Seattle
Western Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#150
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#229
Pace67.0#228
Improvement+1.1#140

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#189
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#41
Layup/Dunks-4.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#218
Freethrows+4.7#3
Improvement-2.1#300

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#133
First Shot-0.8#204
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#39
Layups/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#144
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+3.2#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 15.8% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 31.7% 43.7% 20.0%
.500 or above in Conference 87.0% 93.9% 80.3%
Conference Champion 13.3% 18.8% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 1.4%
First Four0.9% 0.6% 1.2%
First Round13.5% 15.7% 11.3%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Away) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 32 - 95 - 12
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 259   @ Eastern Washington L 86-93 65%     0 - 1 -10.0 +7.8 -17.6
  Nov 09, 2024 92   Liberty L 64-66 40%     0 - 2 +1.6 -0.6 +2.0
  Nov 14, 2024 288   @ Cal Poly L 71-75 70%     0 - 3 -8.6 -8.8 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 81   @ UC San Diego W 84-71 20%     1 - 3 +22.8 +22.4 +1.4
  Nov 26, 2024 152   Furman L 56-61 51%     1 - 4 -4.2 -9.4 +4.6
  Nov 29, 2024 1   @ Duke L 48-70 2%     1 - 5 +4.4 -10.5 +14.3
  Dec 04, 2024 228   Portland St. W 91-74 76%     2 - 5 +10.6 +20.1 -8.9
  Dec 07, 2024 129   @ UTEP L 72-88 36%     2 - 6 -11.5 +3.4 -15.2
  Dec 17, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 73-86 37%     2 - 7 -8.6 +5.7 -14.4
  Dec 20, 2024 142   Illinois-Chicago L 68-79 58%     2 - 8 -12.2 -9.1 -2.6
  Dec 23, 2024 94   @ Washington W 79-70 23%     3 - 8 +17.6 +9.2 +8.2
  Dec 30, 2024 212   Nicholls St. L 69-71 73%     3 - 9 -7.3 -5.4 -1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 173   @ California Baptist L 59-61 46%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +0.0 -8.5 +8.4
  Jan 11, 2025 242   Abilene Christian W 66-64 78%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -5.0 -1.5 -3.4
  Jan 16, 2025 286   Utah Tech W 82-62 84%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +10.3 +8.1 +3.1
  Jan 18, 2025 238   Southern Utah W 75-52 77%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +16.0 +1.9 +14.9
  Jan 23, 2025 199   @ Texas Arlington W 75-74 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 139   Utah Valley W 70-68 59%    
  Jan 30, 2025 86   @ Grand Canyon L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 06, 2025 260   Tarleton St. W 70-61 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   Texas Arlington W 77-72 71%    
  Feb 13, 2025 242   @ Abilene Christian W 69-66 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 260   @ Tarleton St. W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 139   @ Utah Valley L 67-70 36%    
  Feb 27, 2025 173   California Baptist W 71-67 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 86   Grand Canyon L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 238   @ Southern Utah W 73-70 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 286   @ Utah Tech W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 4.7 1.5 0.2 13.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.9 9.2 5.7 0.9 0.0 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 10.1 12.4 5.5 0.7 31.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 7.6 7.2 1.7 0.2 18.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 2.1 0.4 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 8.0 13.8 18.8 19.4 16.9 10.9 5.6 1.5 0.2 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 99.4% 1.5    1.4 0.1
13-3 84.0% 4.7    3.0 1.6 0.1
12-4 41.3% 4.5    1.7 2.2 0.6 0.0
11-5 11.9% 2.0    0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1
10-6 1.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 6.7 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.2% 43.5% 43.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
14-2 1.5% 40.9% 40.9% 12.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.9
13-3 5.6% 30.5% 30.5% 12.9 0.5 1.0 0.3 3.9
12-4 10.9% 25.7% 25.7% 13.8 0.0 0.9 1.5 0.3 8.1
11-5 16.9% 20.4% 20.4% 14.3 0.3 1.7 1.5 13.4
10-6 19.4% 13.0% 13.0% 15.0 0.3 2.0 0.3 16.9
9-7 18.8% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.8 0.7 17.4
8-8 13.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.0
7-9 8.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.3 7.8
6-10 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.4
5-11 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-12 0.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.9 2.4 3.7 4.6 2.0 86.3 0.0%