Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#60
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#248
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#61
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#51
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 7.6% 7.6% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 14.6% 14.7% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.8% 38.0% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.3% 35.5% 11.9%
Average Seed 7.2 7.2 7.8
.500 or above 68.9% 69.3% 31.5%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 41.3% 18.7%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 10.7% 29.6%
First Four4.7% 4.7% 3.2%
First Round35.4% 35.6% 12.7%
Second Round20.6% 20.8% 5.3%
Sweet Sixteen8.5% 8.6% 2.2%
Elite Eight3.6% 3.6% 1.7%
Final Four1.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 99.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 11
Quad 35 - 112 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 353   Alabama St. W 80-55 99%    
  Nov 10, 2023 169   Eastern Washington W 78-66 87%    
  Nov 14, 2023 265   Detroit Mercy W 81-63 95%    
  Nov 17, 2023 117   Sam Houston St. W 69-60 80%    
  Nov 22, 2023 138   @ Temple W 69-65 64%    
  Nov 28, 2023 61   North Carolina St. W 74-71 61%    
  Dec 02, 2023 27   Memphis L 74-75 48%    
  Dec 05, 2023 250   Mount St. Mary's W 74-57 93%    
  Dec 10, 2023 81   @ Central Florida L 65-66 48%    
  Dec 16, 2023 105   California W 67-62 66%    
  Dec 19, 2023 218   Troy W 76-61 90%    
  Dec 23, 2023 152   Southern Miss W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 31, 2023 208   Bryant W 83-69 88%    
  Jan 06, 2024 7   @ Tennessee L 60-70 19%    
  Jan 10, 2024 36   Florida W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 13, 2024 87   Vanderbilt W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 17, 2024 56   @ LSU L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 20, 2024 23   @ Auburn L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 24, 2024 17   Arkansas L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 27, 2024 22   @ Texas A&M L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 30, 2024 37   Mississippi St. W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 03, 2024 23   Auburn L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 06, 2024 89   @ South Carolina W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 13, 2024 13   @ Kentucky L 65-74 23%    
  Feb 17, 2024 52   Missouri W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 21, 2024 37   @ Mississippi St. L 61-66 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 89   South Carolina W 69-63 70%    
  Feb 28, 2024 12   Alabama L 74-77 40%    
  Mar 02, 2024 52   @ Missouri L 71-75 38%    
  Mar 05, 2024 73   @ Georgia L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 09, 2024 22   Texas A&M L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.3 0.8 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.3 1.4 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.2 1.6 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.2 13th
14th 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.4 14th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.8 4.6 7.0 9.1 10.5 11.6 11.8 10.7 9.2 7.6 5.4 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.2% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 38.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 39.1% 60.9% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 32.6% 67.4% 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.3% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 3.4 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.8% 99.6% 11.4% 88.2% 4.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 5.4% 96.8% 8.2% 88.5% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.5%
11-7 7.6% 90.3% 6.5% 83.9% 7.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 89.7%
10-8 9.2% 77.6% 5.0% 72.5% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 2.1 76.4%
9-9 10.7% 55.8% 4.7% 51.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.7 53.6%
8-10 11.8% 25.8% 3.2% 22.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.8 23.3%
7-11 11.6% 8.3% 1.8% 6.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 6.6%
6-12 10.5% 2.7% 1.6% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.2 1.1%
5-13 9.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.1%
4-14 7.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 4.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
2-16 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-17 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 37.8% 3.9% 33.9% 7.2 0.9 1.5 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 62.2 35.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 77.8 22.2