Preseason Rankings
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#87
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.3#224
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#60
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 4.5% 4.6% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 17.2% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.9% 15.4% 4.1%
Average Seed 8.2 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 44.0% 45.4% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 17.5% 18.0% 7.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.0% 28.1% 45.7%
First Four2.8% 2.9% 1.1%
First Round15.2% 15.7% 4.4%
Second Round7.5% 7.8% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 45 - 14
Quad 33 - 18 - 15
Quad 46 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 322   Presbyterian W 76-58 95%    
  Nov 10, 2023 273   South Carolina Upstate W 79-64 92%    
  Nov 14, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro W 71-65 70%    
  Nov 17, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 88-69 96%    
  Nov 23, 2023 61   North Carolina St. L 73-76 39%    
  Nov 29, 2023 103   Boston College W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 02, 2023 338   Alabama A&M W 80-60 96%    
  Dec 06, 2023 92   San Francisco W 74-71 62%    
  Dec 16, 2023 41   Texas Tech L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 19, 2023 205   Western Carolina W 78-67 82%    
  Dec 23, 2023 27   @ Memphis L 72-82 21%    
  Dec 30, 2023 243   Dartmouth W 79-66 87%    
  Jan 06, 2024 12   Alabama L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 09, 2024 56   @ LSU L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 13, 2024 60   @ Mississippi L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 17, 2024 23   Auburn L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 20, 2024 37   @ Mississippi St. L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 27, 2024 7   Tennessee L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 31, 2024 23   @ Auburn L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 03, 2024 52   Missouri L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 06, 2024 13   Kentucky L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 10, 2024 89   @ South Carolina L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 13, 2024 22   Texas A&M L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 17, 2024 7   @ Tennessee L 60-73 13%    
  Feb 21, 2024 73   Georgia W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 24, 2024 36   @ Florida L 68-77 24%    
  Feb 27, 2024 17   @ Arkansas L 68-79 18%    
  Mar 02, 2024 56   LSU L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 06, 2024 13   @ Kentucky L 65-77 16%    
  Mar 09, 2024 36   Florida L 71-74 42%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.9 1.6 0.0 0.0 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 13.4 12th
13th 0.4 2.3 5.2 5.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 16.8 13th
14th 1.8 4.4 5.9 4.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 19.3 14th
Total 1.8 4.8 8.3 11.2 12.7 12.9 12.0 10.4 8.4 6.2 4.6 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 89.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 17.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 64.9% 35.1% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.0% 82.0% 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 15.4% 84.6% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.0% 98.7% 8.4% 90.3% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.6%
12-6 1.7% 98.5% 6.8% 91.7% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.4%
11-7 3.0% 91.2% 8.1% 83.1% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 90.4%
10-8 4.6% 77.4% 5.2% 72.2% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 76.2%
9-9 6.2% 53.5% 3.7% 49.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 51.8%
8-10 8.4% 24.9% 3.0% 21.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 22.5%
7-11 10.4% 7.2% 2.1% 5.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 5.2%
6-12 12.0% 2.3% 1.9% 0.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.7 0.4%
5-13 12.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.7
4-14 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
3-15 11.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
2-16 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.3
1-17 4.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.7
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 16.7% 2.1% 14.6% 8.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 83.3 14.9%