Winthrop
Big South
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#168
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#184
Pace68.1#197
Improvement-1.8#267

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#148
First Shot+0.5#167
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#132
Layup/Dunks-1.2#224
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#213
Freethrows+5.7#1
Improvement-1.2#257

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#219
First Shot-1.5#222
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks-2.5#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows-2.5#321
Improvement-0.6#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.6% 16.7% 13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 1.0%
First Round15.5% 16.7% 12.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 23   @ Clemson L 56-78 7%     0 - 1 -6.2 -8.7 +2.0
  Nov 11, 2023 134   Drexel L 72-74 51%     0 - 2 -2.6 +4.7 -7.5
  Nov 17, 2023 348   Holy Cross W 89-51 92%     1 - 2 +21.9 +11.8 +12.3
  Nov 18, 2023 361   IUPUI W 74-61 96%     2 - 2 -7.3 -4.8 -2.0
  Nov 19, 2023 314   Elon W 78-70 85%     3 - 2 -3.2 +2.4 -5.1
  Nov 24, 2023 79   @ Georgia L 69-78 17%     3 - 3 +0.8 +4.5 -4.2
  Dec 02, 2023 308   @ Coastal Carolina W 90-87 69%     4 - 3 -2.4 +14.9 -17.3
  Dec 05, 2023 259   Queens W 88-82 76%     5 - 3 -1.7 -3.5 +1.0
  Dec 10, 2023 211   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 85-68 49%     6 - 3 +17.0 +13.5 +4.0
  Dec 16, 2023 50   @ Xavier L 59-75 12%     6 - 4 -3.3 -3.6 -0.8
  Dec 19, 2023 53   @ South Carolina L 62-72 12%     6 - 5 +2.5 +1.2 +0.4
  Dec 22, 2023 74   @ Florida St. L 61-67 16%     6 - 6 +4.2 -10.6 +15.2
  Jan 03, 2024 194   Longwood W 68-60 OT 67%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +3.3 -13.0 +15.6
  Jan 06, 2024 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 82-80 OT 63%     8 - 6 2 - 0 -1.8 +4.3 -6.2
  Jan 10, 2024 279   @ Presbyterian W 81-71 61%     9 - 6 3 - 0 +6.8 +11.3 -3.8
  Jan 13, 2024 228   Radford W 92-88 3OT 71%     10 - 6 4 - 0 -2.0 -2.4 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2024 159   UNC Asheville L 77-82 58%     10 - 7 4 - 1 -7.4 -0.7 -6.5
  Jan 20, 2024 199   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-79 48%     10 - 8 4 - 2 -4.6 +1.0 -5.6
  Jan 24, 2024 317   @ Charleston Southern W 78-59 73%     11 - 8 5 - 2 +12.5 +4.1 +8.4
  Jan 27, 2024 125   High Point L 81-83 48%     11 - 9 5 - 3 -1.9 +5.9 -7.9
  Feb 03, 2024 159   @ UNC Asheville L 78-82 37%     11 - 10 5 - 4 -0.9 +3.3 -4.1
  Feb 07, 2024 317   Charleston Southern W 67-46 86%     12 - 10 6 - 4 +9.1 -6.9 +16.9
  Feb 10, 2024 194   @ Longwood L 74-84 46%     12 - 11 6 - 5 -9.3 +1.9 -11.3
  Feb 15, 2024 228   @ Radford W 85-69 51%     13 - 11 7 - 5 +15.4 +17.5 -0.5
  Feb 21, 2024 279   Presbyterian L 55-78 79%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -31.7 -18.1 -15.8
  Feb 24, 2024 286   South Carolina Upstate W 83-74 80%     14 - 12 8 - 6 -0.2 +7.7 -7.7
  Feb 28, 2024 125   @ High Point L 96-100 OT 29%     14 - 13 8 - 7 +1.6 +5.4 -3.1
  Mar 02, 2024 199   Gardner-Webb W 77-72 68%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 31.9 68.1 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 31.9 68.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 68.1% 16.7% 16.7% 14.7 0.1 3.2 7.8 0.2 56.7
8-8 31.9% 13.3% 13.3% 15.4 0.0 2.5 1.7 27.7
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 15.6% 15.6% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 3.3 10.3 2.0 84.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 68.1% 16.7% 14.7 0.2 4.7 11.5 0.3
Lose Out 31.9% 13.3% 15.4 0.1 7.7 5.5