Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#253
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#178
Pace72.8#89
Improvement-0.6#217

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#205
First Shot-2.6#248
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#103
Layup/Dunks-5.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#122
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows+1.3#101
Improvement-0.7#235

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#302
First Shot-3.0#276
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#249
Layups/Dunks-6.4#354
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#131
Freethrows+2.9#36
Improvement+0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.6% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 23.8% 47.4% 18.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.6% 34.8% 24.8%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 30.7% 23.7% 32.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 411 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 248 @American L 78-84 38%     0 - 1 -7.9 -2.1 -5.3
  Tue, Nov 11 70 @Providence L 81-106 7%     0 - 2 -14.1 +0.7 -11.9
  Mon, Nov 17 171 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 45%     1 - 2 +5.0 +4.3 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 271 @Drexel W 84-68 41%     2 - 2 +13.2 +14.0 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 28 273 Merrimack W 77-65 64%     3 - 2 +3.1 +3.0 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 29 238 La Salle W 73-71 58%     4 - 2 -5.3 +5.2 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 30 115 Hofstra L 60-77 30%     4 - 3 -16.7 -9.6 -8.0
  Sat, Dec 6 37 Villanova L 63-90 6%     4 - 4 -14.6 -1.1 -15.1
  Mon, Dec 8 320 Lafayette W 74-72 75%     5 - 4 -10.4 -5.1 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 20 133 @Rutgers L 70-80 18%    
  Sun, Dec 28 75 @George Mason L 65-81 7%    
  Wed, Dec 31 352 NJIT W 79-68 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 255 @Princeton L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 219 Brown W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 247 @Dartmouth L 78-81 38%    
  Mon, Jan 19 200 @Harvard L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 79 Yale L 75-85 19%    
  Fri, Jan 30 138 @Columbia L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 161 @Cornell L 83-91 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 255 Princeton W 75-72 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 138 Columbia L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 161 Cornell L 86-88 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 79 @Yale L 72-88 8%    
  Fri, Feb 27 247 Dartmouth W 81-78 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 200 Harvard W 74-73 51%    
  Fri, Mar 6 219 @Brown L 68-73 34%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.1 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 6.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 4.9 8.1 2.2 0.1 15.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.9 8.9 2.7 0.1 17.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.4 8.9 3.2 0.1 18.7 7th
8th 0.7 3.0 6.6 6.5 2.5 0.2 19.5 8th
Total 0.7 3.1 7.6 12.4 16.7 17.5 15.5 11.8 7.8 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 87.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
11-3 57.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 26.3% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1
9-5 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.2% 16.7% 16.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.7% 15.3% 15.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
10-4 2.0% 13.0% 13.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
9-5 4.1% 9.5% 9.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.7
8-6 7.8% 7.6% 7.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.2
7-7 11.8% 3.4% 3.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.4
6-8 15.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 15.4
5-9 17.5% 17.5
4-10 16.7% 16.7
3-11 12.4% 12.4
2-12 7.6% 7.6
1-13 3.1% 3.1
0-14 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%