South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.2 284
Results Rating -6.1 257
Consistency 0.12 23
Pace 73.7 43
Improvement -0.7 212

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 274 D+ D+ C- A- C+
Defense D+ 275 D D- C- C+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 51 D+ 55% 260 +1.6 119
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 125 D+ 34% 296 -0.9 236
Three Pointers 36% 276 D+ 32% 274 -3.4 296
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 123 D+ -3.1 290
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 263
Second Chance D+ 26.9% 274 D+ 0.97 268 D+ 0.26 286
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.5% 290
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 106
Turnovers C- 17.2% 215
Freethrows A- 0.37 13 B- 74% 110 A- 0.28 16
Total Offense D+ -3.8 274

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 42% 291 D+ 12.9% 300
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 323 C 5.0% 184
Three Pointers C- 81% 244 C+ 0.8% 156
Total D 48% 322 D 6.9% 316


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 52% 1 C- 60% 237 +9.0 365
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 251 D- 44% 343 +0.2 209
Three Pointers 29% 364 C 34% 181 -5.8 5
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.2 361 D+ +2.1 266
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 295
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 279 D- 1.16 340 D- 0.38 328
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 271
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 146
Turnovers C- 15.7% 241
Freethrows C+ 0.28 128 D 75% 311 C+ 0.21 158
Total Defense D+ -3.4 275

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 74 D 6.7% 336
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 83 F+ 0.8% 357
Three Pointers C- 85% 219 D+ 0.5% 258
Total B+ 48% 37 D 3.8% 318

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 169 16.2 23
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 308 0.19 259
Consistency 0.09 8 0.13 263
Improvement -3.6 330 +2.9 60

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 284 284 284
Results Rating Rank 258 258 257
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 412 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 199 Utah Tech L 79 - 81 OT 42% -2  21% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F -13 F D D B+ +6 C A- B-
 Wed, Nov 5 71 @Creighton L 76 - 92 5% -12  4% 0 - 2 C- -5 C+ +2 C D+ D D -6 A- F A-
 Wed, Nov 12 337 Southern Indiana W 89 - 74 78% +9  84% 1 - 2 C -0 D -6 D- B- F B- +3 A- F+ C+
 Sun, Nov 16 277 Western Michigan W 83 - 78 59% -3  17% 2 - 2 C- -5 C+ +2 D+ C A+ D- -7 F F A
 Thu, Nov 20 47 @Missouri L 68 - 102 3% -14  1% 2 - 3 F -19 D -6 D A F F -12 F F A
 Sun, Nov 23 356 South Carolina St. W 82 - 81 86% +8  93% 3 - 3 F+ -18 C- -2 C D+ F F -16 D- F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 344 Air Force W 80 - 63 72% +11  96% 4 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +2 C C F B- +2 A+ B- F+
 Wed, Dec 3 158 Portland St. L 71 - 77 33% -5  16% 4 - 4 D -9 D- -8 F A F+ C -1 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 155 @Northern Colorado L 87 - 89 OT 16% -2  19% 4 - 5 C +1 B- +5 B C F D+ -3 F D- B-
 Tue, Dec 9 102 @Wyoming L 79 - 106 9% -15  0% 4 - 6 F -19 C +1 C- A- D F -19 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 13 303 Prairie View W 97 - 85 67% +9  82% 5 - 6 C +0 B +6 C C+ B- D- -7 F D- B
 Sat, Dec 20 97 @Kansas St. L 76 - 106 8% -22  1% 5 - 7 F -22 C- -1 D+ D+ B+ F -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 125 @North Dakota St. L 61 - 84 12% -10  35% 5 - 8 0 - 1 F+ -18 D -6 D D F F -14 F F F+
 Wed, Jan 7 112 @St. Thomas L 86 - 99 11% -15  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -7 B+ +8 A C F F -15 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 253 Denver W 82 - 72 54% +2  60% 6 - 9 1 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -4 B F C B+ +6 A D- B-
 Thu, Jan 15 363 UMKC W 99 - 83 91% +17  96% 7 - 9 2 - 2 D+ -6 B+ +8 B- A- A- F -15 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 280 @North Dakota L 80 - 96 38% -11  3% 7 - 10 2 - 3 F -20 C +1 B F C+ F -21 F F F
 Wed, Jan 21 257 @Nebraska Omaha W 68 - 64 32% -2  27% 8 - 10 3 - 3 C +2 F -11 C- F F A+ +13 A- C- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 112 St. Thomas L 78 - 90 24% -2  30% 8 - 11 3 - 4 D- -12 C+ +2 D+ C+ A+ F -14 D F C
 Thu, Jan 29 313 Oral Roberts W 77 - 69 69% +1  56% 9 - 11 4 - 4 C- -4 D -5 F C+ A+ C+ +1 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 125 North Dakota St. L 84 - 89 OT 26% -7  4% 9 - 12 4 - 5 D+ -6 B- +4 B- C A- F+ -9 F C- A-
 Wed, Feb 4 363 @UMKC W 82 - 75 OT 79% -2  26% 10 - 12 5 - 5 D -9 F+ -8 F F+ B C -1 F B A-
 Sat, Feb 7 218 @South Dakota St. W 68 - 67 25% +3  67% 11 - 12 6 - 5 C +1 D- -8 C- F C+ A +9 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 11 280 North Dakota L 71 - 72 61% +1  52% 11 - 13 6 - 6 D -11 D- -8 F D B- D+ -3 B- F D-
 Thu, Feb 19 253 @Denver L 70 - 90 32% -5  11% 11 - 14 6 - 7 F -22 D- -8 D D- F+ F -16 D- B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 313 @Oral Roberts L 62 - 67 46% -4  0% 11 - 15 6 - 8 D -11 F -18 F+ F F A- +7 B A+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 257 Nebraska Omaha W 89 - 72 55% +11  97% 12 - 15 7 - 8 B +9 B- +5 B+ F B+ B- +3 B+ F D
 Sat, Feb 28 218 South Dakota St. W 75 - 70 46% -3  42% 13 - 15 8 - 8 C -1 D+ -4 D+ F A B- +2 C B- B-
 Fri, Mar 6 257 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 76 43% -4  2% 13 - 16 F -19 F -12 F C+ A F+ -9 D+ C- F
Totals 13 - 16 8 - 8 -7 D+ -4 F D+ C+ D+ -3 D+ B- A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ D+ D+ D+ 43% 42% 36% C+ D+ D+ D+ D+ C- A- B- A- D+ C- D- C D+ 52% 19% 29% F+ D D+ D- D- C- C+ D C+
1.03 55% 34% 32% -3 0 0.97 27% 1.0 .26 17% .37 74% .28 1.13 60% 44% 34% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.2 .38 16% .28 75% .28
Nov
3		 Utah Tech F F+ C- F F 49% 24% 27% C- F C F D D A+ B+ A+ B+ C F A+ B- 54% 8% 38% F C C A+ A- B- B A+ A-
0.96 52% 36% 13% -12 0 0.78 32% 0.9 .27 17% .51 77% .39 0.98 61% 80% 26% 0 +3 1.08 28% 0.6 .16 18% .19 62% .12
Nov
5		 Creighton C+ C F C- C- 54% 20% 25% A C A+ F D+ D B- F+ C D C C+ A+ A 48% 20% 32% D A- F F F A- A F B
1.04 56% 25% 33% -4 +1 0.97 46% 0.5 .22 18% .23 64% .15 1.26 63% 36% 22% -4 +1 0.96 54% 1.5 .83 18% .18 91% .17
Nov
12		 Southern Indiana D B F F F+ 61% 24% 14% C+ D- C B B- F A+ A- A+ B- B+ A+ A+ A 44% 19% 37% D- A- A F F+ C+ F F F
1.06 63% 8% 29% -5 +1 0.94 34% 1.1 .37 21% .70 80% .56 0.88 43% 20% 21% -17 +1 0.69 22% 1.6 .34 18% .48 82% .39
Nov
16		 Western Michigan C+ F A+ C+ D+ 28% 15% 57% D+ D+ D+ A- C A+ C+ F+ C- D- F D A F 62% 15% 23% F F F F F A A F B+
1.21 47% 50% 35% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.3 .34 4% .33 64% .21 1.13 69% 43% 27% +5 +2 1.17 41% 1.5 .59 22% .20 82% .17
Nov
20		 Missouri D A- D- F+ D 23% 27% 50% D D B- A+ A F A F C F F+ F F F 68% 13% 19% F F F B- F A F F F
0.92 64% 31% 29% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.3 .39 23% .37 57% .21 1.38 72% 50% 56% +17 +3 1.43 50% 1.1 .54 23% .53 80% .42
Nov
23		 South Carolina St. C- C C+ B- C 55% 15% 30% C+ C A+ F D+ F A+ F B+ F B- C- F+ C- 59% 16% 25% F D- F F F D- C F F+
1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34 1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28
Nov
29		 Air Force C+ B+ A+ F C 45% 20% 35% B- C A+ F C F A+ C A+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ 68% 7% 24% F A+ A+ F B- F+ F F F
1.16 68% 60% 24% +4 +1 1.10 49% 0.6 .31 20% .46 72% .33 0.92 50% 0% 10% -17 +4 0.76 13% 1.5 .20 17% .62 74% .46
Dec
3		 Portland St. D- F D+ F F 62% 12% 26% A+ F B A+ A F+ A+ F+ A+ C C- A+ D- C+ 75% 9% 15% F D+ B+ A A- D+ F C F
0.93 39% 33% 23% -17 +3 0.74 33% 1.3 .43 22% .57 68% .38 1.00 58% 0% 38% -3 +4 1.04 25% 0.8 .19 17% .41 69% .28
Dec
6		 Northern Colorado B- C A+ F B 58% 23% 19% C+ B C C C F A A+ A+ D+ F D F F 47% 17% 36% D F A- F D- B- F A+ D-
1.14 58% 58% 20% +1 +1 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 17% .43 93% .39 1.17 72% 44% 42% +12 +1 1.28 21% 1.7 .34 18% .40 56% .22
Dec
9		 Wyoming C F B A C 35% 29% 37% F C- C- A+ A- D A+ A A+ F F+ F+ F F 59% 7% 34% F F C- F F D+ C- D- D+
1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41 1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27
Dec
13		 Prairie View B C- A+ F C- 52% 19% 29% B- C B+ D C+ B- A+ B+ A+ D- C F B- D 67% 12% 22% F F D- D D- B B+ B- A-
1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51 1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20
Dec
20		 Kansas St. C- C- F A+ D 49% 23% 28% B- D+ D B D+ B+ B- F D F F+ F F F 60% 3% 36% F F F F F C- C+ D C+
1.01 54% 0% 44% -7 +1 0.89 27% 1.3 .33 16% .31 55% .17 1.40 71% 50% 48% +16 +4 1.41 41% 1.3 .52 16% .25 75% .19
Dec
31		 North Dakota St. D F B+ A D+ 25% 30% 45% F D C F D F B+ A+ A F F F A+ F 40% 19% 40% D F F F F F+ D A- C-
0.96 36% 46% 40% +1 -2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 24% .31 87% .27 1.32 76% 70% 24% +7 0 1.17 41% 1.3 .52 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
7		 St. Thomas B+ C- B- A+ A+ 38% 20% 42% D+ A C+ C- C F B- A+ A F F B- F F 54% 11% 36% D F B- F F D D F D-
1.17 58% 40% 48% +9 0 1.20 30% 1.1 .33 22% .30 94% .28 1.35 77% 33% 45% +15 +2 1.38 19% 1.8 .33 12% .33 76% .25
Jan
10		 Denver D+ B- C A B 49% 15% 36% B- B F F F C B B- B B+ A F A+ A+ 35% 25% 40% D A C F D- B- A F B+
1.17 65% 38% 42% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.4 .09 13% .36 73% .26 1.02 45% 57% 22% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.4 .39 16% .22 85% .19
Jan
15		 UMKC B+ D- A+ A+ B- 46% 13% 41% B- B- C A+ A- A- A+ A+ A+ F D- B- D F 48% 20% 33% F F D+ B+ C+ F C A+ B-
1.30 52% 57% 45% +7 +2 1.19 38% 1.3 .50 13% .38 84% .32 1.09 62% 33% 35% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.8 .22 10% .26 56% .15
Jan
17		 North Dakota C C+ F A+ B 44% 10% 46% C+ B F F F C+ B A+ A+ F F C C F 52% 18% 30% D+ F F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.15 62% 20% 45% +8 +2 1.21 23% 0.7 .17 19% .42 83% .35 1.37 66% 36% 33% +3 +1 1.11 38% 1.8 .71 9% .11 57% .06
Jan
21		 Nebraska Omaha F A F C C 30% 17% 52% C- C- F A+ F F A B A A+ F C- A+ A 46% 20% 34% D A- C D C- B+ F A+ C-
0.94 71% 25% 33% +1 0 1.04 11% 1.3 .14 24% .38 76% .29 0.89 70% 40% 6% -9 +1 0.86 24% 1.1 .27 19% .38 59% .22
Jan
24		 St. Thomas C+ C F D D 46% 17% 37% C+ D+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ F D F D- D 45% 8% 47% D+ D F D+ F C F F F
1.12 60% 22% 30% -4 +1 0.96 20% 1.7 .34 10% .38 79% .30 1.30 68% 50% 39% +9 +2 1.24 36% 1.0 .36 14% .44 77% .34
Jan
29		 Oral Roberts D F+ F F F 67% 8% 25% A F D- A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A F F+ D+ 53% 24% 24% C- D+ B+ A+ A+ F B+ A- A-
1.09 47% 25% 25% -12 +4 0.85 26% 1.5 .38 7% .56 68% .38 0.97 41% 62% 38% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.6 .13 14% .25 67% .16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Dakota St. B- B A+ C- C+ 35% 13% 52% B- B- F A+ C A- A+ A+ A+ F+ C- D F F 50% 13% 38% F F C D+ C- A- A F B
1.13 67% 57% 33% +5 +1 1.13 19% 1.3 .26 15% .36 87% .32 1.20 61% 43% 48% +10 +2 1.25 31% 1.1 .34 20% .19 82% .15
Feb
4		 UMKC F+ D F F F 44% 15% 41% C+ F F A F+ B A+ A+ A+ C F A C- F 47% 32% 21% C- F A D- B A- B+ D B
1.02 54% 13% 27% -10 +1 0.85 23% 1.3 .29 15% .51 80% .41 0.93 70% 28% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.0 .18 22% .21 69% .14
Feb
7		 South Dakota St. D- F+ C B C- 30% 19% 51% C- C- F D F C+ F F F A A D F C 40% 35% 25% A C+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A F B+
0.98 50% 40% 37% 0 0 1.02 16% 1.0 .16 14% .22 62% .13 0.96 45% 42% 43% 0 -2 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 14% .18 82% .15
Feb
11		 North Dakota D- A+ D- F F 54% 6% 40% A- F C- D D B- F+ B+ D D+ A F A A- 71% 8% 21% F B- F D- F D- A- C+ B+
1.06 74% 33% 10% -6 +3 0.96 32% 1.0 .32 18% .31 76% .24 1.08 43% 75% 27% -10 +4 0.90 36% 1.2 .42 12% .27 69% .19
Feb
19		 Denver D- A+ F F D+ 38% 26% 36% D- D F A+ D- F+ A+ C- A+ F B C F F 30% 41% 30% A D- F+ A+ B- F F F F
1.07 87% 10% 29% +1 -1 1.03 19% 1.6 .31 17% .65 69% .44 1.38 50% 41% 56% +9 -3 1.13 35% 0.8 .29 6% .41 92% .38
Feb
21		 Oral Roberts F C C F F 57% 9% 34% B+ F+ F F F F A+ F B A- B+ F A+ C+ 37% 37% 25% A+ B D+ A+ A+ D F D- F
0.85 57% 40% 17% -9 +3 0.89 15% 0.4 .06 19% .44 58% .26 0.92 47% 47% 23% -5 -2 0.88 30% 0.5 .14 17% .38 78% .30
Feb
25		 Nebraska Omaha B- D+ A+ A+ B+ 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F F F B+ A+ B A+ B- A B D+ A 56% 17% 27% F B+ B- F F D F B+ F
1.21 57% 50% 43% +7 +2 1.19 16% 0.8 .13 11% .46 77% .35 0.98 45% 33% 36% -8 +2 0.90 22% 1.6 .36 14% .44 68% .30
Feb
28		 South Dakota St. D+ D- A+ F D 54% 14% 32% A D+ F F F A A+ A- A+ B- A+ F+ F D+ 40% 38% 23% A+ C F+ A+ B- B- B B- B
1.08 52% 71% 25% -3 +2 1.00 10% 0.7 .07 10% .50 81% .40 1.01 43% 45% 50% +2 -2 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 17% .23 69% .16
Mar
6		 Nebraska Omaha F F F F+ F 35% 21% 44% D+ F B D C+ A A F C+ F+ D- F A D+ 34% 22% 44% C+ D+ C D C- F D+ F+ D
0.96 47% 10% 29% -13 0 0.75 35% 0.9 .33 9% .37 59% .22 1.17 65% 55% 27% +1 0 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 8% .32 79% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%