Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
150 South Dakota St. 26.2%   15   2 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 5 -0.1      -1.7 217 +1.7 115 71.6 131 -3.5 226 0.0 1
155 North Dakota St. 25.7%   3 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 10 11 - 5 -0.2      -1.3 196 +1.1 135 71.3 141 +0.5 159 0.0 1
158 St. Thomas 25.5%   5 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 10 11 - 5 -0.4      -0.3 167 -0.1 166 69.6 187 +1.3 153 0.0 1
256 Nebraska Omaha 7.1%   1 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 17 8 - 8 -5.2      -0.5 176 -4.7 332 72.1 120 -11.3 328 0.0 1
286 South Dakota 4.7%   3 - 3 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -6.8      -1.4 201 -5.4 339 79.7 16 -5.0 246 0.0 1
296 Oral Roberts 3.5%   1 - 6 0 - 0 9 - 19 7 - 9 -7.4      -1.8 220 -5.6 344 73.5 93 -7.0 269 0.0 1
300 Denver 3.3%   2 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -7.7      -0.3 170 -7.4 355 67.0 259 +0.4 163 0.0 1
319 North Dakota 2.7%   2 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 19 6 - 10 -8.5      -5.4 322 -3.1 275 71.6 134 -8.6 297 0.0 1
335 UMKC 1.3%   0 - 5 0 - 0 6 - 22 5 - 11 -10.5      -6.9 347 -3.6 300 73.9 85 -13.7 343 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Nov 24 164 Florida Gulf Coast 93 296 Oral Roberts 88   
Mon, Nov 24 335 UMKC 67 306 Lindenwood 80   
Mon, Nov 24 11 Arizona 103 300 Denver 73   
Tue, Nov 25 163 Kennesaw St. 83 296 Oral Roberts 91   
Tue, Nov 25 150 South Dakota St. 52 89 Utah Valley 75   
Tue, Nov 25 147 James Madison 88 256 Nebraska Omaha 77   
Wed, Nov 26 150 South Dakota St. 52 133 UC Irvine 64   
Wed, Nov 26 215 Florida International 74 256 Nebraska Omaha 61   
Wed, Nov 26 222 Jacksonville St. 43 155 North Dakota St. 56   
Wed, Nov 26 296 Oral Roberts 62 213 Rice 81   
Wed, Nov 26 300 Denver 59 117 Wyoming 101   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Nov 28 172 Arkansas St. 80 155 North Dakota St. 78 58%   
Sat, Nov 29 323 Air Force 74 286 South Dakota 75 57%   
Sat, Nov 29 335 UMKC 72 229 Weber St. 81 81%   
Sat, Nov 29 110 Hawaii 80 319 North Dakota 65 91%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 2.5 35.9 24.4 16.9 10.4 5.9 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.3
North Dakota St. 2.6 34.8 24.2 16.8 10.2 6.2 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.5
St. Thomas 2.6 33.2 24.8 17.4 10.8 6.5 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.4
Nebraska Omaha 4.6 7.1 11.5 14.6 16.8 15.2 13.6 9.4 7.5 4.4
South Dakota 5.4 4.1 7.1 10.3 13.9 14.9 15.5 13.8 12.2 8.2
Oral Roberts 5.7 2.8 5.9 9.2 12.8 14.4 15.5 15.3 14.1 10.1
Denver 5.8 2.7 5.5 8.7 11.8 14.0 15.6 15.9 14.4 11.4
North Dakota 6.1 2.0 4.2 7.0 9.8 13.4 16.1 16.8 16.4 14.4
UMKC 7.0 0.7 2.1 4.0 6.4 9.0 11.9 15.7 20.3 29.8




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.2 7.2 11.4 13.7 15.7 15.7 13.5 8.9 4.4 1.2
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.7 7.3 11.0 14.1 15.7 15.0 12.5 8.7 4.5 1.2
St. Thomas 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.9 8.0 11.6 14.4 15.8 15.8 12.6 7.8 3.7 0.9
Nebraska Omaha 8 - 8 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.0 7.9 11.6 13.8 14.9 14.0 11.6 8.4 4.9 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0
South Dakota 7 - 9 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.0 8.3 11.4 14.2 15.1 13.6 11.3 8.1 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
Oral Roberts 7 - 9 0.2 1.1 3.0 6.2 9.8 13.2 14.3 14.7 12.7 10.5 7.3 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Denver 7 - 9 0.2 1.2 3.4 6.8 10.3 13.7 14.8 14.7 12.3 9.4 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 6 - 10 0.3 1.6 4.6 8.2 12.0 14.6 15.5 14.3 11.2 8.0 4.9 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
UMKC 5 - 11 1.4 5.0 9.8 14.0 15.5 15.0 13.1 10.2 7.2 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 35.9% 24.6 9.2 1.8 0.2 0.1
North Dakota St. 34.8% 24.0 8.5 2.0 0.2 0.0
St. Thomas 33.2% 22.0 9.0 1.9 0.2 0.0
Nebraska Omaha 7.1% 3.6 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
South Dakota 4.1% 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Oral Roberts 2.8% 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Denver 2.7% 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
North Dakota 2.0% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
UMKC 0.7% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 26.2% 26.2% 0.0% 15   0.1 0.7 3.9 7.6 8.6 5.5 73.8 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.7% 25.7% 0.0% 0.2 1.4 4.7 8.6 7.3 3.5 74.3 0.0%
St. Thomas 25.5% 25.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.9 8.4 8.4 3.7 74.5 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 5.4 92.9 0.0%
South Dakota 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 95.3 0.0%
Oral Roberts 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.0 96.5 0.0%
Denver 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 96.7 0.0%
North Dakota 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 2.3 97.3 0.0%
UMKC 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.2 98.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 26.2% 2.4% 25.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 25.7% 1.3% 25.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Thomas 25.5% 1.3% 24.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 7.1% 4.1% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 4.7% 2.2% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 3.5% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 3.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 2.7% 1.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UMKC 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 91.4% 0.9 8.6 91.4
2nd Round 3.8% 0.0 96.2 3.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0