High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#226
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Pace72.6#97
Improvement+1.8#42

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#88
First Shot+2.5#107
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks-4.1#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#115
Freethrows+4.2#17
Improvement+0.8#98

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#342
First Shot-6.5#348
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#165
Layups/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#234
Freethrows-4.1#342
Improvement+1.0#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 9.7% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 52.9% 56.5% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.5% 63.6% 49.1%
Conference Champion 11.0% 11.7% 6.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 5.3% 9.5%
First Four2.0% 2.0% 1.9%
First Round8.1% 8.8% 4.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 85.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 64 - 8
Quad 411 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 266   @ Wofford L 98-99 48%     0 - 1 -3.6 +11.4 -14.9
  Nov 14, 2023 267   @ Queens L 72-74 48%     0 - 2 -4.6 -0.7 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2023 158   Iona W 82-68 36%     1 - 2 +14.4 +13.9 +1.4
  Nov 21, 2023 231   Illinois St. W 74-72 51%     2 - 2 -1.5 +7.0 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2023 106   Hofstra L 92-97 OT 24%     2 - 3 -0.9 +10.2 -10.6
  Nov 29, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 87-76 85%    
  Dec 02, 2023 298   @ North Florida W 81-80 54%    
  Dec 05, 2023 144   Western Carolina L 79-80 45%    
  Dec 08, 2023 360   N.C. A&T W 92-76 93%    
  Dec 16, 2023 94   @ Georgia L 73-84 15%    
  Dec 19, 2023 101   UNC Greensboro L 73-78 33%    
  Dec 22, 2023 221   Canisius W 79-76 59%    
  Dec 30, 2023 210   Bellarmine W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 03, 2024 160   @ Radford L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 06, 2024 177   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 10, 2024 214   UNC Asheville W 80-78 58%    
  Jan 17, 2024 297   @ Presbyterian W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 20, 2024 344   Charleston Southern W 84-72 85%    
  Jan 24, 2024 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 27, 2024 175   @ Winthrop L 77-83 31%    
  Jan 31, 2024 192   Longwood W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 03, 2024 297   Presbyterian W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 07, 2024 214   @ UNC Asheville L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 10, 2024 177   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 14, 2024 286   South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 17, 2024 160   Radford L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 24, 2024 344   @ Charleston Southern W 81-75 69%    
  Feb 28, 2024 175   Winthrop W 81-80 51%    
  Mar 02, 2024 192   @ Longwood L 73-78 34%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.4 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 11.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.4 6.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.5 6.4 2.0 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.8 2.3 0.1 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.1 2.2 0.1 13.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.7 1.7 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.8 2.6 0.8 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.5 7.1 10.5 12.8 14.3 13.8 12.2 9.4 6.2 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
14-2 97.5% 1.6    1.4 0.2
13-3 85.7% 2.9    2.1 0.8 0.1
12-4 54.7% 3.4    1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 23.4% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1
10-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.0% 11.0 6.2 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 46.2% 46.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.6% 43.0% 43.0% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.4% 31.5% 31.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 2.3
12-4 6.2% 21.6% 21.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 4.9
11-5 9.4% 15.6% 15.6% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 8.0
10-6 12.2% 11.2% 11.2% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 10.8
9-7 13.8% 8.6% 8.6% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 12.6
8-8 14.3% 6.1% 6.1% 15.8 0.2 0.7 13.5
7-9 12.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.4
6-10 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.3
5-11 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.0
4-12 4.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-13 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.0 3.3 91.0 0.0%