Preseason Rankings
Wichita St.
American Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#95
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#235
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#79
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 2.1% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 14.4% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.0% 8.3% 2.4%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 11.3
.500 or above 68.1% 73.9% 46.2%
.500 or above in Conference 63.3% 66.9% 49.7%
Conference Champion 6.3% 7.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.6% 6.3%
First Four2.6% 2.9% 1.6%
First Round11.2% 12.9% 4.8%
Second Round4.7% 5.4% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 79.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 8
Quad 35 - 38 - 11
Quad 47 - 115 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 184   Lipscomb W 77-68 79%    
  Nov 09, 2023 172   Western Kentucky W 73-65 77%    
  Nov 16, 2023 270   @ Coastal Carolina W 75-67 76%    
  Nov 25, 2023 248   Norfolk St. W 74-61 87%    
  Nov 29, 2023 129   Richmond W 69-63 69%    
  Dec 03, 2023 52   @ Missouri L 69-77 25%    
  Dec 09, 2023 151   South Dakota St. W 71-67 63%    
  Dec 16, 2023 171   Southern Illinois W 67-59 75%    
  Dec 21, 2023 32   Kansas St. L 68-75 28%    
  Dec 30, 2023 1   Kansas L 64-78 11%    
  Jan 04, 2024 90   North Texas W 59-57 58%    
  Jan 07, 2024 138   @ Temple W 67-66 50%    
  Jan 14, 2024 27   Memphis L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 18, 2024 25   @ Florida Atlantic L 65-76 18%    
  Jan 21, 2024 145   @ South Florida W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 24, 2024 146   East Carolina W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 28, 2024 101   SMU W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 31, 2024 233   @ Tulsa W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 03, 2024 27   @ Memphis L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 07, 2024 249   Texas San Antonio W 78-65 85%    
  Feb 11, 2024 25   Florida Atlantic L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 15, 2024 146   @ East Carolina W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 18, 2024 156   @ Charlotte W 62-61 53%    
  Feb 21, 2024 233   Tulsa W 76-64 83%    
  Feb 25, 2024 138   Temple W 69-63 69%    
  Feb 28, 2024 77   @ UAB L 70-75 35%    
  Mar 02, 2024 178   Rice W 78-70 75%    
  Mar 08, 2024 99   @ Tulane L 74-77 41%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 3.1 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.5 3.5 0.6 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 4.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.5 1.7 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.3 2.4 0.2 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.1 0.1 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.1 3.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.7 4.8 7.0 8.6 10.9 11.6 12.0 11.4 9.9 7.5 5.5 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.3% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 89.0% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
15-3 63.9% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 30.5% 1.7    0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
13-5 6.9% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 99.6% 35.1% 64.5% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
17-1 0.6% 97.0% 37.0% 59.9% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
16-2 1.6% 84.4% 20.7% 63.6% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 80.3%
15-3 3.1% 68.7% 20.7% 48.0% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.0 60.6%
14-4 5.5% 46.0% 14.4% 31.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 36.9%
13-5 7.5% 27.0% 11.5% 15.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.4 17.5%
12-6 9.9% 14.6% 8.9% 5.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.5 6.3%
11-7 11.4% 8.0% 6.4% 1.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.8%
10-8 12.0% 4.7% 4.5% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4 0.2%
9-9 11.6% 3.0% 2.8% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3 0.1%
8-10 10.9% 2.9% 2.9% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.6
7-11 8.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.4
6-12 7.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 4.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.6% 5.9% 6.6% 9.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 2.0 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 87.4 7.0%