Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#317
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#294
Pace66.2#251
Improvement+4.3#31

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#333
First Shot-4.4#300
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#311
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement-2.3#299

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#250
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks-4.8#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#24
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+6.6#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 44 - 87 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 241   North Florida L 70-81 40%     0 - 1 -17.7 -6.5 -11.4
  Nov 17, 2023 70   @ North Carolina St. L 53-87 4%     0 - 2 -23.3 -13.8 -10.5
  Nov 20, 2023 322   @ Bethune-Cookman L 73-79 41%     0 - 3 -12.9 +1.4 -14.7
  Nov 24, 2023 21   @ Wake Forest L 56-71 2%     0 - 4 +1.1 -5.5 +5.4
  Nov 28, 2023 273   @ The Citadel L 52-81 27%     0 - 5 -31.8 -22.1 -9.7
  Dec 02, 2023 306   South Carolina St. W 66-64 55%     1 - 5 -8.6 -9.9 +1.4
  Dec 13, 2023 247   North Alabama L 64-76 42%     1 - 6 -19.1 -13.3 -6.0
  Dec 16, 2023 53   @ South Carolina L 69-73 3%     1 - 7 +8.5 +14.8 -7.0
  Dec 19, 2023 99   @ Loyola Chicago L 59-72 6%     1 - 8 -4.4 +0.9 -7.0
  Dec 29, 2023 9   @ North Carolina L 60-105 1%     1 - 9 -25.2 -4.1 -19.6
  Jan 03, 2024 279   Presbyterian L 61-68 48%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -15.7 -14.3 -1.7
  Jan 06, 2024 194   @ Longwood L 56-77 18%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -20.3 -13.6 -7.8
  Jan 10, 2024 199   @ Gardner-Webb W 86-74 18%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +12.4 +9.8 +2.0
  Jan 13, 2024 286   South Carolina Upstate W 77-70 50%     3 - 11 2 - 2 -2.2 +10.7 -12.0
  Jan 20, 2024 125   @ High Point L 79-86 9%     3 - 12 2 - 3 -1.4 +3.5 -4.9
  Jan 24, 2024 168   Winthrop L 59-78 27%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -22.0 -16.5 -5.5
  Jan 27, 2024 159   UNC Asheville L 65-71 26%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -8.4 -6.0 -2.8
  Jan 31, 2024 228   @ Radford W 63-60 21%     4 - 14 3 - 5 +2.4 -6.3 +9.0
  Feb 03, 2024 194   Longwood W 83-77 33%     5 - 14 4 - 5 +1.3 +4.2 -3.2
  Feb 07, 2024 168   @ Winthrop L 46-67 14%     5 - 15 4 - 6 -18.6 -25.0 +5.6
  Feb 14, 2024 199   Gardner-Webb L 77-85 34%     5 - 16 4 - 7 -13.1 -2.6 -10.0
  Feb 17, 2024 159   @ UNC Asheville L 55-86 13%     5 - 17 4 - 8 -27.9 -19.5 -7.4
  Feb 21, 2024 286   @ South Carolina Upstate W 63-60 30%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -0.8 -8.2 +7.5
  Feb 24, 2024 125   High Point L 59-74 19%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -14.9 -15.4 -0.2
  Feb 28, 2024 228   Radford W 58-57 38%     7 - 18 6 - 9 -5.0 -10.2 +5.4
  Mar 02, 2024 279   @ Presbyterian L 66-72 28%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 72.2 27.8 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 72.2 27.8 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 27.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 27.6
6-10 72.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.2 72.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 27.8% 0.5% 16.0 0.5
Lose Out 72.2% 0.3% 16.0 0.3