UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#146
Pace70.1#136
Improvement+4.4#28

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#133
First Shot+1.2#154
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#158
Layup/Dunks-2.0#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+3.7#13
Improvement+2.8#45

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#205
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#217
Layups/Dunks-5.6#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#57
Freethrows-1.5#284
Improvement+1.6#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.7% 20.6% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round18.7% 20.6% 16.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 67 - 9
Quad 49 - 217 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 108   @ Michigan L 74-99 26%     0 - 1 -18.1 +1.2 -18.6
  Nov 11, 2023 126   UNC Wilmington L 66-83 51%     0 - 2 -16.9 -12.7 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2023 160   Lipscomb L 75-86 51%     0 - 3 -10.8 -7.6 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2023 187   Wofford W 85-82 OT 58%     1 - 3 +1.4 -4.1 +5.0
  Nov 26, 2023 140   Western Kentucky W 77-67 45%     2 - 3 +11.7 +7.9 +4.0
  Dec 05, 2023 255   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-79 OT 59%     2 - 4 -5.0 -6.6 +1.9
  Dec 09, 2023 132   @ Western Carolina L 63-78 33%     2 - 5 -10.0 -2.8 -8.3
  Dec 13, 2023 6   Auburn L 62-87 5%     2 - 6 -6.0 -0.8 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2023 306   South Carolina St. W 79-75 85%     3 - 6 -6.6 +4.0 -10.5
  Dec 21, 2023 82   Appalachian St. W 76-63 26%     4 - 6 +20.0 +8.6 +11.4
  Dec 23, 2023 255   Kennesaw St. W 79-70 77%     5 - 6 +1.6 -2.8 +4.0
  Dec 29, 2023 117   @ UAB L 85-90 29%     5 - 7 +1.2 +14.6 -13.4
  Jan 03, 2024 286   South Carolina Upstate W 95-67 82%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +18.8 +14.5 +3.2
  Jan 06, 2024 279   @ Presbyterian W 84-80 64%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +0.8 +12.6 -11.7
  Jan 10, 2024 125   @ High Point L 79-84 31%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +0.6 -2.5 +3.5
  Jan 13, 2024 194   Longwood W 65-61 69%     8 - 8 3 - 1 -0.7 -6.8 +6.3
  Jan 18, 2024 168   @ Winthrop W 82-77 42%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +7.4 +6.5 +0.8
  Jan 24, 2024 228   Radford W 81-69 73%     10 - 8 5 - 1 +6.0 +8.8 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2024 317   @ Charleston Southern W 71-65 74%     11 - 8 6 - 1 -0.5 +1.7 -1.8
  Jan 31, 2024 199   @ Gardner-Webb L 73-80 50%     11 - 9 6 - 2 -6.6 +1.5 -8.2
  Feb 03, 2024 168   Winthrop W 82-78 63%     12 - 9 7 - 2 +1.0 +4.1 -3.2
  Feb 07, 2024 125   High Point W 86-81 51%     13 - 9 8 - 2 +5.1 +3.5 +1.3
  Feb 10, 2024 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-64 66%     14 - 9 9 - 2 +9.2 +1.7 +7.3
  Feb 14, 2024 279   Presbyterian W 71-69 80%     15 - 9 10 - 2 -6.7 +0.0 -6.5
  Feb 17, 2024 317   Charleston Southern W 86-55 87%     16 - 9 11 - 2 +19.1 +6.3 +11.7
  Feb 21, 2024 194   @ Longwood L 75-80 49%     16 - 10 11 - 3 -4.3 +5.5 -10.0
  Feb 24, 2024 199   Gardner-Webb L 77-78 70%     16 - 11 11 - 4 -6.1 +4.6 -10.7
  Mar 02, 2024 228   @ Radford W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 47.4 52.6 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 47.4 52.6 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 52.6% 20.6% 20.6% 14.1 0.0 1.6 6.3 2.8 0.1 41.8
11-5 47.4% 16.6% 16.6% 14.6 0.2 2.9 4.6 0.2 39.5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 1.8 9.2 7.4 0.3 81.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 52.6% 20.6% 14.1 0.1 3.0 12.0 5.4 0.1
Lose Out 47.4% 16.6% 14.6 0.4 6.1 9.7 0.5