Gardner-Webb
Big South
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#177
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#193
Pace70.9#139
Improvement+0.5#151

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#262
First Shot-6.0#323
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#42
Layup/Dunks+0.0#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#323
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement+1.7#58

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#106
First Shot+1.1#138
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#92
Layups/Dunks+1.8#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#16
Freethrows-3.0#318
Improvement-1.3#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 18.7% 14.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 53.7% 60.4% 35.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.2% 83.3% 75.7%
Conference Champion 23.7% 25.7% 18.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four3.7% 3.3% 4.8%
First Round16.2% 17.6% 12.6%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 73.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 49 - 314 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 46   @ Arkansas L 68-86 10%     0 - 1 -4.6 -6.6 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2023 7   @ Baylor L 62-77 4%     0 - 2 +4.5 -9.0 +14.3
  Nov 17, 2023 117   Weber St. W 62-61 36%     1 - 2 +4.1 +5.4 -1.1
  Nov 18, 2023 127   Colgate L 52-59 38%     1 - 3 -4.5 -14.4 +9.2
  Nov 19, 2023 91   Yale L 70-71 OT 28%     1 - 4 +4.5 -6.0 +10.5
  Nov 29, 2023 255   @ Queens L 80-83 56%     1 - 5 -5.1 +0.0 -4.8
  Dec 02, 2023 149   Western Carolina W 82-77 56%     2 - 5 +2.8 +1.5 +0.9
  Dec 06, 2023 243   Wofford W 76-70 73%    
  Dec 16, 2023 114   Appalachian St. L 65-69 34%    
  Dec 19, 2023 208   @ Chattanooga L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 21, 2023 113   @ Akron L 64-71 25%    
  Dec 30, 2023 93   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-71 20%    
  Jan 06, 2024 205   @ High Point L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 10, 2024 353   Charleston Southern W 76-60 93%    
  Jan 13, 2024 290   Presbyterian W 74-65 81%    
  Jan 17, 2024 164   @ Radford L 64-68 38%    
  Jan 20, 2024 176   Winthrop W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 24, 2024 190   @ Longwood L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 27, 2024 271   South Carolina Upstate W 74-66 78%    
  Jan 31, 2024 209   UNC Asheville W 74-69 65%    
  Feb 07, 2024 290   @ Presbyterian W 71-68 63%    
  Feb 10, 2024 205   High Point W 77-73 66%    
  Feb 14, 2024 353   @ Charleston Southern W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 17, 2024 271   @ South Carolina Upstate W 71-69 59%    
  Feb 21, 2024 164   Radford W 67-65 59%    
  Feb 24, 2024 209   @ UNC Asheville L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 28, 2024 190   Longwood W 70-66 63%    
  Mar 02, 2024 176   @ Winthrop L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.2 7.2 6.8 4.0 1.4 0.4 23.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 5.1 7.9 4.3 1.0 0.1 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.4 7.2 3.1 0.3 15.5 3rd
4th 0.3 3.6 6.8 2.5 0.2 13.3 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 5.5 2.2 0.1 10.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 4.1 2.1 0.2 8.9 6th
7th 0.4 1.4 2.5 1.4 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.4 2.7 5.4 8.7 11.8 14.1 15.4 14.3 11.9 7.8 4.1 1.4 0.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
14-2 98.5% 4.0    3.6 0.4
13-3 87.8% 6.8    5.0 1.7 0.1
12-4 60.7% 7.2    3.5 3.1 0.6 0.0
11-5 22.3% 3.2    0.6 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
10-6 4.2% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 23.7% 23.7 14.5 6.9 1.8 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 63.4% 63.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.4% 54.4% 54.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6
14-2 4.1% 42.3% 42.3% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4
13-3 7.8% 39.4% 39.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.0 4.7
12-4 11.9% 26.4% 26.4% 14.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.2 8.8
11-5 14.3% 21.2% 21.2% 15.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 0.9 11.3
10-6 15.4% 14.9% 14.9% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.3 13.1
9-7 14.1% 10.9% 10.9% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 12.6
8-8 11.8% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.0
7-9 8.7% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.7 8.0
6-10 5.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 5.2
5-11 2.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-12 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 17.5% 17.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.1 5.1 5.4 82.5 0.0%