IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Rice
American Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.3	#178
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.6	#65
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.7	#97

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	2.2%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.5	12.2	14.1

.500 or above	45.2%	53.5%	26.4%
.500 or above in Conference	37.4%	42.5%	25.6%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	11.8%	9.4%	17.4%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	1.6%	2.0%	0.6%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 69.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 3	4 - 5	5 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 3	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	219	Harvard	W	75-70	69%
Nov 15, 2023	15	@ Texas	L	68-86	5%
Nov 21, 2023	122	Indiana St.	L	79-82	39%
Nov 22, 2023	55	New Mexico	L	79-89	19%
Nov 24, 2023	97	UC Irvine	L	74-79	32%
Nov 30, 2023	282	Tennessee Martin	W	87-78	79%
Dec 02, 2023	360	Houston Christian	W	92-74	94%
Dec 06, 2023	4	@ Houston	L	61-81	4%
Dec 13, 2023	348	Incarnate Word	W	83-68	90%
Dec 16, 2023	337	@ Northwestern St.	W	79-72	74%
Dec 20, 2023	326	Prairie View	W	80-68	86%
Dec 22, 2023	176	Louisiana	W	79-76	59%
Jan 03, 2024	99	@ Tulane	L	80-88	25%
Jan 06, 2024	249	Texas San Antonio	W	83-76	73%
Jan 12, 2024	145	@ South Florida	L	74-79	33%
Jan 16, 2024	156	Charlotte	W	68-66	56%
Jan 20, 2024	138	@ Temple	L	71-76	33%
Jan 24, 2024	25	Florida Atlantic	L	72-82	21%
Jan 27, 2024	233	Tulsa	W	80-74	70%
Jan 31, 2024	27	@ Memphis	L	74-90	9%
Feb 03, 2024	249	@ Texas San Antonio	W	80-79	55%
Feb 07, 2024	101	SMU	L	77-79	45%
Feb 10, 2024	145	South Florida	W	77-76	54%
Feb 17, 2024	233	@ Tulsa	W	77-76	51%
Feb 21, 2024	77	@ UAB	L	76-86	20%
Feb 24, 2024	146	East Carolina	W	76-75	54%
Feb 28, 2024	138	Temple	W	74-73	52%
Mar 02, 2024	95	@ Wichita St.	L	70-78	25%
Mar 06, 2024	156	@ Charlotte	L	65-69	37%
Mar 09, 2024	90	North Texas	L	62-65	40%
Projected Record						14 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd												0.1	0.6	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.1				3.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.9	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.0					4.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.1	2.6	1.8	0.4	0.0						5.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	2.9	2.4	0.5	0.0							6.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.1	3.3	0.8	0.1								7.7	6th
7th								0.2	2.3	4.2	1.4	0.0									8.1	7th
8th							0.1	1.7	4.6	2.2	0.2										8.8	8th
9th						0.0	1.0	4.2	3.4	0.4	0.0										9.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.7	3.7	4.3	0.8	0.0											9.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.5	2.9	4.6	1.4	0.1												9.6	11th
12th			0.0	0.5	2.7	4.4	1.8	0.1													9.5	12th
13th		0.0	0.7	2.7	3.7	1.7	0.2	0.0													9.1	13th
14th	0.3	1.2	2.3	2.1	0.8	0.2	0.0														6.9	14th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.0	5.4	7.7	9.9	11.4	12.1	11.6	10.7	8.9	6.8	5.0	3.2	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	80.8%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-3	55.0%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	25.6%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		51.6%	25.8%	25.8%	8.2					0.0				0.0	0.0								0.0		34.8%
17-1	0.1%		79.9%	11.6%	68.3%	7.4					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		77.2%
16-2	0.3%		50.9%	16.1%	34.9%	9.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		41.5%
15-3	0.8%		20.5%	7.7%	12.9%	10.4						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.6		14.0%
14-4	1.6%		12.5%	8.4%	4.1%	11.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				1.4		4.5%
13-5	3.2%		7.0%	5.5%	1.5%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			2.9		1.6%
12-6	5.0%		4.1%	4.0%	0.1%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			4.8		0.1%
11-7	6.8%		2.2%	2.2%		12.9												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.7
10-8	8.9%		1.8%	1.8%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.7
9-9	10.7%		1.6%	1.6%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.5
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.5
7-11	12.1%		0.5%	0.5%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.0
6-12	11.4%		0.7%	0.7%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.4
5-13	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
4-14	7.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
3-15	5.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
2-16	3.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.7%	1.4%	0.4%	12.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.2	98.3		0.4%