IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.2	#259
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#81
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#246

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.3%	24.3%	13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.8	15.3

.500 or above	58.9%	84.5%	57.0%
.500 or above in Conference	75.0%	89.1%	73.9%
Conference Champion	18.4%	31.8%	17.4%
Last Place in Conference	3.3%	0.8%	3.4%

First Four	4.2%	3.6%	4.3%
First Round	12.1%	22.4%	11.3%
Second Round	0.5%	1.4%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 6.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 7	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	72	@ Dayton	L	58-74	7%
Nov 13, 2023	52	@ Missouri	L	68-86	5%
Nov 16, 2023	307	Denver	W	77-74	59%
Nov 17, 2023	284	Nicholls St.	W	77-76	55%
Nov 19, 2023	177	@ South Alabama	L	66-74	24%
Nov 25, 2023	265	Detroit Mercy	W	77-74	62%
Dec 01, 2023	218	@ Troy	L	69-75	31%
Dec 06, 2023	340	Green Bay	W	75-66	78%
Dec 10, 2023	234	@ Ball St.	L	72-76	35%
Dec 21, 2023	100	@ Bradley	L	62-75	14%
Dec 29, 2023	332	Eastern Illinois	W	76-68	76%
Dec 31, 2023	317	Western Illinois	W	76-69	71%
Jan 04, 2024	275	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	78-80	43%
Jan 11, 2024	344	Southern Indiana	W	80-71	79%
Jan 13, 2024	220	Morehead St.	W	68-67	52%
Jan 18, 2024	356	@ Lindenwood	W	76-71	68%
Jan 20, 2024	308	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	78-79	50%
Jan 27, 2024	289	Tennessee Tech	W	75-70	65%
Feb 01, 2024	275	Arkansas Little Rock	W	81-77	63%
Feb 03, 2024	282	Tennessee Martin	W	81-77	64%
Feb 08, 2024	220	@ Morehead St.	L	65-70	33%
Feb 10, 2024	344	@ Southern Indiana	W	77-74	61%
Feb 15, 2024	356	Lindenwood	W	79-68	83%
Feb 17, 2024	308	Southeast Missouri St.	W	82-76	69%
Feb 22, 2024	289	@ Tennessee Tech	L	72-73	46%
Feb 24, 2024	262	@ Tennessee St.	L	76-79	41%
Feb 27, 2024	332	@ Eastern Illinois	W	73-71	57%
Mar 02, 2024	317	@ Western Illinois	W	73-72	52%
Projected Record						14 - 14	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.7	2.6	4.3	4.9	3.6	1.7	0.6		18.4	1st
2nd											0.1	1.0	3.8	5.4	3.9	1.3	0.2	0.0			15.7	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.2	4.5	5.2	2.4	0.5	0.0					13.9	3rd
4th									0.1	1.1	4.2	4.3	1.7	0.2	0.0						11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	3.5	4.2	1.4	0.1								9.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.9	3.9	1.0	0.1									8.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.1	3.6	1.2	0.1										7.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.6	2.4	1.0	0.1											5.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.2	2.0	0.9	0.1												4.5	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.3	0.6	0.1													3.1	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0														1.8	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.7	3.0	4.5	6.0	8.4	9.8	10.8	11.3	11.6	10.6	8.6	6.2	3.7	1.7	0.6			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	99.9%	1.7		1.7	0.0
16-2	95.7%	3.6		3.1	0.5	0.0
15-3	78.7%	4.9		3.6	1.2	0.1
14-4	49.7%	4.3		2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	24.1%	2.6		0.7	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	6.1%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.7%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.4%	18.4		12.0	4.9	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		71.8%	71.7%	0.1%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2		0.3%
17-1	1.7%		63.1%	63.1%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.6
16-2	3.7%		51.8%	51.8%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.3	1.8
15-3	6.2%		39.5%	39.5%		15.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	0.7	3.8
14-4	8.6%		28.5%	28.5%		15.5														0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	6.2
13-5	10.6%		20.8%	20.8%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	8.4
12-6	11.6%		13.7%	13.7%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.3	10.0
11-7	11.3%		8.8%	8.8%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	10.3
10-8	10.8%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.2
9-9	9.8%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.4
8-10	8.4%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.3
7-11	6.0%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	5.9
6-12	4.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
5-13	3.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
4-14	1.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
3-15	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	15.2											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.0	4.0	7.4	85.7		0.0%