Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#222
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#288
Pace65.3#292
Improvement+4.8#3

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#322
First Shot-5.6#331
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#178
Layup/Dunks-4.0#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#130
Freethrows-3.7#347
Improvement+1.9#51

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#105
First Shot+2.2#97
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#214
Layups/Dunks-0.9#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#77
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+2.9#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 7.0% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 12.9% 27.7% 8.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 59.3% 31.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 9.3% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.7% 9.7% 22.6%
First Four1.2% 1.7% 1.0%
First Round3.3% 6.4% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 22.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 48 - 610 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 171 Siena L 46-62 51%     0 - 1 -19.9 -25.2 +4.5
  Sun, Nov 9 175 Vermont L 84-89 2OT 52%     0 - 2 -9.1 -5.3 -3.0
  Wed, Nov 12 288 @Boston University L 77-90 51%     0 - 3 -16.9 +5.8 -23.9
  Fri, Nov 14 227 Hampton L 63-72 63%     0 - 4 -16.0 -6.0 -10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 311 Holy Cross W 68-49 78%     1 - 4 +7.2 -1.7 +11.7
  Thu, Nov 20 239 @Stony Brook L 70-80 41%     1 - 5 -11.4 +0.1 -11.9
  Sun, Nov 23 335 @Maine W 58-53 66%     2 - 5 -2.8 -10.5 +8.0
  Wed, Nov 26 338 @New Hampshire W 59-47 66%     3 - 5 +4.2 -10.6 +15.6
  Tue, Dec 2 116 @Rhode Island L 56-66 17%     3 - 6 -3.6 -8.5 +4.2
  Fri, Dec 5 299 Bryant W 75-56 74%     4 - 6 +8.6 +1.4 +8.0
  Tue, Dec 9 73 @Providence L 79-86 9%     4 - 7 +3.8 +1.5 +2.9
  Mon, Jan 5 78 Yale L 67-75 22%    
  Sat, Jan 10 254 @Penn L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 133 Columbia L 68-70 41%    
  Mon, Jan 19 162 Cornell L 77-78 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 257 @Princeton L 64-65 46%    
  Fri, Jan 30 200 Harvard W 66-64 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 208 Dartmouth W 71-69 59%    
  Fri, Feb 6 78 @Yale L 64-78 10%    
  Fri, Feb 13 200 @Harvard L 63-67 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 208 @Dartmouth L 68-72 38%    
  Fri, Feb 20 257 Princeton W 67-62 68%    
  Fri, Feb 27 133 @Columbia L 65-73 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 162 @Cornell L 74-80 28%    
  Fri, Mar 6 254 Penn W 73-68 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 3.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.0 5.8 2.5 0.3 12.8 3rd
4th 0.3 4.8 7.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.5 9.7 2.7 0.2 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 8.8 3.2 0.1 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.9 6.9 3.0 0.2 14.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 3.6 4.5 1.7 0.1 11.4 8th
Total 0.2 1.3 4.2 8.8 13.0 16.8 18.1 15.0 10.7 6.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 86.3% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
11-3 66.1% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 30.2% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-5 6.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.4% 30.8% 30.8% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
11-3 1.4% 17.9% 17.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
10-4 3.4% 15.6% 15.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.9
9-5 6.6% 13.7% 13.7% 15.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 5.7
8-6 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.7 0.3 0.7 9.8
7-7 15.0% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 14.2
6-8 18.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 18.0
5-9 16.8% 16.8
4-10 13.0% 13.0
3-11 8.8% 8.8
2-12 4.2% 4.2
1-13 1.3% 1.3
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%