Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.8 #265
Expected Predictive Rating -8.5 #304
Pace 65.5 #272
Improvement +0.1 #176

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #342 D C- D- D C+
Defense #115 B- C C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #97 1.05 #300 -0.4 #193
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #214 0.57 #354 -2.5 #302
Three Pointers 40% #207 0.91 #309 -2.8 #283
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #329 -5.6 #331
Freethrows 0.24 #336 72% #188 0.17 #322
Second Chance 27.5% #265 1.04 #184 0.29 #250
Turnovers 19.5% #340
Total Offense -7.4 #342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #137 1.10 #106 +0.1 #174
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #129 0.81 #268 -1.1 #272
Three Pointers 38% #268 0.91 #61 +3.6 #48
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #92 +2.6 #92
Freethrows 0.29 #145 74% #256 0.21 #156
Second Chance 32.9% #283 1.01 #124 0.33 #220
Turnovers 16.0% #209
Total Defense +1.7 #115

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #120 -0.1% #153
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.9% #345 -5.1% #82
Possession Length 17.8 #215 17.5 #210
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #258 0.21 #302
Improvement -0.7 #217 +0.8 #139

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.6
.500 or above 0.4% 0.9% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.3% 12.0% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 69.7% 55.3% 81.7%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 45.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 173 Siena L 46 - 62 43% -12  0 - 1 -20 -26 F F F +5 A- C+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 199 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 49% +3  0 - 2 -11 -5 C+ F+ D- -5 A D- D
 Wed, Nov 12 278 @Boston University L 77 - 90 42% -14  0 - 3 -17 +6 D- A- D+ -24 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 234 Hampton L 63 - 72 55% -4  0 - 4 -16 -6 B+ C+ F -11 B- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 326 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 76% +12  1 - 4 +6 -1 C- A- F +10 B A- B
 Thu, Nov 20 236 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 33% -9  1 - 5 -11 -0 C+ B- F+ -11 D+ F F+
 Sun, Nov 23 335 @Maine W 58 - 53 59% +8  2 - 5 -3 -10 F C+ F +7 D+ A- A-
 Wed, Nov 26 319 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 53% +5  3 - 5 +5 -11 C F+ F +17 A+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 111 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 13% -4  3 - 6 -3 -8 F C- C +4 A D C
 Fri, Dec 5 344 Bryant W 75 - 56 81% +12  4 - 6 +4 -0 C D+ C +5 C- A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 9 67 @Providence L 79 - 86 6% -6  4 - 7 +4 +1 D+ C- B +4 B A- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 70 Yale L 53 - 70 16% -3  4 - 8 0 - 1 -12 -21 F D- F+ +9 B+ C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 193 @Penn L 73 - 81 26% -1  4 - 9 0 - 2 -7 +3 C- C+ C- -10 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 168 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 42% -1  5 - 9 1 - 2 +2 +7 B D C -5 A F D-
 Mon, Jan 19 176 Cornell L 67 - 89 44% -13  5 - 10 1 - 3 -26 -15 D F F -11 D- C D-
 Sat, Jan 24 213 @Princeton L 53 - 63 29% -1  5 - 11 1 - 4 -10 -14 F B+ D+ +2 A+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 30 179 Harvard L 64 - 65 45%
 Sat, Jan 31 235 Dartmouth W 71 - 70 55%
 Fri, Feb 6 70 @Yale L 61 - 78 6%
 Fri, Feb 13 179 @Harvard L 61 - 68 24%
 Sat, Feb 14 235 @Dartmouth L 68 - 73 34%
 Fri, Feb 20 213 Princeton W 65 - 64 51%
 Fri, Feb 27 168 @Columbia L 65 - 73 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 176 @Cornell L 76 - 84 24%
 Fri, Mar 6 193 Penn L 69 - 70 47%
Totals 8 - 17 4 - 10 -6 -7 D C- D- +2 B- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 3.3 1.8 0.1 5.2 4th
5th 1.8 5.9 0.2 7.9 5th
6th 0.9 8.7 2.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 10.2 8.3 0.1 20.2 7th
8th 3.2 11.8 20.4 14.0 1.2 50.6 8th
Total 3.2 11.8 22.0 25.1 20.1 11.4 4.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
9-5 8.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0% 0.0
9-5 0.2% 10.6% 10.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
8-6 1.3% 11.2% 11.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.2
7-7 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.5
6-8 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-9 20.1% 20.1
4-10 25.1% 25.1
3-11 22.0% 22.0
2-12 11.8% 11.8
1-13 3.2% 3.2
0-14
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.7 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%