Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
79 Yale 57.2%   12   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.4      +8.7 23 -1.3 216 66.8 253 +11.7 52 0.0 1
138 Columbia 17.1%   8 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 8 9 - 5 +1.5      +0.8 143 +0.7 143 70.7 156 +5.3 100 0.0 1
161 Cornell 10.9%   4 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 -0.1      +4.3 77 -4.3 318 80.5 10 -1.6 193 0.0 1
200 Harvard 4.9%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.6      -1.7 217 -0.9 196 64.2 314 -5.3 246 0.0 1
219 Brown 4.1%   4 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.4      -5.6 319 +2.1 105 65.3 288 -7.6 280 0.0 1
247 Dartmouth 2.5%   3 - 5 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -4.9      -3.1 252 -1.7 230 75.2 45 -7.5 277 0.0 1
253 Penn 1.9%   5 - 4 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -5.2      -1.4 205 -3.9 302 72.8 89 -0.5 178 0.0 1
255 Princeton 1.7%   2 - 10 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.3      -4.5 294 -0.8 195 67.0 250 -10.9 316 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 273 Merrimack 59 255 Princeton 56   
Wed, Dec 10 329 Albany 82 79 Yale 93   
Sat, Dec 13 288 Boston University 64 247 Dartmouth 77   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Dec 16 247 Dartmouth 73 289 Holy Cross 74 53%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.2 15.9 5.6 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 2.9 19.1 32.2 20.3 12.2 7.7 4.7 2.5 1.2
Cornell 3.5 11.3 24.0 22.2 16.2 11.1 7.9 4.6 2.7
Harvard 4.5 4.6 13.0 17.0 17.7 16.1 13.3 10.8 7.4
Brown 4.8 3.2 10.0 14.2 16.7 17.0 15.8 13.2 10.0
Dartmouth 5.4 1.8 6.5 10.4 13.9 15.9 16.9 17.6 17.0
Penn 5.6 1.4 5.5 9.5 12.8 15.6 17.0 18.7 19.5
Princeton 5.6 1.3 5.0 9.1 12.5 15.9 18.0 19.5 18.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 8.1 14.1 19.7 23.4 19.1 8.7
Columbia 9 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.8 8.4 12.6 16.0 17.6 16.2 11.8 6.4 2.3 0.4
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.4 8.4 12.2 15.9 17.1 15.7 11.7 7.3 3.3 1.0 0.2
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.7 10.1 14.2 16.4 16.9 13.7 9.9 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 1.3 3.7 7.3 12.3 16.2 17.3 15.6 12.0 7.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 5 - 9 0.6 2.6 6.6 11.4 15.9 16.9 16.0 12.9 8.5 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.7 3.1 7.6 12.4 16.7 17.5 15.5 11.8 7.8 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.6 2.9 7.2 12.6 17.3 18.2 15.9 11.8 7.2 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.2% 62.3 11.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 19.1% 11.0 6.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Cornell 11.3% 6.0 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Harvard 4.6% 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brown 3.2% 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 1.8% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 1.4% 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Princeton 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 57.2% 57.0% 0.2% 12   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 12.3 30.8 11.0 1.3 0.0 42.8 0.4%
Columbia 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.0 5.2 1.2 0.0 82.9 0.0%
Cornell 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.6 3.4 0.6 89.1 0.0%
Harvard 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.4 95.1 0.0%
Brown 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.1 95.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 97.5 0.0%
Penn 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 98.1 0.0%
Princeton 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.3 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 57.2% 0.2% 57.1% 12.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 17.1% 0.0% 17.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 10.9% 0.2% 10.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 4.9% 0.6% 4.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 4.1% 1.3% 3.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.5% 0.8% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 1.9% 0.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 1.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 98.4% 1.0 1.6 98.3 0.1
2nd Round 14.2% 0.1 85.8 14.2
Sweet Sixteen 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0