Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.6 #332
Expected Predictive Rating -12.9 #343
Pace 68.1 #203
Improvement -5.8 #359

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #320 D+ D+ D+ C B-
Defense #316 C- D D+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #156 1.09 #265 -0.9 #214
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #291 0.70 #258 -2.3 #293
Three Pointers 45% #97 0.88 #332 -0.9 #213
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #298 -4.1 #297
Freethrows 0.30 #195 73% #156 0.22 #181
Second Chance 26.4% #295 1.00 #232 0.26 #290
Turnovers 18.0% #282
Total Offense -5.8 #320

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #15 1.11 #116 -3.5 #294
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #243 0.86 #326 -0.1 #189
Three Pointers 36% #322 1.07 #264 +1.8 #117
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #235 -1.7 #234
Freethrows 0.32 #234 71% #133 0.23 #213
Second Chance 32.9% #278 1.14 #299 0.37 #306
Turnovers 15.0% #274
Total Defense -4.9 #316

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #88 1.7% #327
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.2% #325 1.7% #212
Possession Length 17.4 #181 16.8 #87
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #148 0.16 #144
Improvement -3.8 #348 -2.0 #296

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 56.1% 38.0% 62.8%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 27.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 44 - 106 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 63 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 3% -9  0 - 1 -12 -10 F D+ D+ +2 A- F B+
 Wed, Nov 12 73 Tulsa L 87 - 88 8% +2  0 - 2 +4 +9 A- C B -5 A- C- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 75 Belmont L 60 - 83 8% -6  0 - 3 -18 -16 F F+ C+ -1 C F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 52 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0 - 4 -11 +2 D A+ F -12 C+ F F
 Mon, Nov 24 231 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 18% -0  0 - 5 -6 +7 A+ C+ F -13 F F C
 Tue, Nov 25 156 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 15% -1  1 - 5 +8 +8 A+ F F -1 C C+ B
 Wed, Nov 26 238 Rice L 62 - 81 27% -10  1 - 6 -23 -6 F A- D+ -20 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 215 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 17% -17  1 - 7 -26 -12 D+ F F+ -13 F C F+
 Sat, Dec 6 157 Montana St. W 72 - 68 23% -6  2 - 7 +1 +4 D C- D- -2 C- B- A+
 Tue, Dec 16 177 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 13% -2  2 - 8 +1 -3 F+ D C +4 C A D+
 Thu, Dec 18 44 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  2 - 9 -4 -2 B- F D -6 B- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 158 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 23% -6  2 - 10 -15 -11 F D F+ -4 D+ D C+
 Thu, Jan 1 290 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 27% -10  2 - 11 0 - 1 -15 -15 F D B -1 C D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 134 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 9% +0  2 - 12 0 - 2 +3 +1 D C C+ +2 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 127 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 18% -2  2 - 13 0 - 3 -12 +1 C D- A+ -14 C+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 14 284 @Denver L 87 - 98 27% -6  2 - 14 0 - 4 -15 +6 C D- A -21 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 250 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 40% -6  2 - 15 0 - 5 -19 -12 F D- F -7 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 290 North Dakota L 62 - 79 49% -8  2 - 16 0 - 6 -27 -14 F B F -15 D+ D F
 Sat, Jan 24 134 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  2 - 17 0 - 7 -29 -9 C- C- F+ -24 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 287 @South Dakota L 77 - 83 27%
 Sat, Jan 31 171 @South Dakota St. L 68 - 81 11%
 Sat, Feb 7 127 @St. Thomas L 67 - 83 7%
 Thu, Feb 12 354 UMKC W 76 - 70 72%
 Sat, Feb 14 171 South Dakota St. L 71 - 78 27%
 Wed, Feb 18 250 @Nebraska Omaha L 69 - 78 21%
 Sat, Feb 21 287 South Dakota L 79 - 80 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 284 Denver L 80 - 81 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 354 @UMKC W 73 - 72 49%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 -6 D+ D+ D+ -5 C- D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 1.1 5.8 6.6 1.2 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 5.8 18.3 14.0 2.9 0.1 41.1 8th
9th 2.3 10.3 16.3 8.1 1.0 0.0 38.0 9th
Total 2.3 10.3 22.1 27.5 21.0 11.8 4.2 0.8 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
7-9 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-10 4.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.1
5-11 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
4-12 21.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 20.9
3-13 27.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 27.4
2-14 22.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.1
1-15 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
0-16 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%