Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#278
Pace69.6#140
Improvement-0.9#231

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#245
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#272
Layup/Dunks+2.4#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#256
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#246
Freethrows-0.3#190
Improvement-4.0#342

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#245
First Shot-1.8#238
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-1.3#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#265
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+3.1#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.8% 36.1% 7.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 2.7%
First Four4.4% 4.9% 3.6%
First Round3.0% 3.4% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 49 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ Colorado L 56-76 12%     0 - 1 -12.7 -12.2 -0.4
  Nov 06, 2024 146   Seattle W 93-86 36%     1 - 1 +5.5 +17.8 -12.4
  Nov 11, 2024 21   @ Missouri L 77-84 2%     1 - 2 +11.6 +14.5 -3.2
  Nov 17, 2024 254   Cal Poly L 78-82 60%     1 - 3 -11.7 -8.2 -3.1
  Nov 21, 2024 105   Washington St. L 81-96 19%     1 - 4 -11.0 -0.2 -9.1
  Nov 23, 2024 151   @ California Baptist L 68-79 21%     1 - 5 -7.8 +0.7 -9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 156   @ UC Santa Barbara L 51-67 22%     1 - 6 -13.0 -15.9 +1.1
  Nov 30, 2024 79   @ Utah L 80-88 9%     1 - 7 +1.7 +13.1 -11.6
  Dec 04, 2024 268   North Dakota W 87-81 63%     2 - 7 -2.5 +12.1 -14.2
  Dec 07, 2024 108   @ South Dakota St. L 53-74 14%     2 - 8 -14.8 -15.5 -0.1
  Dec 10, 2024 93   @ Washington L 69-87 11%     2 - 9 -9.9 +0.0 -9.7
  Jan 02, 2025 189   Montana L 81-92 45%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -15.1 +1.9 -16.8
  Jan 04, 2025 192   Montana St. W 68-63 46%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +0.8 -4.8 +5.7
  Jan 09, 2025 213   @ Portland St. L 59-64 32%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -5.5 -13.2 +7.8
  Jan 11, 2025 335   @ Sacramento St. W 65-54 62%     4 - 11 2 - 2 +2.6 -6.2 +9.4
  Jan 18, 2025 263   @ Idaho L 76-83 42%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -10.3 +2.0 -12.5
  Jan 20, 2025 192   @ Montana St. L 64-74 28%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -9.3 -0.1 -10.5
  Jan 23, 2025 251   Northern Arizona L 61-70 59%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -16.6 -11.1 -6.3
  Jan 25, 2025 165   Northern Colorado L 62-67 38%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -7.2 -11.0 +3.5
  Jan 30, 2025 231   @ Idaho St. L 70-78 35%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -9.3 -2.9 -6.5
  Feb 01, 2025 291   @ Weber St. W 72-49 48%     5 - 16 3 - 7 +18.3 -6.5 +24.1
  Feb 06, 2025 335   Sacramento St. W 83-80 78%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -10.4 +8.4 -18.6
  Feb 08, 2025 213   Portland St. W 72-67 51%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -0.4 +1.9 -2.0
  Feb 15, 2025 263   Idaho W 76-73 63%    
  Feb 20, 2025 165   @ Northern Colorado L 73-81 21%    
  Feb 22, 2025 251   @ Northern Arizona L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 27, 2025 291   Weber St. W 74-70 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 231   Idaho St. W 71-70 55%    
  Mar 03, 2025 189   @ Montana L 72-78 26%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 1.0 2.8 0.6 4.4 3rd
4th 0.6 6.9 3.2 0.1 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 6.4 8.2 0.6 15.3 5th
6th 2.6 14.5 2.3 19.5 6th
7th 0.8 12.7 8.5 0.1 22.1 7th
8th 0.6 8.4 12.0 0.7 21.7 8th
9th 2.0 3.7 0.5 6.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 2.7 12.9 27.9 30.8 18.4 6.6 0.8 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.8% 11.1% 11.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.7
10-8 6.6% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.6 6.0
9-9 18.4% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 1.4 17.0
8-10 30.8% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 1.5 29.3
7-11 27.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.7 27.2
6-12 12.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.6
5-13 2.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.9%