Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#74
Expected Predictive Rating+10.6#57
Pace74.9#48
Improvement+0.4#158

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot+3.6#85
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#238
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#64
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-1.6#301

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#58
First Shot+3.2#83
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#74
Layups/Dunks+1.2#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#76
Freethrows-1.5#270
Improvement+2.1#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 15.6% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.4% 11.5% 4.6%
Average Seed 10.3 10.1 10.5
.500 or above 97.9% 99.4% 96.8%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 92.8% 88.3%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four3.9% 5.5% 2.7%
First Round8.7% 12.6% 6.0%
Second Round3.4% 5.0% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Neutral) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 5
Quad 23 - 45 - 9
Quad 35 - 110 - 11
Quad 412 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 256   Portland St. W 100-92 92%     1 - 0 -0.3 +8.5 -9.8
  Nov 08, 2024 71   Bradley W 91-74 60%     2 - 0 +22.0 +17.0 +4.7
  Nov 11, 2024 265   Idaho W 90-67 93%     3 - 0 +14.1 +5.1 +7.8
  Nov 15, 2024 50   Iowa L 66-76 39%     3 - 1 +0.3 -9.3 +10.5
  Nov 18, 2024 180   Northern Colorado W 83-69 86%     4 - 1 +10.0 +4.9 +4.9
  Nov 21, 2024 239   Eastern Washington W 96-81 86%     5 - 1 +10.8 +6.5 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2024 255   Fresno St. W 84-73 88%     6 - 1 +5.8 +0.2 +4.1
  Nov 27, 2024 62   SMU L 60-77 43%     6 - 2 -7.8 -4.7 -4.9
  Dec 02, 2024 48   @ Nevada W 68-57 29%     7 - 2 +24.3 +3.5 +21.1
  Dec 07, 2024 53   Boise St. L 73-75 42%    
  Dec 14, 2024 165   Missouri St. W 76-65 85%    
  Dec 18, 2024 75   @ Washington L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 21, 2024 113   Northern Iowa W 74-70 65%    
  Dec 28, 2024 309   @ Portland W 81-69 87%    
  Dec 30, 2024 181   Loyola Marymount W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 04, 2025 64   San Francisco W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 09, 2025 277   Pacific W 82-65 94%    
  Jan 11, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 71-88 6%    
  Jan 16, 2025 312   @ San Diego W 81-68 87%    
  Jan 18, 2025 309   Portland W 84-66 95%    
  Jan 23, 2025 84   @ Santa Clara L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 42   St. Mary's L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 64   @ San Francisco L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 06, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 258   Pepperdine W 82-66 92%    
  Feb 15, 2025 42   @ St. Mary's L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 74-85 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 84   Santa Clara W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 27, 2025 312   San Diego W 84-65 95%    
  Mar 01, 2025 258   @ Pepperdine W 79-69 81%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 5.6 6.7 3.0 0.5 17.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.9 8.6 7.6 1.8 0.1 21.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.7 9.4 6.6 1.0 0.0 21.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 8.3 5.3 0.7 0.0 18.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 0.8 0.1 4.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.7 10.2 15.4 18.1 17.5 14.2 9.0 4.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 68.2% 1.0    0.5 0.5 0.0
15-3 24.0% 1.0    0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 5.1% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 97.6% 21.1% 76.4% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9%
16-2 1.5% 79.0% 16.2% 62.8% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 75.0%
15-3 4.1% 54.1% 12.3% 41.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.9 47.7%
14-4 9.0% 34.2% 9.1% 25.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.2 5.9 27.6%
13-5 14.2% 15.3% 6.1% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.3 12.0 9.9%
12-6 17.5% 6.5% 3.6% 2.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 16.4 3.0%
11-7 18.1% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 17.6 0.9%
10-8 15.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.1 0.3%
9-9 10.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.0%
8-10 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.1%
7-11 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 2.7
6-12 1.0% 1.0
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.8% 3.7% 7.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.4 5.3 1.0 0.0 89.2 7.4%