IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Utah
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.7	#89
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.9	#98
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.1	#90

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.6	#101

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.7%	11.2%	3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	9.6%	11.1%	3.6%
Average Seed	8.7	8.6	9.0

.500 or above	35.6%	40.6%	15.0%
.500 or above in Conference	13.6%	15.1%	7.5%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	25.6%	23.0%	36.3%

First Four	2.5%	2.9%	1.0%
First Round	8.4%	9.7%	3.0%
Second Round	4.1%	4.7%	1.6%
Sweet Sixteen	1.1%	1.3%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Home) - 80.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 2	8 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 1	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	159	San Jose St.	W	76-67	80%
Nov 08, 2025	281	Weber St.	W	78-63	93%
Nov 10, 2025	346	Holy Cross	W	82-61	97%
Nov 15, 2025	199	Sam Houston St.	W	79-68	84%
Nov 18, 2025	193	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	81-70	84%
Nov 20, 2025	253	Cal Poly	W	90-76	88%
Nov 26, 2025	78	Grand Canyon	L	76-77	46%
Dec 02, 2025	91	@ California	L	72-75	40%
Dec 06, 2025	174	California Baptist	W	75-65	80%
Dec 13, 2025	32	Mississippi St.	L	70-78	25%
Dec 20, 2025	259	Eastern Washington	W	80-66	88%
Dec 29, 2025	48	@ Washington	L	70-78	23%
Jan 03, 2026	11	Arizona	L	73-82	22%
Jan 07, 2026	84	@ Colorado	L	70-74	37%
Jan 10, 2026	9	BYU	L	71-81	21%
Jan 14, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	65-80	10%
Jan 17, 2026	56	TCU	L	70-71	47%
Jan 20, 2026	57	@ Kansas St.	L	68-75	29%
Jan 24, 2026	9	@ BYU	L	68-84	10%
Jan 31, 2026	73	Oklahoma St.	W	78-77	53%
Feb 04, 2026	69	Arizona St.	W	75-74	51%
Feb 07, 2026	14	@ Kansas	L	65-80	11%
Feb 10, 2026	1	Houston	L	57-73	10%
Feb 15, 2026	45	@ Cincinnati	L	64-73	22%
Feb 18, 2026	58	@ West Virginia	L	65-72	29%
Feb 21, 2026	74	Central Florida	W	78-77	54%
Feb 24, 2026	20	Iowa St.	L	68-76	26%
Feb 28, 2026	69	@ Arizona St.	L	71-77	33%
Mar 03, 2026	84	Colorado	W	73-71	58%
Mar 07, 2026	24	@ Baylor	L	65-77	15%
Projected Record						14 - 16	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				0.2	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1					0.4	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1						0.7	3rd
4th											0.0	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0						1.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0							1.6	5th
6th									0.0	0.5	1.5	0.7	0.1								2.7	6th
7th									0.4	1.7	1.2	0.1	0.0								3.4	7th
8th								0.2	1.8	2.1	0.4										4.5	8th
9th							0.1	1.3	3.0	1.1	0.1										5.5	9th
10th						0.0	0.9	3.5	2.2	0.2											6.8	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	3.7	3.7	0.6	0.0											8.5	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	2.8	4.7	1.6	0.1												9.5	12th
13th				0.2	2.3	5.8	2.7	0.3													11.3	13th
14th			0.2	2.3	5.9	3.6	0.6	0.0													12.7	14th
15th		0.4	2.8	6.4	4.5	0.9	0.0														15.0	15th
16th	1.6	4.3	5.9	3.3	0.9	0.0															16.0	16th

Total	1.6	4.7	8.9	12.3	13.9	13.6	12.7	10.7	8.0	5.7	3.7	2.1	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	56.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	14.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	4.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%		100.0%		100.0%	2.5			0.0	0.0																100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	14.2%	85.8%	3.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
14-4	0.3%		100.0%	5.0%	95.0%	5.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-5	0.6%		98.7%	2.4%	96.3%	6.2		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0						0.0		98.7%
12-6	1.2%		95.8%	1.8%	94.1%	7.3				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0						0.0		95.8%
11-7	2.1%		80.6%	0.4%	80.3%	8.1						0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1						0.4		80.6%
10-8	3.7%		59.8%	0.6%	59.2%	9.1					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.3						1.5		59.5%
9-9	5.7%		38.7%		38.7%	9.7							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.0					3.5		38.7%
8-10	8.0%		14.1%	0.2%	14.0%	10.2								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.0					6.9		14.0%
7-11	10.7%		3.3%		3.3%	10.6										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					10.3		3.3%
6-12	12.7%		0.3%	0.1%	0.2%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					12.7		0.2%
5-13	13.6%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						13.5		0.1%
4-14	13.9%																							13.9
3-15	12.3%																							12.3
2-16	8.9%																							8.9
1-17	4.7%																							4.7
0-18	1.6%																							1.6

Total	100%		9.7%	0.1%	9.6%	8.7		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.4	1.8	2.3	1.7	0.1					90.3		9.6%