Preseason Rankings
Seattle
West Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#121
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#251
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#202
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#81
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 11.7
.500 or above 62.5% 64.9% 35.2%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 53.4% 34.8%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 5.2% 11.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round2.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 91.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 47 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 321   Denver W 74-59 92%    
  Nov 08, 2025 256   Cal Poly W 81-71 83%    
  Nov 12, 2025 247   Eastern Washington W 73-63 82%    
  Nov 15, 2025 282   Idaho St. W 71-59 86%    
  Nov 21, 2025 95   @ Stanford L 63-69 29%    
  Nov 28, 2025 193   Texas St. W 68-64 65%    
  Dec 07, 2025 157   UTEP W 69-64 68%    
  Dec 17, 2025 252   @ UC Davis W 67-63 64%    
  Dec 19, 2025 48   Washington L 66-72 30%    
  Dec 22, 2025 167   @ Texas San Antonio W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 28, 2025 75   San Francisco L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 30, 2025 124   Washington St. W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 02, 2026 19   @ Gonzaga L 64-81 7%    
  Jan 04, 2026 49   @ St. Mary's L 54-66 16%    
  Jan 08, 2026 113   @ Oregon St. L 63-67 36%    
  Jan 15, 2026 183   San Diego W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 17, 2026 19   Gonzaga L 67-78 17%    
  Jan 21, 2026 136   Loyola Marymount W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 24, 2026 219   @ Pacific W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 28, 2026 124   @ Washington St. L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 04, 2026 239   Pepperdine W 74-64 79%    
  Feb 07, 2026 262   @ Portland W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 11, 2026 105   @ Santa Clara L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2026 113   Oregon St. W 66-64 55%    
  Feb 18, 2026 49   St. Mary's L 57-63 32%    
  Feb 21, 2026 262   Portland W 75-64 80%    
  Feb 25, 2026 239   @ Pepperdine W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 28, 2026 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-68 42%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 5.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 5.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.6 6.8 9.0 11.0 12.1 12.4 11.7 9.7 7.4 5.2 3.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 76.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 48.2% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 14.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 80.1% 39.8% 40.3% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.9%
17-1 0.2% 69.3% 22.6% 46.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 60.4%
16-2 0.7% 47.5% 22.3% 25.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 32.5%
15-3 1.7% 26.5% 14.8% 11.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.2 13.6%
14-4 3.0% 18.0% 12.8% 5.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 5.9%
13-5 5.2% 9.5% 8.7% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.7 0.9%
12-6 7.4% 4.4% 4.3% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.1 0.2%
11-7 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.5
10-8 11.7% 1.4% 1.4% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
9-9 12.4% 0.8% 0.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 6.8% 6.8
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.1% 0.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.2 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 100.0