IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Colorado
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.5	#84
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#160
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#109

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.4	#65

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	2.0%	2.4%	0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.4%	14.3%	4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	12.2%	14.1%	4.7%
Average Seed	8.7	8.7	9.1

.500 or above	46.9%	52.7%	24.0%
.500 or above in Conference	18.0%	20.2%	9.6%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	19.4%	17.1%	28.4%

First Four	3.6%	4.2%	1.4%
First Round	10.3%	11.9%	4.0%
Second Round	4.8%	5.6%	1.7%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Montana St. (Home) - 79.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 2	9 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 1	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	147	Montana St.	W	73-64	80%
Nov 08, 2025	259	Eastern Washington	W	78-63	91%
Nov 14, 2025	61	Providence	W	70-69	50%
Nov 17, 2025	289	Alabama St.	W	78-61	94%
Nov 21, 2025	255	UC Davis	W	75-60	90%
Nov 27, 2025	77	San Francisco	L	70-71	47%
Dec 01, 2025	174	California Baptist	W	73-62	82%
Dec 06, 2025	98	@ Colorado St.	L	68-70	44%
Dec 13, 2025	168	Texas San Antonio	W	79-69	81%
Dec 17, 2025	217	Portland St.	W	76-63	86%
Dec 20, 2025	99	Stanford	W	69-68	54%
Dec 28, 2025	194	Northern Colorado	W	79-67	84%
Jan 03, 2026	69	@ Arizona St.	L	69-74	34%
Jan 07, 2026	89	Utah	W	74-70	63%
Jan 10, 2026	12	Texas Tech	L	66-74	24%
Jan 14, 2026	45	@ Cincinnati	L	63-71	24%
Jan 17, 2026	58	@ West Virginia	L	63-69	30%
Jan 20, 2026	14	Kansas	L	66-74	26%
Jan 24, 2026	74	Central Florida	W	76-74	56%
Jan 29, 2026	20	@ Iowa St.	L	63-76	14%
Feb 01, 2026	56	TCU	L	68-69	50%
Feb 04, 2026	24	@ Baylor	L	62-74	17%
Feb 07, 2026	69	Arizona St.	W	72-71	54%
Feb 11, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	63-77	12%
Feb 14, 2026	9	@ BYU	L	66-81	11%
Feb 21, 2026	73	Oklahoma St.	W	76-74	56%
Feb 25, 2026	57	Kansas St.	L	69-70	50%
Feb 28, 2026	1	@ Houston	L	52-73	4%
Mar 03, 2026	89	@ Utah	L	71-73	42%
Mar 07, 2026	11	Arizona	L	71-79	24%
Projected Record						15 - 15	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.5	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2						1.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.2	0.0						2.0	4th
5th										0.1	0.9	1.1	0.4	0.0							2.5	5th
6th									0.1	0.6	1.7	0.7	0.1								3.1	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.0	1.5	0.2									4.1	7th
8th								0.2	1.8	2.7	0.6	0.0									5.3	8th
9th							0.1	1.4	3.6	1.4	0.1										6.6	9th
10th						0.0	0.9	4.3	2.9	0.3	0.0										8.4	10th
11th					0.0	0.5	4.0	4.0	0.8	0.0											9.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.3	3.0	5.1	1.7	0.1												10.2	12th
13th				0.1	2.2	5.7	2.8	0.2													11.1	13th
14th			0.1	1.8	5.2	3.6	0.5	0.0													11.3	14th
15th		0.3	2.1	5.1	3.9	0.9	0.0														12.5	15th
16th	1.2	3.2	4.4	2.6	0.6	0.0															11.9	16th

Total	1.2	3.5	6.7	9.6	12.2	13.7	13.5	11.8	9.7	7.1	4.9	2.6	1.9	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	83.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	64.8%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
14-4	16.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.5%	0.0		0.0		0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.0					0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%							0.0
16-2	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1.8		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	10.0%	90.0%	3.8		0.0		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
14-4	0.5%		100.0%	1.7%	98.3%	4.9			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-5	0.8%		97.5%	5.0%	92.5%	6.4		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0							0.0		97.4%
12-6	1.9%		92.3%	3.0%	89.3%	7.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.1		92.1%
11-7	2.6%		78.2%	0.6%	77.6%	8.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1						0.6		78.1%
10-8	4.9%		55.2%	0.3%	54.9%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.0					2.2		55.0%
9-9	7.1%		37.0%	0.2%	36.8%	9.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	1.1	0.7	0.0					4.5		36.8%
8-10	9.7%		13.4%	0.1%	13.3%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.0					8.4		13.3%
7-11	11.8%		3.8%	0.0%	3.8%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.0					11.4		3.8%
6-12	13.5%		0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	11.0												0.0						13.5		0.1%
5-13	13.7%		0.1%		0.1%	10.0											0.0							13.7		0.1%
4-14	12.2%																							12.2
3-15	9.6%																							9.6
2-16	6.7%																							6.7
1-17	3.5%																							3.5
0-18	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		12.4%	0.2%	12.2%	8.7		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.8	1.1	1.6	2.2	3.3	2.2	0.1					87.6		12.2%