   American W 69-66 60%    
  Dec 10, 2022 295   Loyola Maryland W 70-64 73%    
  Dec 18, 2022 294   Robert Morris W 71-65 72%    
  Dec 21, 2022 323   @ Howard W 74-71 62%    
  Dec 30, 2022 212   @ Niagara L 62-66 34%    
  Jan 01, 2023 293   @ Canisius W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 08, 2023 310   @ Marist W 64-62 56%    
  Jan 13, 2023 265   Manhattan W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 15, 2023 150   Quinnipiac L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 20, 2023 191   @ Siena L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 22, 2023 310   Marist W 67-59 76%    
  Jan 26, 2023 236   Fairfield W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 28, 2023 206   St. Peter's W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 03, 2023 83   @ Iona L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 05, 2023 150   @ Quinnipiac L 66-74 23%    
  Feb 10, 2023 191   Siena W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 12, 2023 236   @ Fairfield L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 17, 2023 212   Niagara W 65-63 56%    
  Feb 19, 2023 293   Canisius W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 24, 2023 83   Iona L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 26, 2023 225   @ Rider L 68-71 38%    
  Mar 04, 2023 265   @ Manhattan L 68-70 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.3 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 4.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.0 1.0 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.0 4.4 1.1 0.1 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.5 4.6 1.3 0.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.6 1.2 0.1 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 3.7 1.1 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 5.7 8.0 10.1 11.8 12.7 12.0 10.5 8.7 6.3 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 89.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 82.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.6% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 30.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 11.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 21.6% 21.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.5% 28.1% 28.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.2% 17.5% 17.5% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0
15-5 2.4% 13.1% 13.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
14-6 4.0% 9.3% 9.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.6
13-7 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.9
12-8 8.7% 4.1% 4.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 8.4
11-9 10.5% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 10.1
10-10 12.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.1 0.2 11.7
9-11 12.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.5
8-12 11.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.6
7-13 10.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-14 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
5-15 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-16 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.2 97.0 0.0%