Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#255
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#316
Pace67.0#250
Improvement-1.6#292

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-3.1#265
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#265
Layup/Dunks-6.5#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#87
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement-1.5#297

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#127
Layups/Dunks-4.4#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#94
Freethrows-0.4#206
Improvement-0.1#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 2.4% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.8% 2.2% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 32.7% 23.2%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.0% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.6% 24.5% 32.3%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 1.3%
First Round1.2% 1.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 102 - 14
Quad 46 - 68 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 65 @Akron L 69-104 7%     0 - 1 -23.6 -9.9 -10.4
  Tue, Nov 11 302 Bucknell W 73-63 70%     1 - 1 -0.9 -1.8 +1.2
  Sat, Nov 15 17 @Kansas L 57-76 2%     1 - 2 +0.8 -4.7 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 170 @Iona L 69-89 24%     1 - 3 -17.9 -9.4 -6.6
  Thu, Nov 20 211 Northeastern W 70-57 54%     2 - 3 +6.8 -0.7 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 117 Bradley L 64-88 21%     2 - 4 -20.8 -5.7 -15.1
  Tue, Nov 25 163 Temple L 75-79 31%     2 - 5 -4.2 +1.6 -6.0
  Wed, Nov 26 185 Vermont L 74-79 36%     2 - 6 -6.7 +4.6 -11.7
  Sun, Nov 30 171 Saint Joseph's L 58-60 34%     2 - 7 -3.0 -6.4 +3.2
  Wed, Dec 3 206 @Monmouth L 58-63 30%     2 - 8 -4.9 -12.4 +7.3
  Sat, Dec 6 263 @Loyola Chicago L 68-73 39%     2 - 9 -7.5 -0.9 -7.1
  Wed, Dec 10 273 Merrimack L 56-59 64%     2 - 10 -11.9 -8.4 -4.1
  Mon, Dec 22 163 @Temple L 69-77 22%    
  Tue, Dec 30 185 Vermont L 69-70 48%    
  Mon, Jan 5 253 Penn W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 79 Yale L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 @Harvard L 65-71 30%    
  Mon, Jan 19 247 @Dartmouth L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 219 Brown W 65-64 54%    
  Fri, Jan 30 161 @Cornell L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 138 @Columbia L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 253 @Penn L 72-75 39%    
  Fri, Feb 13 161 Cornell L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 138 Columbia L 69-73 36%    
  Fri, Feb 20 219 @Brown L 62-67 33%    
  Fri, Feb 27 200 Harvard W 68-67 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 247 Dartmouth W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Mar 7 79 @Yale L 66-82 8%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 4.0 1.5 0.1 9.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.4 6.1 1.7 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 5.0 8.3 2.2 0.1 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.1 9.4 2.8 0.1 18.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.6 9.3 3.4 0.2 0.0 19.5 7th
8th 0.6 2.8 6.1 6.5 2.5 0.2 18.7 8th
Total 0.6 2.9 7.2 12.6 17.3 18.2 15.9 11.8 7.2 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 85.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 64.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 27.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.6% 18.2% 18.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
10-4 1.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4
9-5 3.9% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.6
8-6 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 0.5 6.7
7-7 11.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 11.4
6-8 15.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 15.8
5-9 18.2% 18.2
4-10 17.3% 17.3
3-11 12.6% 12.6
2-12 7.2% 7.2
1-13 2.9% 2.9
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.5 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%