Big South
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
125 High Point 39.9%   14   22 - 6 13 - 2 23 - 6 14 - 2 +2.8      +6.1 40 -3.3 269 70.7 116 +4.5 109 +6.9 1
159 UNC Asheville 18.7%   16 - 11 11 - 4 17 - 11 12 - 4 +0.4      +1.5 133 -1.1 205 70.1 136 +1.2 146 +2.6 2
168 Winthrop 15.6%   14 - 13 8 - 7 15 - 13 9 - 7 -0.3      +1.2 148 -1.5 219 68.1 197 -1.4 184 -2.3 4
194 Longwood 8.9%   14 - 13 5 - 10 14 - 14 5 - 11 -2.0      -1.0 208 -1.1 202 67.2 222 -3.9 240 -7.5 9
199 Gardner-Webb 7.7%   12 - 15 10 - 5 12 - 16 10 - 6 -2.3      -1.7 225 -0.6 188 72.9 62 -1.5 192 +0.8 3
228 Radford 5.5%   13 - 15 5 - 10 13 - 16 5 - 11 -3.3      +1.1 153 -4.3 312 61.5 344 -3.2 227 -7.2 7
279 Presbyterian 1.9%   10 - 17 5 - 10 11 - 17 6 - 10 -6.0      -1.8 229 -4.1 299 67.5 216 -6.8 288 -6.0 6
286 South Carolina Upstate 1.5%   7 - 19 5 - 11 7 - 19 5 - 11 -6.5      -3.7 275 -2.8 259 67.5 217 -7.2 295 -7.2 8
317 Charleston Southern 0.4%   7 - 18 6 - 9 7 - 19 6 - 10 -9.2      -6.6 333 -2.6 250 66.2 251 -7.2 294 -4.5 5






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 2.0 100.0
Winthrop 4.0 100.0
Longwood 6.4 31.2 20.1 29.2 19.6
Gardner-Webb 2.8 15.2 84.8
Radford 6.3 34.2 21.5 27.8 16.5
Presbyterian 5.5 72.2 8.3 14.0 5.5
South Carolina Upstate 7.6 8.3 35.5 41.6 14.6
Charleston Southern 5.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 43.0 57.0
UNC Asheville 12 - 4 47.4 52.6
Winthrop 9 - 7 31.9 68.1
Longwood 5 - 11 57.0 43.0
Gardner-Webb 10 - 6 68.1 31.9
Radford 5 - 11 52.6 47.4
Presbyterian 6 - 10 27.8 72.2
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 11 100.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 72.2 27.8




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 100.0% 100.0
UNC Asheville
Winthrop
Longwood
Gardner-Webb
Radford
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Charleston Southern


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 39.9% 39.9% 0.0% 14   0.0 1.9 16.8 18.7 2.4 0.0 60.1 0.0%
UNC Asheville 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.8 9.2 7.4 0.3 81.3 0.0%
Winthrop 15.6% 15.6% 0.0% 0.1 3.3 10.3 2.0 84.4 0.0%
Longwood 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 0.1 2.6 6.2 91.1 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.7% 7.7% 0.0% 0.5 7.2 92.3 0.0%
Radford 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 5.1 94.5 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.5 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
High Point 39.9% 0.0% 39.9% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 18.7% 0.0% 18.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 15.6% 0.3% 15.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 8.9% 3.1% 7.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 7.7% 5.0% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 5.5% 3.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 93.0% 0.9 7.0 93.0
2nd Round 5.5% 0.1 94.5 5.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0