Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#144
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#137
Pace66.4#269
Improvement+1.8#54

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#148
First Shot+2.8#94
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#321
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
Freethrows-0.4#199
Improvement+0.7#113

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
First Shot+0.0#166
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#168
Layups/Dunks+3.4#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#91
Freethrows-1.8#288
Improvement+1.1#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.9 12.0
.500 or above 56.4% 61.4% 33.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.6% 49.1% 35.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 4.1% 6.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 82.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 34 - 45 - 13
Quad 410 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 122 @Nevada L 77-78 31%     0 - 1 +4.8 +10.4 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 12 298 Long Beach St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 1 -7.6 -7.4 -0.1
  Sat, Nov 15 324 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 73%     2 - 1 +6.3 +0.5 +4.5
  Thu, Nov 20 111 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 28%     2 - 2 -16.5 -8.4 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 24 251 Stony Brook W 86-58 70%     3 - 2 +23.1 +14.1 +10.3
  Tue, Nov 25 269 Jacksonville W 68-53 73%     4 - 2 +9.2 +5.0 +6.5
  Sat, Nov 29 272 Sacramento St. W 79-69 82%    
  Wed, Dec 3 323 @Air Force W 70-64 72%    
  Sat, Dec 6 67 @California L 68-79 16%    
  Tue, Dec 16 7 @BYU L 62-84 2%    
  Sun, Dec 21 270 Nicholls St. W 74-65 81%    
  Sun, Dec 28 247 @San Diego W 77-75 58%    
  Tue, Dec 30 114 @Loyola Marymount L 66-72 30%    
  Fri, Jan 2 169 Oregon St. W 71-66 67%    
  Sun, Jan 4 264 Pepperdine W 76-67 80%    
  Thu, Jan 8 274 @Portland W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 247 San Diego W 80-72 77%    
  Wed, Jan 14 59 @Santa Clara L 66-78 14%    
  Sat, Jan 17 169 @Oregon St. L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 116 Seattle W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 274 Portland W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 77 @San Francisco L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Feb 4 59 Santa Clara L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 264 @Pepperdine W 73-70 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 114 Loyola Marymount W 69-68 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 30 St. Mary's L 63-73 20%    
  Wed, Feb 18 157 @Washington St. L 76-78 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 6 @Gonzaga L 64-86 3%    
  Sat, Feb 28 77 San Francisco L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.8 2.8 0.3 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 5.0 6.8 2.7 0.3 15.5 7th
8th 0.4 3.6 5.6 2.2 0.2 12.0 8th
9th 0.3 2.8 4.7 2.0 0.2 9.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 3.3 1.4 0.1 6.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.5 7.2 10.5 13.5 14.6 14.1 12.2 9.0 6.0 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 75.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 63.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 9.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 5.3% 2.6% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 2.7%
15-3 0.5% 5.8% 4.4% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5%
14-4 1.5% 3.0% 2.6% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.4%
13-5 3.2% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
12-6 6.0% 1.1% 1.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 5.9
11-7 9.0% 0.6% 0.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
10-8 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
9-9 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 14.0
8-10 14.6% 14.6
7-11 13.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 10.5% 10.5
5-13 7.2% 7.2
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%