Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#200
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#246
Pace64.2#314
Improvement-0.7#222

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot+1.0#145
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#336
Layup/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#148
Freethrows-2.8#321
Improvement-1.9#310

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#196
First Shot-4.0#309
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#18
Layups/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#189
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#254
Freethrows+1.0#125
Improvement+1.2#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.3% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 23.9% 28.1% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.1% 52.7% 42.3%
Conference Champion 4.6% 5.1% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 12.3% 18.3%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round4.6% 5.2% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86-75 85%     1 - 0 -2.7 +8.3 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 11 211 Northeastern L 60-77 64%     1 - 1 -23.2 -10.7 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 15 332 @Army W 75-52 68%     2 - 1 +15.5 +6.6 +11.3
  Sun, Nov 16 155 @Marist W 56-54 29%     3 - 1 +5.2 -3.8 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 19 104 @Penn St. L 80-84 18%     3 - 2 +3.2 +15.6 -12.8
  Sat, Nov 22 288 Boston University L 74-75 67%     3 - 3 -8.0 +0.9 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 26 150 @Boston College L 60-73 27%     3 - 4 -9.3 -3.4 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 297 Bryant W 56-53 77%     4 - 4 -7.4 -9.1 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 152 @Massachusetts L 71-78 28%     4 - 5 -3.5 -1.9 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 148 @Furman L 69-79 27%     4 - 6 -6.3 -1.3 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 20 289 Holy Cross W 72-65 76%    
  Tue, Dec 23 16 @St. John's L 62-85 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 180 @Colgate L 68-72 34%    
  Mon, Jan 5 247 Dartmouth W 75-70 69%    
  Sat, Jan 10 138 @Columbia L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 255 Princeton W 71-65 70%    
  Mon, Jan 19 253 Penn W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 161 Cornell W 80-79 52%    
  Fri, Jan 30 219 @Brown L 64-66 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 79 @Yale L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 247 @Dartmouth L 72-73 47%    
  Fri, Feb 13 219 Brown W 67-63 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 79 Yale L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 161 @Cornell L 77-82 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 255 @Princeton L 67-68 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 253 @Penn L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 138 Columbia L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 5.2 3.9 1.1 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.5 7.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 17.0 3rd
4th 0.3 4.9 9.0 3.2 0.3 17.7 4th
5th 0.2 4.3 8.4 3.0 0.2 16.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 7.2 2.6 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.4 2.5 5.4 2.3 0.1 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.1 7.4 8th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.7 10.1 14.2 16.4 16.9 13.7 9.9 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
12-2 87.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2
11-3 59.4% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.1
10-4 23.6% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 5.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 39.5% 39.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 0.9% 23.2% 23.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-3 2.7% 19.8% 19.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
10-4 5.8% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 4.9
9-5 9.9% 12.6% 12.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 8.7
8-6 13.7% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 12.4
7-7 16.9% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 16.3
6-8 16.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.3
5-9 14.2% 14.2
4-10 10.1% 10.1
3-11 5.7% 5.7
2-12 2.6% 2.6
1-13 0.8% 0.8
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 1.4 95.1 0.0%