Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
70 Yale 65.4%   12   13 - 3 4 - 1 +7.9      +7.7 40 +0.2 161 66.0 262 +9.2 67 +5.4 1
168 Columbia 8.1%   11 - 6 2 - 3 -0.7      +0.3 151 -1.0 209 70.2 142 +1.5 139 -2.1 5
176 Cornell 5.7%   7 - 9 2 - 3 -1.2      +6.1 54 -7.3 352 80.4 7 -2.3 211 -3.4 7
179 Harvard 7.0%   9 - 9 3 - 2 -1.4      -0.6 181 -0.8 197 61.6 348 -3.0 217 -1.9 4
193 Penn 5.3%   8 - 9 2 - 3 -2.1      -0.5 179 -1.6 226 71.7 99 -1.1 189 -3.0 6
213 Princeton 5.0%   6 - 13 3 - 2 -3.1      -2.7 243 -0.4 178 64.7 291 -6.0 258 +0.9 2
235 Dartmouth 3.0%   7 - 9 3 - 2 -4.2      -2.1 224 -2.2 244 74.3 49 -4.3 229 0.0 3
265 Brown 0.4%   5 - 11 1 - 4 -5.8      -7.4 342 +1.7 115 65.5 272 -8.5 304 -8.2 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 193 Penn 60 70 Yale 77   
Sat, Jan 24 265 Brown 53 213 Princeton 63   
Sat, Jan 24 168 Columbia 79 235 Dartmouth 69   
Sat, Jan 24 176 Cornell 86 179 Harvard 79   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Jan 30 168 Columbia 80 193 Penn 75 66%   
Fri, Jan 30 176 Cornell 85 213 Princeton 80 68%   
Fri, Jan 30 265 Brown 64 179 Harvard 65 55%   
Fri, Jan 30 235 Dartmouth 71 70 Yale 87 91%   
Sat, Jan 31 176 Cornell 91 193 Penn 88 65%   
Sat, Jan 31 168 Columbia 75 213 Princeton 69 70%   
Sat, Jan 31 179 Harvard 66 70 Yale 78 87%   
Sat, Jan 31 265 Brown 71 235 Dartmouth 70 56%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.1 95.2 3.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Columbia 3.8 3.3 28.9 20.3 15.6 12.8 9.4 7.1 2.6
Cornell 4.2 2.0 22.0 18.4 16.2 14.4 12.2 11.1 3.9
Harvard 3.9 3.8 23.5 21.5 17.1 14.3 10.2 6.8 2.8
Penn 4.5 1.2 17.6 16.7 16.0 15.8 14.3 13.2 5.3
Princeton 4.1 2.1 23.1 18.7 16.0 15.1 12.2 9.7 3.1
Dartmouth 4.7 1.6 13.6 15.7 16.5 17.9 15.4 12.7 6.6
Brown 6.9 0.0 1.5 3.0 5.2 7.9 11.6 20.2 50.6

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.9 12.9 26.3 33.3 20.9
Columbia 7 - 7 16 - 10 0.2 1.2 4.2 10.2 18.6 23.7 21.8 13.9 5.3 1.0
Cornell 7 - 7 12 - 13 0.2 1.8 6.7 14.5 21.5 23.2 18.3 9.9 3.5 0.6
Harvard 7 - 7 13 - 14 0.7 4.1 11.8 20.5 24.7 20.8 11.4 4.8 1.2 0.1
Penn 6 - 8 12 - 14 0.4 2.8 8.6 16.9 23.6 22.7 15.8 7.2 2.0 0.2
Princeton 7 - 7 10 - 18 1.1 5.6 14.4 21.7 23.5 18.5 10.4 4.0 0.7 0.1
Dartmouth 6 - 8 10 - 15 2.2 9.0 19.5 25.2 21.8 13.9 6.3 1.8 0.3 0.0
Brown 4 - 10 8 - 17 3.2 11.8 22.0 25.1 20.1 11.4 4.7 1.3 0.2 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 95.2% 88.0 6.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
Columbia 3.3% 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0
Cornell 2.0% 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Harvard 3.8% 1.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
Penn 1.2% 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Princeton 2.1% 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.6% 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0
Brown 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 65.4% 65.4% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.3 15.1 39.9 9.5 0.5 34.6 0.1%
Columbia 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.5 2.7 3.8 1.1 0.0 91.9 0.0%
Cornell 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.2 0.6 1.9 2.6 0.3 94.3 0.0%
Harvard 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.0 0.6 93.0 0.0%
Penn 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 0.2 94.7 0.0%
Princeton 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.5 95.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 97.0 0.0%
Brown 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 98.5% 1.0 1.5 98.5 0.0
2nd Round 13.2% 0.1 86.8 13.2
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 65.4% 0.0% 65.4% 12.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 8.1% 0.0% 8.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 5.7% 0.0% 5.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 7.0% 0.2% 7.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 5.3% 0.0% 5.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 5.0% 3.5% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 3.0% 0.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%