IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-4.9	#250
Expected Predictive Rating	-7.2	#278

Pace	68.5	#189
Improvement	+1.1	#130

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#229	C	D+	C	C	C
Defense	#259	C-	C+	D	C-	D+

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	36%	#259	1.13	#199	-2.1	#256
2 Pt. Jumpers	20%	#191	0.82	#99	+0.4	#158
Three Pointers	44%	#120	0.97	#235	+0.7	#147
1st FG Attempt			1.00	#206	-0.9	#206
Freethrows	0.29	#215	72%	#212	0.21	#205
Second Chance	25.7%	#310	1.08	#133	0.28	#265
Turnovers					16.9%	#210
Total Offense					-2.3	#229

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	36%	#246	1.26	#307	-0.6	#197
2 Pt. Jumpers	15%	#335	0.83	#295	+1.7	#66
Three Pointers	49%	#15	0.99	#134	-3.3	#312
1st FG Attempt			1.07	#263	-2.3	#260
Freethrows	0.31	#199	74%	#290	0.23	#227
Second Chance	28.4%	#102	1.08	#233	0.31	#145
Turnovers					13.9%	#325
Total Defense					-2.7	#259

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.2%	#204	1.2%	#277
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-1.6%	#201	3.4%	#245
Possession Length	18.5	#292	16.5	#46
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.13	#278	0.16	#146
Improvement	-2.1	#291	+3.2	#28

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	6.1%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	3.5%	6.3%	1.1%
.500 or above in Conference	39.6%	56.9%	24.8%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.1%	1.5%

First Four	3.6%	3.7%	3.5%
First Round	3.7%	4.6%	2.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	3 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 7	11 - 18

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	101 Murray St.	L	77 - 85	17%	-5	0 - 1		-3	-6	C+	F+	F	+4	A+	C+	B
Thu, Nov 6	252 @Abilene Christian	L	71 - 73	39%	-4	0 - 2		-4	+0	C+	F	F+	-4	D	C	C+
Sun, Nov 9	97 @Colorado St.	L	74 - 97	11%	-8	0 - 3		-15	+7	B-	D	A	-23	D	F	D+
Sat, Nov 15	282 Southern Utah	W	90 - 85	69%	+3	1 - 3		-5	+8	A-	F	C	-13	F	B+	F
Fri, Nov 21	41 @LSU	L	73 - 99	4%	-16	1 - 4		-11	-1	C	F+	C	-7	F	A+	C
Tue, Nov 25	210 James Madison	L	77 - 88	43%	-13	1 - 5		-14	+7	A	C+	F	-22	F	F	D
Wed, Nov 26	181 @Florida International	L	61 - 74	27%	-8	1 - 6		-11	-13	F	B+	F	+2	B-	C+	F
Wed, Dec 3	197 Northern Colorado	L	70 - 75	51%	-1	1 - 7		-10	-3	D	B-	C-	-7	D+	A+	F+
Sat, Dec 6	149 @Portland St.	W	60 - 55	21%	+2	2 - 7		+9	+5	D-	A+	C-	+4	A	C	D+
Sat, Dec 20	207 @Lamar	W	85 - 82 OT	31%	+7	3 - 7		+3	+10	B+	C+	D+	-7	C+	F	D+
Sun, Dec 28	72 @Oregon	L	57 - 80	8%	-11	3 - 8		-12	-5	F+	C	B	-10	F+	A-	F+
Thu, Jan 1	171 @South Dakota St.	L	69 - 84	25%	-6	3 - 9	0 - 1	-13	-3	F	F	A+	-10	C	F	D+
Sat, Jan 3	354 UMKC	L	66 - 73	86%	-2	3 - 10	0 - 2	-24	-11	D+	D	F	-13	D+	B-	F
Thu, Jan 8	290 North Dakota	W	90 - 79	70%	+7	4 - 10	1 - 2	+1	+12	A+	D	C+	-12	D+	C-	F
Sat, Jan 10	134 North Dakota St.	L	76 - 78	37%	+6	4 - 11	1 - 3	-3	+12	B-	A+	C	-15	F	B-	D-
Sat, Jan 17	332 @Oral Roberts	W	73 - 62	60%	+6	5 - 11	2 - 3	+3	-0	B-	F	B+	+4	B	B-	C
Wed, Jan 21	287 South Dakota	L	64 - 68	70%	+2	5 - 12	2 - 4	-14	-18	F	D-	F+	+4	D+	A+	A+
Sat, Jan 24	354 @UMKC	W	77 - 60	71%	+8	6 - 12	3 - 4	+6	-3	D-	A	F	+9	C	A	C+
Wed, Jan 28	171 South Dakota St.	L	75 - 76	46%
Sat, Jan 31	284 @Denver	L	80 - 81	48%
Thu, Feb 5	290 @North Dakota	L	76 - 77	48%
Sat, Feb 7	134 @North Dakota St.	L	68 - 77	19%
Thu, Feb 12	127 St. Thomas	L	73 - 77	36%
Sat, Feb 14	284 Denver	W	83 - 78	69%
Wed, Feb 18	332 Oral Roberts	W	78 - 69	79%
Wed, Feb 25	287 @South Dakota	L	80 - 81	48%
Sat, Feb 28	127 @St. Thomas	L	70 - 80	18%
Totals						10 - 17	7 - 9	-5	-2	C	D+	C	-3	C-	C+	D

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st												0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1					0.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	3.5	3.1	0.6	0.0					8.0	3rd
4th							0.0	1.4	7.9	6.8	1.3	0.0						17.5	4th
5th						0.1	3.3	13.1	11.1	2.1	0.1							29.8	5th
6th					0.1	3.4	11.7	9.7	1.5	0.0								26.5	6th
7th				0.1	2.3	7.1	4.9	0.7	0.0									15.2	7th
8th				0.4	1.3	0.5	0.0											2.2	8th
9th				0.1	0.0													0.1	9th

Total				0.5	3.7	11.2	20.0	24.9	21.2	12.4	4.8	1.1	0.1						Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	2-Way	3-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	27.8%	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.9%	0.0		0.0
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4	0.1%																	0.0	0.0			0.1
11-5	1.1%	17.6%	17.6%		14.8														0.0	0.2	0.0	0.9
10-6	4.8%	10.7%	10.7%		15.2														0.0	0.4	0.1	4.3
9-7	12.4%	8.4%	8.4%		15.9															0.1	1.0	11.4
8-8	21.2%	5.7%	5.7%		16.0															0.0	1.2	20.0
7-9	24.9%	4.8%	4.8%		16.0																1.2	23.7
6-10	20.0%	3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.6	19.4
5-11	11.2%	1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.2	11.0
4-12	3.7%	2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.1	3.6
3-13	0.5%																					0.5
2-14
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	5.1%	5.1%	0.0%	15.9																	94.9	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%