South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#278
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#254
Pace79.5#13
Improvement+1.1#107

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#185
First Shot-3.5#277
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#42
Layup/Dunks-0.3#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#335
Freethrows+1.3#102
Improvement+2.0#48

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#339
First Shot-4.9#332
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks-10.4#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#15
Freethrows-1.7#288
Improvement-0.8#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.9% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 27.9% 51.0% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 60.1% 48.7%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.0% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 3.8% 7.6%
First Four1.8% 1.0% 1.8%
First Round3.1% 5.5% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 412 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 262 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 59%     0 - 1 -10.5 -8.9 -1.4
  Wed, Nov 5 59 @Creighton L 76-92 5%     0 - 2 -3.7 +5.1 -8.2
  Wed, Nov 12 317 Southern Indiana W 89-74 72%     1 - 2 +2.8 -2.5 +2.8
  Sun, Nov 16 242 Western Michigan W 83-78 56%     2 - 2 -2.7 +7.0 -9.6
  Thu, Nov 20 50 @Missouri L 68-102 4%     2 - 3 -20.2 -4.7 -13.6
  Sun, Nov 23 360 South Carolina St. W 82-81 86%     3 - 3 -16.6 +1.0 -17.7
  Sat, Nov 29 324 Air Force W 80-63 63%     4 - 3 +7.3 +6.0 +1.7
  Wed, Dec 3 178 Portland St. L 71-77 42%     4 - 4 -10.3 -7.2 -2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 156 @Northern Colorado L 87-89 OT 19%     4 - 5 +1.2 +8.1 -6.8
  Tue, Dec 9 97 @Wyoming L 79-106 10%     4 - 6 -18.9 +5.4 -22.7
  Sat, Dec 13 327 Prairie View W 97-85 74%     5 - 6 -0.8 +7.4 -9.6
  Sat, Dec 20 67 @Kansas St. L 80-97 5%    
  Wed, Dec 31 144 @North Dakota St. L 77-87 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 136 @St. Thomas L 76-87 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 314 Denver W 89-83 70%    
  Thu, Jan 15 345 UMKC W 84-75 79%    
  Sat, Jan 17 342 @North Dakota W 82-80 58%    
  Wed, Jan 21 235 @Nebraska Omaha L 80-85 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 136 St. Thomas L 79-84 33%    
  Thu, Jan 29 300 Oral Roberts W 87-82 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 144 North Dakota St. L 80-84 35%    
  Wed, Feb 4 345 @UMKC W 81-78 59%    
  Sat, Feb 7 158 @South Dakota St. L 77-86 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 342 North Dakota W 85-77 77%    
  Thu, Feb 19 314 @Denver L 86-87 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 300 @Oral Roberts L 84-85 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 235 Nebraska Omaha W 83-82 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 158 South Dakota St. L 80-83 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.0 2.4 0.3 11.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 6.0 7.4 2.9 0.2 18.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.3 7.9 7.7 2.5 0.2 20.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.4 7.2 5.8 1.5 0.0 17.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.0 6.2 9.9 14.3 16.0 15.8 13.3 9.8 5.9 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 95.5% 0.4    0.3 0.0
13-3 80.2% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
12-4 37.1% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 9.9% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.4% 18.8% 18.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 22.1% 22.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9
12-4 2.9% 14.6% 14.6% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.5
11-5 5.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.3
10-6 9.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 9.0
9-7 13.3% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.1 0.6 12.7
8-8 15.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 15.3
7-9 16.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.4 15.6
6-10 14.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.0
5-11 9.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.8
4-12 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-13 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 96.1 0.0%