Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#249
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#300
Pace67.5#216
Improvement+0.3#25

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#243
First Shot-0.7#189
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#283
Layup/Dunks+0.0#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#241
Freethrows-3.4#337
Improvement+0.2#24

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#236
First Shot-4.6#305
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#44
Layups/Dunks+1.3#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#304
Freethrows+1.4#115
Improvement+0.0#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.5% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 31.6% 47.8% 22.7%
.500 or above in Conference 71.6% 86.9% 63.2%
Conference Champion 8.9% 15.9% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four2.4% 2.7% 2.2%
First Round3.6% 5.1% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Away) - 35.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 10
Quad 410 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 21   @ Ohio St. L 53-91 3%     0 - 1 -20.6 -15.9 -4.7
  Nov 19, 2022 72   @ Dayton L 51-60 9%     0 - 2 +1.7 -6.4 +7.0
  Nov 25, 2022 197   Mercer L 66-72 39%     0 - 3 -7.4 -12.3 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2022 313   Evansville L 53-54 67%     0 - 4 -9.9 -12.8 +2.8
  Nov 27, 2022 144   South Alabama L 70-84 28%     0 - 5 -12.4 +2.9 -16.2
  Dec 01, 2022 186   @ Wright St. W 80-59 27%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +23.1 +11.2 +12.6
  Dec 03, 2022 222   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-66 35%    
  Dec 07, 2022 243   @ Central Michigan L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 10, 2022 93   Marshall L 71-78 27%    
  Dec 18, 2022 205   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-71 31%    
  Dec 21, 2022 322   St. Francis (PA) W 74-65 80%    
  Dec 29, 2022 216   Purdue Fort Wayne W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 31, 2022 191   Cleveland St. L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 05, 2023 147   @ Youngstown St. L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 09, 2023 359   IUPUI W 77-61 92%    
  Jan 12, 2023 307   @ Oakland W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 14, 2023 177   @ Detroit Mercy L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 19, 2023 226   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 21, 2023 362   @ Green Bay W 72-62 82%    
  Jan 27, 2023 177   Detroit Mercy L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 29, 2023 307   Oakland W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 02, 2023 222   Northern Kentucky W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 04, 2023 186   Wright St. L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 10, 2023 191   @ Cleveland St. L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 12, 2023 216   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 16, 2023 362   Green Bay W 75-59 93%    
  Feb 18, 2023 226   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 21, 2023 147   Youngstown St. L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 23, 2023 359   @ IUPUI W 74-64 80%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.2 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 5.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 5.4 4.8 0.9 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.9 4.8 0.9 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.5 4.5 3.6 0.9 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.1 7.9 10.6 12.8 13.6 13.1 11.5 9.0 5.6 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
17-3 92.7% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
16-4 76.6% 2.7    1.7 0.9 0.1
15-5 45.2% 2.5    0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.2    0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.9% 8.9 4.8 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 46.4% 46.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 24.1% 24.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
17-3 1.7% 17.7% 17.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
16-4 3.5% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.0
15-5 5.6% 12.3% 12.3% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.9
14-6 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 8.1
13-7 11.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.8
12-8 13.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.5
11-9 13.6% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 13.3
10-10 12.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.6
9-11 10.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.5
8-12 7.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
6-14 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.3 95.3 0.0%