Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#308
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#304
Pace69.7#154
Improvement+3.0#54

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#253
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebound-4.4#357
Layup/Dunks-2.1#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#84
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement+5.4#3

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#324
First Shot-5.6#340
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#144
Layups/Dunks+0.1#163
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#358
Freethrows+3.8#6
Improvement-2.4#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.9% 26.5% 63.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 58.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 31 - 71 - 18
Quad 46 - 57 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 165   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 30%     0 - 1 -43.7 -23.3 -19.1
  Nov 12, 2024 29   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 2%     0 - 2 +6.1 -4.0 +11.4
  Nov 16, 2024 295   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 38%     1 - 2 -3.1 -4.4 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2024 155   South Florida L 68-74 20%     1 - 3 -5.4 -6.1 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2024 160   Ohio L 73-85 21%     1 - 4 -11.6 -9.6 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 125   Princeton L 67-94 16%     1 - 5 -24.7 -9.4 -13.7
  Dec 01, 2024 340   Denver W 101-90 2OT 72%     2 - 5 -3.2 -1.8 -3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 141   @ Kent St. L 57-76 13%     2 - 6 -15.0 -5.9 -10.6
  Dec 10, 2024 224   UMKC L 64-69 42%     2 - 7 -11.1 -6.8 -4.6
  Dec 18, 2024 232   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-81 44%     2 - 8 -23.7 -5.3 -20.5
  Dec 21, 2024 277   Lafayette W 74-64 54%     3 - 8 +0.9 -2.3 +3.1
  Dec 28, 2024 87   Washington St. L 73-89 13%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -11.9 -0.8 -10.4
  Dec 30, 2024 73   @ Oregon St. L 79-89 5%     3 - 10 0 - 2 +0.4 +17.4 -17.9
  Jan 02, 2025 15   @ Gonzaga L 50-81 1%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -11.6 -16.2 +4.3
  Jan 04, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 58-81 5%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -12.9 -6.7 -7.2
  Jan 09, 2025 76   @ San Francisco L 72-81 6%     3 - 13 0 - 5 +1.0 +8.8 -8.4
  Jan 16, 2025 303   Pacific W 84-81 OT 59%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -7.5 +2.9 -10.5
  Jan 18, 2025 87   @ Washington St. L 70-92 6%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -12.7 -1.3 -10.3
  Jan 23, 2025 291   San Diego W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 15   Gonzaga L 70-92 2%    
  Jan 30, 2025 151   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-77 13%    
  Feb 01, 2025 202   @ Pepperdine L 70-79 19%    
  Feb 06, 2025 66   Santa Clara L 70-84 11%    
  Feb 13, 2025 73   Oregon St. L 66-79 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 151   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 19, 2025 35   @ St. Mary's L 56-80 1%    
  Feb 22, 2025 303   @ Pacific L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 27, 2025 202   Pepperdine L 73-76 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 291   @ San Diego L 73-76 36%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 1.6 5.7 5.1 1.4 0.1 13.8 8th
9th 5.6 15.8 9.1 1.6 0.1 32.2 9th
10th 5.4 15.8 6.5 0.5 28.2 10th
11th 5.9 12.7 5.1 0.3 24.1 11th
Total 5.9 18.1 26.5 24.3 15.3 7.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.5% 0.5
7-11 2.2% 2.2
6-12 7.2% 7.2
5-13 15.3% 15.3
4-14 24.3% 24.3
3-15 26.5% 26.5
2-16 18.1% 18.1
1-17 5.9% 5.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.9%