Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.8 85
Results Rating +7.8 77
Consistency 0.18 304
Pace 63.5 313
Improvement -3.2 291

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 54 B B B- B- C+
Defense C 161 C C+ D+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 79 C 58% 169 +2.3 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 170 B+ 45% 28 +1.0 125
Three Pointers 38% 245 A 40% 8 +1.8 120
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 B+ +4.6 46
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 51
Second Chance C+ 32.1% 116 B+ 1.16 32 B 0.37 63
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 93
Other Turnovers B- 6.7% 112
Turnovers B- 15.2% 87
Freethrows C+ 0.32 133 B+ 77% 35 B- 0.25 84
Total Offense B +6.4 54

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 136 C+ 10.4% 150
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 155 D+ 6.7% 292
Three Pointers B 89% 75 B- 0.6% 112
Total C+ 58% 124 C- 5.9% 227


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 272 C- 60% 235 -0.9 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 180 C 39% 207 +0.1 195
Three Pointers 44% 85 C+ 33% 127 +0.9 235
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 129 C +0.2 188
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 174
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 119 C 1.04 202 C+ 0.30 150
Turnovers from Steals D- 6.7% 346
Other Turnovers B+ 8.5% 41
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 279
Freethrows B 0.26 48 C+ 72% 140 B 0.18 50
Total Defense C +0.4 161

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 20 C- 9.7% 223
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 70 D 2.5% 314
Three Pointers B- 81% 98 D 0.3% 307
Total B 49% 49 D+ 4.1% 299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 245 18.1 290
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 319 0.16 145
Consistency 0.13 222 0.15 350
Improvement -7.0 363 +3.9 22

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 93 87 79
Results Rating Rank 94 67 64
Conference Record 11 - 3 11 - 3 11 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54% 73% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round54% 73% 0%
Second Round7% 10% 0%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 02 - 1
Quad 311 - 313 - 4
Quad 49 - 222 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 156 @Navy W 97 - 68 63% +14  78% 1 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +18 A A+ A A+ +12 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 217 @Quinnipiac W 97 - 60 75% +18  78% 2 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +22 A+ A+ D+ A+ +15 B C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 228 Stony Brook W 86 - 79 89% +7  91% 3 - 0 C +0 A+ +16 A B C+ F -15 F F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 18 136 Rhode Island L 77 - 86 78% -0  45% 3 - 1 D -11 B+ +8 C A+ B- F -19 F D- D-
 Fri, Nov 21 218 Green Bay W 73 - 67 83% +6  94% 4 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +2 C+ B- D+ C+ +1 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 23 163 College of Charleston W 74 - 63 74% +9  99% 5 - 1 B +11 B- +5 A- D B B+ +7 B A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 72 Akron W 97 - 94 44% +6  91% 6 - 1 B +11 A+ +30 A+ A A+ F -18 F F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 231 @Vermont W 77 - 74 78% +3  66% 7 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 C+ C+ A+ F+ -9 F C B-
 Sun, Dec 7 107 Illinois-Chicago W 80 - 66 71% +4  58% 8 - 1 A- +15 A +12 D- A+ A+ B +4 A+ A F
 Wed, Dec 10 323 Albany W 93 - 82 93% +6  67% 9 - 1 C +1 B +7 B- D C+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 15 @Alabama L 78 - 102 9% -19  1% 9 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 C A+ B+ F -13 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 5 291 @Brown W 70 - 53 85% +3  49% 10 - 2 1 - 0 B+ +12 D+ -3 C+ B- F+ A+ +16 A+ B+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 237 @Princeton L 60 - 76 79% -2  23% 10 - 3 1 - 1 F+ -18 F -12 F B+ B- D- -7 F D- C+
 Sat, Jan 17 153 Cornell W 102 - 68 81% +21  91% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +31 A+ +17 A+ A A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 198 Columbia W 91 - 74 86% +9  87% 12 - 3 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +21 A+ A+ B- D- -7 B- F D
 Sat, Jan 24 148 @Penn W 77 - 60 62% +5  75% 13 - 3 4 - 1 A +21 B+ +9 C+ B+ D- A+ +13 B A- C
 Fri, Jan 30 278 Dartmouth W 83 - 68 93% +3  58% 14 - 3 5 - 1 B- +5 A- +10 A+ C+ D+ D+ -4 C- B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 146 Harvard L 65 - 67 81% -3  29% 14 - 4 5 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 B- D A+ F+ -9 D- A- F
 Fri, Feb 6 291 Brown W 81 - 69 94% +1  51% 15 - 4 6 - 2 C +1 A- +10 A+ F C+ D- -8 C- C F
 Mon, Feb 9 188 @Howard W 87 - 81 OT 70% +2  66% 16 - 4 B- +7 A +13 C A+ D D -6 D D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 278 @Dartmouth W 83 - 70 84% +9  93% 17 - 4 7 - 2 B +9 B+ +8 A- C A+ C+ +2 C+ F A
 Sat, Feb 14 146 @Harvard W 76 - 75 OT 62% -4  6% 18 - 4 8 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +9 D+ A+ C+ D+ -5 C C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 148 Penn W 74 - 70 81% -2  43% 19 - 4 9 - 2 C +2 C+ +3 F+ B+ B C -1 C- A D-
 Fri, Feb 27 153 @Cornell L 69 - 72 63% -7  0% 19 - 5 9 - 3 C +0 D -5 C+ F B- B+ +5 C- D- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 198 @Columbia W 60 - 54 71% +7  99% 20 - 5 10 - 3 B- +7 D -6 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ B- B
 Sat, Mar 7 237 Princeton W 78 - 53 90% +12  96% 21 - 5 11 - 3 A- +17 C+ +3 B- F B+ A+ +16 B+ A+ B+
 Sat, Mar 14 153 Cornell W 89 - 83 73%
Totals 22 - 5 11 - 3 +7 B +6 B B+ C+ C +0 A B+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C B+ A B+ 42% 38% 38% C+ B C+ B+ B B- C+ B+ B- C C- C C+ C 36% 20% 44% C+ C C+ C C+ D+ B C+ B
1.18 58% 45% 40% +5 0 1.12 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 77% .25 1.08 60% 39% 33% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .30 15% .26 72% .23
Nov
7		 Navy A+ C- D A+ A- 39% 16% 45% A- A B- A+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A- A+ C 41% 30% 30% B- C+ A+ D- A- A+ F D+ F
1.28 59% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 13% .35 83% .29 0.90 72% 31% 23% -1 -1 0.98 19% 1.2 .23 25% .49 75% .37
Nov
11		 Quinnipiac A+ B A+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B- A+ A+ A A+ D+ D- A- D+ A+ F A A+ B+ 35% 23% 42% C+ B D B C A+ A+ B+ A
1.36 64% 60% 59% +19 +1 1.42 46% 1.3 .58 18% .24 79% .19 0.84 67% 25% 23% -7 -1 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 24% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Stony Brook A+ C- D+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% C- A A- C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ F F D+ F F 33% 16% 51% C F B+ F F+ B- F C+ D-
1.35 56% 33% 60% +13 0 1.28 40% 0.9 .36 16% .61 85% .52 1.24 73% 43% 43% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.5 .35 19% .33 71% .23
Nov
18		 Rhode Island B+ D+ A- D D+ 52% 15% 33% B+ C A A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A+ F A F F F 46% 14% 40% D F F C+ D- D- C- D+ D+
1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36 1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27
Nov
21		 Green Bay C+ D- A+ A- C+ 41% 26% 33% C- C+ C- A+ B- D+ B- C- C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 16% 56% B A+ F F F D F A+ C-
1.18 53% 50% 40% +4 0 1.09 29% 1.4 .39 15% .36 74% .27 1.09 38% 71% 24% -9 0 0.84 34% 1.4 .49 13% .45 63% .28
Nov
23		 College of Charleston B- D- B+ A+ A 39% 29% 33% C A- D+ D D B A F B B+ C+ A A+ A- 42% 17% 42% D- B C+ A+ A+ D F A D
1.14 53% 43% 50% +7 -1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 12% .32 61% .19 0.97 60% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 29% 0.5 .14 14% .43 67% .29
Nov
24		 Akron A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- A A A+ A A+ A+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F D+ F F C+ A A A+
1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36 1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11
Nov
30		 Vermont A- B- B D+ C 44% 25% 31% C+ C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ B+ B A- F+ F F D+ F 28% 14% 58% C+ F F A+ C B- F D- F
1.24 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.06 23% 1.3 .30 5% .37 77% .29 1.19 83% 50% 36% +10 0 1.23 31% 0.8 .23 18% .43 77% .33
Dec
7		 Illinois-Chicago A F+ F A- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B A+ A- F+ A+ 37% 27% 37% B A+ C A+ A F B- F D
1.23 47% 15% 39% -7 -1 0.85 38% 1.5 .56 14% .50 82% .41 1.01 28% 31% 39% -10 -1 0.80 36% 0.8 .27 12% .30 88% .26
Dec
10		 Albany B B- F B C 60% 10% 31% A B- B F D C+ A+ C+ A+ D- C- D+ F F 37% 24% 39% B F A+ F A+ F F+ A+ B+
1.27 61% 20% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 0.9 .37 14% .54 76% .41 1.12 59% 43% 48% +10 0 1.20 13% 1.2 .16 10% .29 37% .11
Dec
29		 Alabama A- F A A- C 40% 21% 40% B+ C A A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F B- D D- C+ 23% 3% 73% C+ C+ F B- F F A B- A
1.13 33% 45% 38% -6 0 0.91 36% 1.4 .51 12% .43 73% .31 1.48 57% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.15 47% 1.1 .51 7% .25 75% .19
Jan
5		 Brown D+ D+ A+ D+ C 47% 19% 34% B- C+ D+ A+ B- F+ B- F D A+ A+ A A+ A+ 41% 15% 44% C A+ C+ A B+ D A A+ A
1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22 0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11
Jan
10		 Princeton F F A+ F F 29% 25% 46% F+ F B- A- B+ B- D F F D- D- D+ F F 26% 16% 58% C+ F D- C- D- C+ F F F
0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16 1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40
Jan
17		 Cornell A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% D+ A+ D A+ A A+ D- D- F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 25% 7% 68% B A+ B A+ A+ F B C+ B
1.44 74% 58% 43% +16 0 1.34 26% 1.9 .48 7% .27 67% .18 0.96 50% 25% 28% -9 +1 0.86 27% 0.8 .21 13% .24 73% .18
Jan
19		 Columbia A+ C C- A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- B- A+ A D- F D+ A+ C+ 37% 24% 39% A B- B F F D F F F
1.41 59% 38% 52% +12 +1 1.27 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 89% .30 1.15 80% 40% 19% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 19% .48 84% .40
Jan
24		 Penn B+ C F A+ C 56% 19% 25% B C+ A+ D+ B+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A F A- B+ 29% 24% 47% C+ B A B A- C C A B
1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26 0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20
Jan
30		 Dartmouth A- A+ D A+ A+ 47% 18% 35% C+ A+ C- A- C+ D+ F A+ D D+ C+ F C- D+ 33% 16% 51% C- C- D A+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.29 75% 33% 44% +13 +1 1.29 27% 1.1 .31 14% .16 100% .16 1.06 56% 44% 36% +2 0 1.05 27% 0.7 .18 16% .13 57% .07
Jan
31		 Harvard B- F A A+ C+ 48% 13% 40% B B- C- F+ D A+ D A+ C- F+ D- C+ F F 36% 26% 38% B+ D- B A+ A- F F D+ F
1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17 1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30
Feb
6		 Brown A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C+ A+ F F F C+ A+ F A D- C+ A+ C- C- 44% 11% 44% D C- A+ F C F A+ F B
1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31 1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14
Feb
9		 Howard A C C- D C 49% 13% 38% B- C A+ B+ A+ D A+ B- A+ D A+ F F D- 47% 16% 37% D+ D A F D+ F B- B+ B
1.21 59% 33% 29% -3 +2 1.00 49% 1.2 .60 21% .60 74% .44 1.12 29% 75% 47% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.5 .42 15% .31 68% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Dartmouth B+ C+ B+ A+ A- 58% 17% 25% B+ A- F A+ C A+ A- F B- C+ D+ A+ C+ B 47% 16% 37% D- C+ C F F A A F B
1.22 61% 44% 46% +7 +2 1.21 17% 1.6 .28 7% .35 64% .22 1.02 61% 13% 33% -3 +1 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 23% .25 85% .21
Feb
14		 Harvard B+ F F+ A D+ 32% 25% 43% F+ D+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F D A+ C- 37% 28% 35% A- C B D+ C+ F A+ F+ A
1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31 1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12
Feb
21		 Penn C+ D+ A+ F D 27% 29% 44% F F+ C A+ B+ B B+ A+ A C A- B+ F C- 39% 25% 35% C- C- B+ A A D- A D+ A-
1.11 57% 53% 22% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.2 .37 15% .32 78% .25 1.05 45% 31% 50% +1 -1 1.04 26% 0.8 .20 14% .24 71% .17
Feb
27		 Cornell D B- D- B- C 53% 11% 36% B+ C+ F+ F F B- F F F B+ C- F D- C- 29% 4% 67% C C- B- F D- C+ A A+ A+
1.07 64% 33% 37% +4 +2 1.15 23% 0.4 .10 12% .18 60% .11 1.12 62% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.20 28% 1.5 .41 19% .19 60% .11
Feb
28		 Columbia D A+ A+ C A+ 47% 19% 33% B- A+ F F F F B+ D+ B A+ D A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% C A+ C- B+ B- B A- F C+
0.99 76% 57% 33% +12 +1 1.28 19% 0.5 .10 23% .36 71% .26 0.89 63% 14% 16% -13 +1 0.78 37% 0.8 .31 23% .19 89% .17
Mar
7		 Princeton C+ A- C F+ B- 45% 20% 35% C+ B- C F F B+ A B A+ A+ F A+ A+ B 19% 23% 58% A B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A A A
1.17 70% 40% 28% +2 +1 1.08 29% 0.5 .15 11% .40 75% .30 0.80 89% 27% 25% -5 -2 0.90 15% 0.4 .06 21% .23 67% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 53.8% 53.8% 0.0% 12.1 4.8 41.1 7.9 0.0 46.2 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 53.8% 53.8% 0.0% 12.1 46.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 53.8% 100.0% 12.1 8.9 76.4 14.6 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.9% 0.1% 12.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 26.3% 0.0% 12.0 0.0