Radford
Big South
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#160
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#126
Pace63.0#324
Improvement-0.7#248

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#191
First Shot-2.9#260
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#62
Layup/Dunks-3.3#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#179
Freethrows-4.0#348
Improvement+0.1#177

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#147
First Shot+0.3#167
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#150
Layups/Dunks-3.4#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#109
Freethrows-0.8#241
Improvement-0.7#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 28.1% 20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 82.1% 90.3% 75.9%
.500 or above in Conference 85.9% 89.2% 83.4%
Conference Champion 30.7% 35.7% 26.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.9% 1.9%
First Four1.3% 0.9% 1.6%
First Round23.3% 27.7% 19.9%
Second Round1.9% 2.5% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 414 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 12   @ North Carolina L 70-86 5%     0 - 1 +2.6 +3.4 -0.5
  Nov 10, 2023 170   Marshall W 66-62 52%     1 - 1 +3.7 -5.3 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2023 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 50-73 19%     1 - 2 -13.7 -13.2 -1.8
  Nov 17, 2023 67   @ James Madison L 73-76 16%     1 - 3 +8.0 +4.5 +3.4
  Nov 21, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 82-72 86%     2 - 3 -1.3 +2.3 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2023 282   Northern Colorado W 79-68 74%     3 - 3 +4.6 +2.5 +2.1
  Nov 29, 2023 181   @ Old Dominion L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 03, 2023 294   Elon W 76-66 83%    
  Dec 09, 2023 273   NC Central W 69-60 80%    
  Dec 12, 2023 332   VMI W 78-64 91%    
  Dec 16, 2023 324   @ Bucknell W 68-61 74%    
  Dec 20, 2023 102   @ West Virginia L 62-69 25%    
  Dec 29, 2023 46   @ Clemson L 62-75 11%    
  Jan 03, 2024 226   High Point W 77-71 72%    
  Jan 10, 2024 192   @ Longwood L 65-66 46%    
  Jan 13, 2024 175   @ Winthrop L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 17, 2024 177   Gardner-Webb W 65-61 64%    
  Jan 20, 2024 286   South Carolina Upstate W 73-63 81%    
  Jan 24, 2024 214   @ UNC Asheville L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 297   Presbyterian W 72-62 83%    
  Jan 31, 2024 344   Charleston Southern W 75-60 91%    
  Feb 03, 2024 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 10, 2024 297   @ Presbyterian W 69-65 66%    
  Feb 14, 2024 175   Winthrop W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 17, 2024 226   @ High Point W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 21, 2024 177   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 24, 2024 192   Longwood W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 28, 2024 344   @ Charleston Southern W 72-63 78%    
  Mar 02, 2024 214   UNC Asheville W 72-66 69%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.5 8.4 8.7 6.2 2.6 0.6 30.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.8 8.1 5.4 1.4 0.2 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.3 7.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 5.8 2.3 0.2 11.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.2 4.5 1.9 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.8 0.1 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.2 3.8 6.6 9.5 12.8 15.0 14.7 14.2 10.1 6.4 2.6 0.6 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 100.0% 2.6    2.6 0.0
14-2 97.2% 6.2    5.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 86.2% 8.7    6.4 2.2 0.1
12-4 59.4% 8.4    4.2 3.4 0.8 0.0
11-5 23.9% 3.5    0.7 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
10-6 3.8% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 30.7% 30.7 20.3 7.8 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 69.8% 67.8% 2.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 6.3%
15-1 2.6% 57.5% 57.5% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 1.1
14-2 6.4% 49.4% 49.4% 13.3 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.2
13-3 10.1% 40.9% 40.9% 13.7 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.0
12-4 14.2% 33.3% 33.3% 14.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 1.1 0.1 9.4
11-5 14.7% 25.2% 25.2% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.3 11.0
10-6 15.0% 18.7% 18.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 0.5 12.2
9-7 12.8% 13.7% 13.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 11.0
8-8 9.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.7
7-9 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 6.1
6-10 3.8% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.6
5-11 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 2.2
4-12 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 5.5 8.2 5.9 2.7 76.2 0.0%