Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.1 #213
Expected Predictive Rating -6.0 #258
Pace 64.7 #291
Improvement +5.1 #16

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #243 C- D+ C C C
Defense #178 C+ C D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #333 1.05 #301 -5.6 #342
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #242 0.77 #154 -1.1 #239
Three Pointers 51% #21 0.99 #217 +4.4 #50
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #245 -2.4 #245
Freethrows 0.30 #189 74% #115 0.22 #156
Second Chance 25.2% #318 1.07 #138 0.27 #273
Turnovers 16.9% #213
Total Offense -2.7 #243

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #93 1.19 #218 -2.6 #264
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.85 #314 -0.6 #225
Three Pointers 39% #253 0.84 #14 +4.6 #23
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #134 +1.5 #134
Freethrows 0.31 #205 75% #297 0.23 #236
Second Chance 27.2% #66 1.19 #332 0.32 #191
Turnovers 14.0% #318
Total Defense -0.4 #178

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 0.8% #234
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.5% #252 -3.6% #115
Possession Length 19.3 #341 16.9 #99
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.06 #365 0.18 #210
Improvement +4.0 #16 +1.0 #124

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 7.2% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 1.1% 2.6% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.2% 78.6% 46.9%
Conference Champion 2.1% 4.3% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 2.8% 12.3%
First Four3.5% 4.3% 3.2%
First Round3.9% 6.0% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 103 - 14
Quad 47 - 510 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 62 @Akron L 69 - 104 9% -20  0 - 1 -23 -8 C- F D+ -12 D C+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 322 Bucknell W 73 - 63 82% +12  1 - 1 -3 -2 D D D+ -1 D A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 17 @Kansas L 57 - 76 2% -6  1 - 2 +2 -5 D C+ F+ +8 B A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 227 @Iona L 69 - 89 41% -18  1 - 3 -21 -9 F+ F C- -10 F+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 20 259 Northeastern W 70 - 57 69% +10  2 - 3 +5 -6 F A+ F +12 A+ C+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 126 Bradley L 64 - 88 31% -8  2 - 4 -22 -8 C B+ F -14 F A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 25 143 Temple L 75 - 79 34% +1  2 - 5 -3 +5 A- D C -8 F A+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 199 Vermont L 74 - 79 48% -7  2 - 6 -8 +6 B C A -14 D+ F D+
 Sun, Nov 30 137 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 33% -1  2 - 7 -1 -5 C+ C F +4 A- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 185 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 34% -3  2 - 8 -4 -9 C F F +5 B- A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 281 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 53% +1  2 - 9 -9 -1 D- D A- -8 D+ F F+
 Wed, Dec 10 205 Merrimack L 56 - 59 60% -2  2 - 10 -9 -6 F C+ B- -3 B- A F
 Mon, Dec 22 143 @Temple L 61 - 65 24% -3  2 - 11 +0 -0 D D C -0 C C+ C-
 Tue, Dec 30 199 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 59% +4  3 - 11 +0 +1 B+ F F+ -0 A F C
 Mon, Jan 5 193 Penn W 78 - 76 58% -1  4 - 11 1 - 0 -3 +6 A- F+ C+ -9 B+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 70 Yale W 76 - 60 22% +2  5 - 11 2 - 0 +21 +8 B+ C F+ +14 A+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 179 @Harvard L 80 - 87 OT 32% +7  5 - 12 2 - 1 -5 +11 D- A+ A -16 D+ B- F
 Mon, Jan 19 235 @Dartmouth L 69 - 71 43% +3  5 - 13 2 - 2 -3 +7 B- D A+ -11 C C F
 Sat, Jan 24 265 Brown W 63 - 53 71% +1  6 - 13 3 - 2 +1 -4 F D- A+ +6 A+ F F+
 Fri, Jan 30 176 @Cornell L 80 - 85 32%
 Sat, Jan 31 168 @Columbia L 69 - 74 31%
 Sat, Feb 7 193 @Penn L 71 - 75 36%
 Fri, Feb 13 176 Cornell W 83 - 82 54%
 Sat, Feb 14 168 Columbia W 72 - 71 52%
 Fri, Feb 20 265 @Brown L 64 - 65 49%
 Fri, Feb 27 179 Harvard W 67 - 66 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 235 Dartmouth W 75 - 71 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 70 @Yale L 66 - 80 10%
Totals 10 - 18 7 - 7 -3 -3 C- D+ C +0 C+ C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.1 1st
2nd 1.4 9.4 9.0 3.1 0.3 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.4 9.5 8.0 0.8 0.0 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 4.7 10.2 1.0 16.0 4th
5th 1.4 11.4 2.3 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 0.4 6.9 4.8 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 5.8 0.4 9.7 7th
8th 0.8 2.0 0.4 3.1 8th
Total 1.1 5.6 14.4 21.7 23.5 18.5 10.4 4.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-3 60.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2
10-4 23.6% 0.9    0.3 0.6 0.1
9-5 5.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.7% 20.7% 20.7% 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.6
10-4 4.0% 15.2% 15.2% 15.5 0.3 0.3 3.4
9-5 10.4% 11.5% 11.5% 15.9 0.1 1.1 9.2
8-6 18.5% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6 16.8
7-7 23.5% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.2 22.3
6-8 21.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 21.5
5-9 14.4% 14.4
4-10 5.6% 5.6
3-11 1.1% 1.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 15.9 95.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%