Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#297
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#302
Pace66.1#233
Improvement-1.7#272

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#272
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#234
Layup/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#289
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement+1.2#124

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#304
First Shot-5.7#336
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#75
Layups/Dunks-0.9#207
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#292
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement-2.9#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.0% 1.5% 10.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 11.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 21 - 61 - 13
Quad 32 - 43 - 17
Quad 44 - 77 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 147   San Jose St. W 80-67 20%     1 - 0 +13.9 +3.9 +9.6
  Nov 11, 2024 193   @ Hawaii L 66-76 21%     1 - 1 -9.3 -4.3 -5.2
  Nov 14, 2024 251   Northern Arizona L 57-60 48%     1 - 2 -10.6 -17.3 +6.5
  Nov 18, 2024 35   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -3.9 +2.9 -5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 21   @ Missouri L 56-91 2%     1 - 4 -16.4 -5.6 -13.1
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 89%     2 - 4 -9.3 -1.7 -7.4
  Nov 30, 2024 324   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 67%     3 - 4 -3.5 -7.4 +4.7
  Dec 02, 2024 100   @ Colorado L 66-75 8%     3 - 5 -1.7 -2.6 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2024 132   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 13%     3 - 6 -6.8 -6.7 -1.3
  Dec 14, 2024 97   @ UNLV L 65-72 8%     3 - 7 +0.5 -0.2 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2024 213   Portland St. L 75-81 40%     3 - 8 -11.4 -3.2 -7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 263   Idaho L 72-95 51%     3 - 9 -31.2 -3.9 -28.6
  Dec 28, 2024 30   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 2%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +7.1 +4.0 +2.0
  Dec 30, 2024 312   @ San Diego L 65-75 43%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -16.3 -9.1 -7.2
  Jan 02, 2025 67   San Francisco L 81-89 11%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -2.4 +19.4 -22.6
  Jan 04, 2025 214   Pepperdine L 70-87 40%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -22.5 -6.7 -15.4
  Jan 09, 2025 105   @ Washington St. W 95-94 OT 10%     4 - 13 1 - 4 +7.5 +10.7 -3.4
  Jan 11, 2025 75   Oregon St. L 55-91 12%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -31.1 -13.6 -20.2
  Jan 16, 2025 314   @ Portland L 81-84 OT 44%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -9.4 +1.5 -10.8
  Jan 23, 2025 130   Loyola Marymount L 68-73 24%     4 - 16 1 - 7 -5.7 +3.5 -9.6
  Jan 25, 2025 214   @ Pepperdine L 44-60 24%     4 - 17 1 - 8 -16.5 -28.8 +12.4
  Jan 30, 2025 105   Washington St. W 70-68 19%     5 - 17 2 - 8 +3.5 +5.5 -1.8
  Feb 01, 2025 61   @ Santa Clara L 49-83 4%     5 - 18 2 - 9 -22.1 -15.3 -9.4
  Feb 06, 2025 312   San Diego W 71-69 62%     6 - 18 3 - 9 -9.2 +2.9 -11.8
  Feb 08, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 61-78 3%     6 - 19 3 - 10 -1.8 -5.1 +2.8
  Feb 13, 2025 130   @ Loyola Marymount L 62-74 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 75   @ Oregon St. L 61-79 4%    
  Feb 20, 2025 67   @ San Francisco L 61-80 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 314   Portland W 75-72 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 61   Santa Clara L 67-82 9%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 6.2 8.5 1.9 0.1 16.6 8th
9th 1.0 34.7 6.9 0.3 43.0 9th
10th 25.5 13.5 0.2 39.2 10th
11th 1.2 0.0 1.2 11th
Total 27.6 54.4 15.7 2.2 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 2.2% 2.2
5-13 15.7% 15.7
4-14 54.4% 54.4
3-15 27.6% 27.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 27.5%