IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-6.8	#280
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.9	#325

Pace	65.3	#269
Improvement	-0.4	#207

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#349	D-	C	D-	D-	C+
Defense	#128	C+	C	C	D+	C

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	42%	#99	1.01	#340	-1.3	#230
2 Pt. Jumpers	18%	#231	0.60	#350	-2.5	#297
Three Pointers	41%	#192	0.89	#330	-2.8	#279
1st FG Attempt			0.89	#350	-6.6	#350
Freethrows	0.24	#340	71%	#225	0.17	#338
Second Chance	29.2%	#227	1.02	#184	0.30	#209
Turnovers					19.8%	#339
Total Offense					-8.0	#349

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	40%	#134	1.11	#117	-0.2	#183
2 Pt. Jumpers	21%	#165	0.86	#326	-1.3	#288
Three Pointers	39%	#254	0.91	#49	+3.3	#56
1st FG Attempt			0.98	#116	+1.8	#119
Freethrows	0.32	#227	76%	#343	0.24	#277
Second Chance	30.6%	#174	1.02	#163	0.31	#165
Turnovers					16.9%	#163
Total Defense					+1.3	#128

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	1.2%	#111	0.2%	#183
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-13.8%	#358	-3.8%	#101
Possession Length	17.7	#225	17.3	#198
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.14	#263	0.20	#291
Improvement	-0.9	#231	+0.6	#153

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.3%	3.4%	0.1%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	94.8%	81.8%	95.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 5.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 8	7 - 18

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Fri, Nov 7	178 Siena	L	46 - 62	41%	-12	0 - 1		-20	-27	F	F	F	+6	A	C	A-
Sun, Nov 9	211 Vermont	L	84 - 89 2OT	47%	+3	0 - 2		-11	-4	C+	F	D	-6	A-	D+	D-
Wed, Nov 12	289 @Boston University	L	77 - 90	41%	-14	0 - 3		-17	+6	D	A	D+	-24	F	F	C+
Fri, Nov 14	251 Hampton	L	63 - 72	56%	-4	0 - 4		-17	-6	B+	C+	F	-12	B-	F	C
Tue, Nov 18	323 Holy Cross	W	68 - 49	72%	+12	1 - 4		+6	-1	C	B+	F	+10	B	A-	B+
Thu, Nov 20	219 @Stony Brook	L	70 - 80	27%	-9	1 - 5		-10	+0	B-	B	F+	-11	D+	F	F+
Sun, Nov 23	346 @Maine	W	58 - 53	58%	+8	2 - 5		-4	-11	F	C+	F	+7	D+	B+	A-
Wed, Nov 26	320 @New Hampshire	W	59 - 47	50%	+5	3 - 5		+5	-11	D+	D	F	+17	A+	B-	B
Tue, Dec 2	111 @Rhode Island	L	56 - 66	11%	-4	3 - 6		-3	-8	F	C-	C	+4	A	D	C
Fri, Dec 5	347 Bryant	W	75 - 56	78%	+12	4 - 6		+4	-1	C	C-	C	+6	C-	A+	C+
Tue, Dec 9	67 @Providence	L	79 - 86	6%	-6	4 - 7		+4	+1	D	C	B-	+4	B	B+	A-
Mon, Jan 5	79 Yale	L	53 - 70	15%	-3	4 - 8	0 - 1	-13	-21	F	D	D-	+8	B	B	A+
Sat, Jan 10	180 @Penn	L	73 - 81	22%	-1	4 - 9	0 - 2	-6	+3	C-	B-	C-	-10	D-	A	F+
Sat, Jan 17	182 Columbia	W	86 - 80 OT	42%	-1	5 - 9	1 - 2	+1	+6	B-	D+	C+	-5	A	F	D-
Mon, Jan 19	174 Cornell	L	67 - 89	40%	-13	5 - 10	1 - 3	-26	-15	D-	F	F	-11	D-	C	D-
Sat, Jan 24	214 @Princeton	L	53 - 63	26%	-1	5 - 11	1 - 4	-10	-14	F	B+	D+	+3	A+	B-	F
Fri, Jan 30	165 Harvard	L	59 - 69	37%	-5	5 - 12	1 - 5	-13	-7	F	A	C	-8	F+	A+	B+
Sat, Jan 31	229 Dartmouth	L	70 - 77 OT	50%	-4	5 - 13	1 - 6	-14	-11	F	B-	F	-3	C+	B+	C-
Fri, Feb 6	79 @Yale	L	61 - 78	6%
Fri, Feb 13	165 @Harvard	L	59 - 68	19%
Sat, Feb 14	229 @Dartmouth	L	67 - 73	29%
Fri, Feb 20	214 Princeton	L	64 - 65	48%
Fri, Feb 27	182 @Columbia	L	65 - 73	22%
Sat, Feb 28	174 @Cornell	L	75 - 84	21%
Fri, Mar 6	180 Penn	L	68 - 70	42%
Totals						7 - 18	3 - 11	-7	-8	D-	C	D-	+1	C+	C	C

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0	Total
1st																	1st
2nd								0.0	0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd							0.0	0.1								0.2	3rd
4th							0.4	0.1								0.5	4th
5th						0.3	0.8	0.0								1.1	5th
6th					0.2	2.4	0.5									3.0	6th
7th				0.7	5.7	3.6	0.1									10.1	7th
8th		12.6	28.2	30.4	12.8	1.0										85.0	8th

Total		12.6	28.2	31.2	18.6	7.3	1.8	0.3	0.0								Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6	0.0%
7-7	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6	0.0%																			0.0		0.0
7-7	0.3%	3.3%	3.3%		16.0																0.0	0.3
6-8	1.8%	0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	1.8
5-9	7.3%																					7.3
4-10	18.6%																					18.6
3-11	31.2%																					31.2
2-12	28.2%																					28.2
1-13	12.6%																					12.6
0-14

Total	100%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	15.8																	100.0	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	12.6%