Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
136 St. Thomas 31.2%   15   7 - 4 0 - 0 20 - 8 12 - 4 +1.6      +1.1 138 +0.5 151 69.3 193 +1.8 144 0.0 1
144 North Dakota St. 27.5%   7 - 3 0 - 0 19 - 8 11 - 5 +0.9      +0.1 164 +0.8 139 70.6 160 +3.6 121 0.0 1
158 South Dakota St. 24.2%   4 - 5 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 5 +0.1      -1.0 195 +1.1 135 71.6 127 -2.0 196 0.0 1
235 Nebraska Omaha 8.1%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 16 9 - 7 -4.1      -0.5 179 -3.6 292 68.5 214 -6.9 269 0.0 1
278 South Dakota 3.9%   5 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 15 7 - 9 -6.2      -0.9 185 -5.3 339 79.5 13 -6.0 254 0.0 1
300 Oral Roberts 2.6%   2 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 7 - 9 -7.8      -2.4 232 -5.4 340 72.6 98 -5.0 244 0.0 1
314 Denver 1.5%   3 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 6 - 10 -9.0      +1.4 128 -10.5 365 67.9 224 -3.5 226 0.0 1
342 North Dakota 0.5%   2 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 22 5 - 11 -11.5      -7.7 350 -3.8 298 71.9 118 -13.7 340 0.0 1
345 UMKC 0.5%   0 - 9 0 - 0 5 - 23 4 - 12 -11.8      -9.1 359 -2.7 262 72.1 114 -15.7 350 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 345 UMKC 60 214 Weber St. 64   
Thu, Dec 11 312 Cal St. Bakersfield 69 144 North Dakota St. 80   
Sat, Dec 13 135 Drake 94 144 North Dakota St. 99   
Sat, Dec 13 136 St. Thomas 80 227 UNC Asheville 59   
Sat, Dec 13 272 Cal St. Fullerton 105 314 Denver 86   
Sat, Dec 13 327 Prairie View 85 278 South Dakota 97   
Sat, Dec 13 342 North Dakota 66 354 Western Illinois 69   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 15 158 South Dakota St. 73 97 Wyoming 77 68%   
Tue, Dec 16 250 Missouri St. 75 300 Oral Roberts 69 71%   
Tue, Dec 16 345 UMKC 62 44 Oklahoma 88 98%   
Thu, Dec 18 300 Oral Roberts 65 45 TCU 86 97%   
Thu, Dec 18 342 North Dakota 72 112 Winthrop 84 87%   
Thu, Dec 18 345 UMKC 67 53 Oklahoma St. 92 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
St. Thomas 2.1 42.7 26.8 16.7 8.1 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
North Dakota St. 2.3 37.2 26.9 18.7 9.8 4.5 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
South Dakota St. 2.6 29.9 26.1 20.9 11.9 6.4 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
Nebraska Omaha 4.1 8.0 12.7 17.7 22.4 16.6 11.2 6.6 3.5 1.3
South Dakota 5.1 3.1 6.3 11.5 18.1 20.7 17.1 12.3 7.3 3.7
Oral Roberts 5.7 1.6 4.0 7.5 13.3 18.3 19.3 16.7 12.1 7.3
Denver 6.2 0.8 2.3 5.0 10.0 15.4 19.0 19.8 16.4 11.3
North Dakota 7.2 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.5 8.7 13.9 19.4 24.9 26.0
UMKC 7.3 0.2 0.6 1.5 4.2 7.8 12.9 18.4 25.0 29.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
St. Thomas 12 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.9 7.3 11.9 16.2 18.6 17.6 13.0 6.8 1.7
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.0 8.9 13.1 16.7 18.1 16.2 11.2 5.3 1.3
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.7 7.0 10.7 14.4 17.1 16.7 14.1 8.8 3.7 0.8
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.5 8.6 12.5 15.1 16.1 14.2 11.3 7.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.0
South Dakota 7 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.0 6.2 9.9 14.3 16.0 15.8 13.3 9.8 5.9 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
Oral Roberts 7 - 9 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.9 10.2 13.6 16.2 15.5 13.5 9.9 6.1 3.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
Denver 6 - 10 0.3 1.6 4.5 8.9 13.0 16.1 16.6 14.4 11.0 6.8 3.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 5 - 11 1.1 5.0 10.8 15.9 18.1 17.2 13.1 9.3 5.2 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
UMKC 4 - 12 1.6 6.1 12.0 16.4 18.4 16.1 12.5 8.3 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
St. Thomas 42.7% 29.6 10.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
North Dakota St. 37.2% 24.9 9.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 29.9% 18.9 8.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 8.0% 4.0 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Dakota 3.1% 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oral Roberts 1.6% 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Denver 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
North Dakota 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
UMKC 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
St. Thomas 31.2% 31.2% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.4 2.3 7.8 11.9 7.4 1.5 68.8 0.0%
North Dakota St. 27.5% 27.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.9 7.0 10.6 6.5 1.3 72.5 0.0%
South Dakota St. 24.2% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.9 8.7 3.7 75.8 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.7 91.9 0.0%
South Dakota 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 96.1 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 97.4 0.0%
Denver 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.3 98.5 0.0%
North Dakota 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%
UMKC 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
St. Thomas 31.2% 0.3% 31.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 27.5% 0.3% 27.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 24.2% 1.4% 23.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 8.1% 3.2% 6.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 3.9% 1.8% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 2.6% 1.7% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 1.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.0% 1.0 5.0 95.0
2nd Round 4.6% 0.0 95.4 4.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0