Seattle
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.2 127
Expected Predictive Rating +2.4 123
Pace 69.1 165
Improvement -2.8 290

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 316 C F+ C- D+ C+
Defense B+ 25 B B- B+ C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 101 C 58% 159 +2.0 107
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 237 D 33% 319 -1.7 268
Three Pointers 40% 199 C+ 35% 128 +0.4 162
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 112 C +0.0 174
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 154
Second Chance D 25.1% 325 F+ 0.85 356 F+ 0.21 353
Turnovers C- 17.7% 242
Freethrows C- 0.29 247 D+ 69% 278 D+ 0.20 265
Total Offense D -5.6 316

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 142 B+ 51% 26 -2.1 103
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 136 D+ 41% 271 +1.0 269
Three Pointers 38% 257 B 31% 55 -3.1 62
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 161 B+ -4.1 42
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 51
Second Chance C 31.0% 208 B+ 0.91 34 B- 0.28 88
Turnovers B+ 20.5% 28
Freethrows C+ 0.29 140 B- 71% 101 C+ 0.21 120
Total Defense B+ +7.8 25

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 116 17.6 246
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 303 0.14 66
Improvement -5.9 #358 +3.1 #40

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.8 12.4
.500 or above 97% 100% 96%
.500 or above in Conference 7% 30% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 1%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 5
Quad 21 - 22 - 7
Quad 33 - 56 - 12
Quad 411 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 249 Denver W 84 - 73 83% +6  84% 1 - 0 C+ +3 F+ -8 D- F+ D- A +11 B+ C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 246 Cal Poly L 71 - 73 82% +4  79% 1 - 1 D -10 F -15 C+ F F B +6 C C A+
 Wed, Nov 12 208 Eastern Washington W 94 - 67 77% +15  92% 2 - 1 A +21 B+ +9 A+ C F A +11 B- A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 270 Idaho St. W 83 - 74 85% +9  97% 3 - 1 C -0 A- +10 A+ B+ F D- -9 C- F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 77 @Stanford W 77 - 69 21% -2  37% 4 - 1 A +19 B- +4 B- C- D+ A+ +14 A+ B C+
 Fri, Nov 28 232 Texas St. W 66 - 52 72% +5  71% 5 - 1 B +10 C -0 B+ F B+ A +12 C+ A+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 143 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 54% -1  29% 5 - 2 C- -2 C +1 B D+ B+ C- -3 D+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 7 239 UTEP W 75 - 68 82% +1  45% 6 - 2 C -0 C+ +2 B+ C C C- -2 D+ D B
 Wed, Dec 17 178 @UC Davis W 79 - 78 51% +4  76% 7 - 2 C+ +3 C+ +2 C C+ D+ C+ +1 F A+ C-
 Fri, Dec 19 45 Washington W 70 - 66 27% -2  29% 8 - 2 B+ +13 D- -7 C F D A+ +20 A+ A+ A
 Mon, Dec 22 334 @Texas San Antonio W 71 - 68 84% +4  80% 9 - 2 D+ -5 F -13 F F D B+ +7 F+ A- A-
 Sun, Dec 28 112 San Francisco L 59 - 67 58% -4  9% 9 - 3 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -18 F F A+ A +11 A+ F+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 126 Washington St. W 69 - 55 61% +6  79% 10 - 3 1 - 1 B+ +13 D- -7 B F D+ A+ +21 A+ C+ A+
 Fri, Jan 2 11 @Gonzaga L 72 - 80 OT 4% +6  77% 10 - 4 1 - 2 B+ +14 C+ +2 B- B- B A+ +13 A A B
 Sun, Jan 4 41 @St. Mary's L 76 - 93 10% -0  57% 10 - 5 1 - 3 C -1 A+ +16 A+ D A+ F -18 F F D
 Thu, Jan 8 157 @Oregon St. L 55 - 68 47% -2  30% 10 - 6 1 - 4 D -10 F -17 F F D+ B+ +7 A+ F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 219 San Diego W 75 - 64 79% +6  86% 11 - 6 2 - 4 C+ +5 D- -7 B F C A +11 A- A- A-
 Sat, Jan 17 11 Gonzaga L 50 - 71 10% -8  11% 11 - 7 2 - 5 C- -5 F -17 D- C F A +12 A C- A+
 Wed, Jan 21 154 Loyola Marymount W 69 - 59 69% +12  90% 12 - 7 3 - 5 B- +7 D -5 C- D A+ A +12 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 118 @Pacific L 54 - 56 35% -8  0% 12 - 8 3 - 6 C+ +4 F -11 B- F F A+ +15 A- B+ A-
 Wed, Jan 28 126 @Washington St. L 58 - 70 38% -6  2% 12 - 9 3 - 7 D+ -7 F -15 F D- C A- +8 F A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 290 Pepperdine W 83 - 81 88% +1  52% 13 - 9 4 - 7 D -8 D+ -4 C+ D- D D+ -5 C F C
 Sat, Feb 7 205 @Portland L 53 - 54 57% +4  71% 13 - 10 4 - 8 C -1 F -14 D F F A+ +14 A+ F C-
 Wed, Feb 11 44 @Santa Clara L 72 - 84 12% -6  3% 13 - 11 4 - 9 C+ +3 B- +4 B D A C -1 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 157 Oregon St. W 60 - 50 69% +11  91% 14 - 11 5 - 9 B- +7 F -11 F+ C F+ A+ +19 A+ B+ B
 Wed, Feb 18 41 St. Mary's L 61 - 69 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 205 Portland W 71 - 63 78%
 Wed, Feb 25 290 @Pepperdine W 70 - 64 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 154 @Loyola Marymount L 66 - 67 46%
Totals 16 - 13 7 - 11 +2 D -6 B C C+ B+ +8 C+ D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C D C+ C 42% 33% 40% C+ C D F+ F+ C- C- D+ D+ B+ B+ D+ B B+ 40% 22% 38% C B C B+ B- B+ C+ B- C+
1.01 58% 33% 35% 0 +1 1.03 25% 0.8 .21 18% .29 69% .20 0.97 51% 41% 31% -4 0 0.94 31% 0.9 .28 20% .29 71% .20
Nov
3		 Denver F+ D D C F+ 52% 17% 31% B- D- F+ D- F+ D- A+ D A+ A A- A F+ B+ 26% 34% 40% A- B+ B- C- C+ A+ F D- F
1.09 54% 33% 35% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 16% .51 67% .34 0.95 46% 29% 40% -2 -3 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 23% .47 82% .39
Nov
8		 Cal Poly F C+ A D+ C 44% 11% 45% B C+ C F F F D F F B A C- D- C- 32% 6% 62% C+ C F A+ C A+ F B+ F+
0.93 63% 50% 32% +2 +2 1.09 32% 0.6 .19 22% .24 36% .08 0.96 47% 33% 38% 0 +1 1.04 41% 0.7 .29 30% .41 73% .30
Nov
12		 Eastern Washington B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 50% 13% 37% B A+ F A+ C F F F+ F A B+ F C+ B- 42% 23% 35% C B- A A A+ B- C+ A+ B
1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16 0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19
Nov
15		 Idaho St. A- B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% B- A+ C- A+ B+ F F+ C D- D- B A+ F C 49% 9% 42% F C- F C F B+ C- C- C-
1.33 63% 83% 53% +20 +1 1.45 29% 1.5 .43 19% .26 77% .20 1.19 50% 25% 42% 0 +2 1.07 48% 1.0 .48 21% .32 75% .24
Nov
21		 Stanford B- A F A B 39% 31% 31% D+ B- D+ B- C- D+ A A A+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ 52% 10% 38% D+ A+ B- B+ B C+ F A+ D+
1.06 68% 20% 40% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 21% .42 83% .35 0.95 46% 40% 26% -10 +2 0.86 33% 0.9 .28 17% .41 64% .26
Nov
28		 Texas St. C A+ F D+ B 55% 11% 34% B+ B+ F F F B+ C F D- A C- C- A+ C 40% 42% 19% A C+ D- A+ A+ A- A+ C+ A+
1.08 79% 0% 33% +7 +2 1.20 18% 0.6 .11 15% .33 59% .19 0.85 58% 40% 22% -3 -3 0.92 37% 0.2 .06 23% .17 75% .13
Nov
29		 UC Santa Barbara C B A+ D- B 49% 28% 23% C- B F+ B+ D+ B+ B+ F C C- B F D- D+ 31% 14% 56% C D+ F D+ F A+ F F F
1.13 67% 58% 30% +9 0 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .41 64% .26 1.18 55% 60% 40% +7 0 1.17 50% 1.1 .54 27% .55 88% .48
Dec
7		 UTEP C+ F A+ A+ B 36% 18% 47% B- B+ C- B- C C A- C- B+ C- F D+ A+ D+ 33% 31% 37% C- D+ C F D B B- C B-
1.13 44% 63% 43% +6 0 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 18% .44 71% .31 1.03 76% 38% 26% +2 -2 1.02 26% 1.3 .32 20% .24 69% .17
Dec
17		 UC Davis C+ D+ D- A C+ 41% 19% 41% C- C A- D- C+ D+ D- B- D C+ A+ F F F 38% 15% 46% D F A+ A+ A+ C- C+ A- B
1.07 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.06 38% 0.9 .33 20% .27 75% .20 1.06 45% 75% 46% +9 +1 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 18% .31 68% .21
Dec
19		 Washington D- B B+ F D+ 51% 13% 36% A+ C D+ F F D A+ A A+ A+ A F A+ A+ 52% 27% 21% F+ A+ C- A+ A+ A D- D- F+
0.92 63% 43% 16% -7 +2 0.92 23% 0.4 .09 18% .43 78% .34 0.86 48% 57% 9% -8 0 0.87 38% 0.4 .14 21% .35 81% .28
Dec
22		 Texas San Antonio F D- B F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F D- F F D A+ C+ A+ B+ D B- C F+ 47% 11% 42% F F+ A+ C+ A- A- B+ D B-
0.96 52% 43% 24% -8 +2 0.91 31% 0.8 .24 18% .43 73% .31 0.92 60% 33% 32% -1 +2 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 22% .21 75% .16
Dec
28		 San Francisco F D- F F F 42% 21% 37% C+ F C+ F F A+ C A+ B- A A+ D+ A+ A+ 39% 11% 50% D- A+ A+ F F+ D+ D- F F
0.84 50% 8% 19% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.5 .16 7% .27 83% .23 0.95 28% 40% 26% -18 +1 0.70 22% 2.0 .44 14% .40 79% .31
Dec
30		 Washington St. D- D- B- A+ A- 17% 30% 52% F B F F F D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A A- A+ A+ 30% 28% 43% A A+ F A+ C+ A+ F A+ D-
1.01 50% 43% 42% +6 -3 1.09 6% 0.0 .00 16% .44 76% .33 0.80 50% 31% 15% -16 -2 0.66 49% 0.6 .27 28% .47 57% .26
Jan
2		 Gonzaga C+ A F B- B- 21% 29% 50% D+ B- A D- B- B F D+ F A+ B+ F A+ B+ 30% 46% 24% A+ A A+ F A B F D+ F
0.95 67% 24% 34% -2 -2 0.93 32% 0.7 .23 18% .19 67% .13 1.06 56% 52% 23% +2 -4 0.98 24% 1.4 .32 16% .39 72% .28
Jan
4		 St. Mary's A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 47% 14% 40% A A+ D D+ D A+ F C- F F F A- F F 58% 13% 29% F F F D- F D C- D+ D+
1.18 52% 50% 43% +4 +1 1.14 19% 0.9 .17 8% .12 71% .08 1.44 70% 29% 47% +11 +2 1.29 59% 1.2 .72 14% .34 84% .29
Jan
8		 Oregon St. F F A+ F F 53% 4% 43% A+ F C F F D+ A F C- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% D+ A+ F F F B+ F D+ F
0.81 39% 50% 26% -15 +3 0.79 33% 0.1 .04 16% .42 54% .23 1.00 32% 13% 24% -22 +1 0.59 41% 1.7 .68 21% .54 79% .43
Jan
15		 San Diego D- B- C A+ B+ 37% 22% 41% D+ B F F F C A D B+ A B C+ B+ A- 33% 22% 45% C A- B- A+ A- A- C- D D+
1.04 65% 40% 42% +8 0 1.17 19% 0.8 .16 19% .43 68% .29 0.89 53% 36% 30% -4 0 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 22% .25 79% .20
Jan
17		 Gonzaga F C- F F F+ 31% 25% 44% C+ D- D- A+ C F F+ F+ F A D C- A B+ 27% 44% 29% A+ A D- B C- A+ B+ C+ B+
0.72 53% 25% 24% -11 -1 0.77 16% 1.2 .19 26% .21 64% .14 1.03 69% 43% 29% +3 -4 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 22% .24 69% .17
Jan
21		 Loyola Marymount D B+ F F D+ 44% 22% 33% B C- F B D A+ C- A C+ A F+ B C- C- 36% 20% 44% D D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- B+ D+
1.00 63% 25% 22% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.1 .24 10% .27 82% .23 0.86 69% 33% 35% +4 0 1.09 18% 0.0 .00 29% .33 63% .20
Jan
24		 Pacific F F F A+ C+ 32% 17% 51% B+ B- F F F F F F F A+ A+ F A+ A 48% 25% 27% C A- B- A B+ A- C- A+ A
0.86 47% 25% 42% 0 0 1.02 13% 0.5 .06 21% .20 60% .12 0.89 38% 73% 25% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.8 .26 24% .29 50% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Washington St. F D+ F F F 47% 16% 37% A- F D+ F D- C C B- C A- F F F F 32% 27% 41% A F B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+
0.85 54% 13% 16% -16 +1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 15% .29 76% .22 1.03 77% 64% 47% +21 -1 1.41 25% 0.3 .08 28% .39 63% .24
Feb
4		 Pepperdine D+ A D+ F C+ 49% 21% 30% C- C+ F+ B- D- D A+ B- A+ D+ A C- F+ C 39% 25% 35% C+ C C- F F C F F F
1.08 69% 36% 25% +1 +1 1.06 23% 1.1 .27 18% .50 74% .37 1.06 45% 38% 39% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .38 18% .42 88% .37
Feb
7		 Portland F B+ F D- D 28% 16% 56% C- D C F F F D+ D D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 50% 15% 35% D- A+ D F F C- A F+ A-
0.85 67% 14% 29% -5 0 0.91 31% 0.6 .19 24% .27 69% .19 0.86 39% 29% 19% -19 +2 0.67 34% 1.4 .49 19% .20 80% .16
Feb
11		 Santa Clara B- C- F A+ B- 48% 12% 40% B B F A+ D A F A+ F C B A+ F C+ 32% 13% 55% C C+ A+ A A+ F C F D+
1.05 56% 0% 43% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.3 .24 16% .19 91% .17 1.23 56% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.13 24% 0.9 .21 4% .24 81% .20
Feb
15		 Oregon St. F F F B- D- 34% 27% 39% F+ F+ D A C F+ A F C+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ 33% 20% 47% C+ A+ A D B+ B A+ A+ A+
0.94 40% 25% 35% -9 -1 0.82 28% 1.2 .33 19% .40 62% .25 0.78 53% 11% 29% -11 0 0.80 18% 1.3 .24 20% .22 55% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.9 4.4 5.2 4th
5th 0.1 8.6 2.4 11.2 5th
6th 4.4 15.5 0.2 20.0 6th
7th 0.0 16.3 6.1 22.5 7th
8th 2.2 16.3 0.3 18.7 8th
9th 10.6 2.4 13.0 9th
10th 1.4 6.1 7.5 10th
11th 1.6 0.2 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 3.1 19.0 39.6 31.4 6.9 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 6.9
8-10 31.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 31.4
7-11 39.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 39.6
6-12 19.0% 19.0
5-13 3.1% 3.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.7%
Lose Out 2.9%