Preseason Rankings
UMKC
Summit League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#300
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.4#330
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 7.1% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.3 14.6 15.3
.500 or above 18.9% 41.8% 15.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 55.5% 34.8%
Conference Champion 3.9% 7.8% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.6% 8.8% 18.9%
First Four1.3% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round3.7% 7.0% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Illinois (Away) - 12.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 11
Quad 49 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 138   @ Southern Illinois L 60-72 13%    
  Nov 11, 2025 208   Iona L 65-67 43%    
  Nov 15, 2025 38   @ Texas L 54-78 2%    
  Nov 19, 2025 56   @ TCU L 54-74 3%    
  Nov 24, 2025 326   @ Lindenwood L 66-67 48%    
  Nov 29, 2025 281   @ Weber St. L 62-66 37%    
  Dec 03, 2025 287   Idaho St. W 65-63 59%    
  Dec 06, 2025 259   @ Eastern Washington L 64-69 32%    
  Dec 10, 2025 281   Weber St. W 65-63 57%    
  Dec 16, 2025 47   @ Oklahoma L 57-79 3%    
  Dec 18, 2025 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-79 6%    
  Dec 21, 2025 272   Austin Peay W 65-64 56%    
  Dec 31, 2025 322   @ Denver L 65-66 47%    
  Jan 03, 2026 177   @ Nebraska Omaha L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 08, 2026 215   North Dakota St. L 64-66 44%    
  Jan 10, 2026 315   North Dakota W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 15, 2026 294   @ South Dakota L 74-77 39%    
  Jan 17, 2026 155   @ South Dakota St. L 63-74 18%    
  Jan 24, 2026 177   Nebraska Omaha L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 28, 2026 322   Denver W 68-63 66%    
  Feb 01, 2026 149   @ St. Thomas L 62-73 18%    
  Feb 04, 2026 294   South Dakota W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 12, 2026 318   @ Oral Roberts L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 14, 2026 149   St. Thomas L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 19, 2026 315   @ North Dakota L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 21, 2026 215   @ North Dakota St. L 61-69 26%    
  Feb 26, 2026 155   South Dakota St. L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 28, 2026 318   Oral Roberts W 69-65 64%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.4 3.6 1.4 0.2 9.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.1 4.1 1.3 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.8 4.5 1.1 0.1 13.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 6.5 4.5 0.9 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.3 4.3 0.7 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.0 5.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 14.1 8th
9th 0.6 2.0 3.6 3.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.9 9th
Total 0.6 2.1 4.7 7.5 10.1 12.1 13.1 12.4 11.5 9.0 7.2 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 92.0% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 75.6% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
12-4 42.1% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 14.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2
10-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 38.1% 38.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 36.5% 36.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.5% 27.1% 27.1% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-4 2.7% 19.0% 19.0% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.2
11-5 4.7% 13.7% 13.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 4.0
10-6 7.2% 8.8% 8.8% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 6.6
9-7 9.0% 5.2% 5.2% 17.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.6
8-8 11.5% 3.6% 3.6% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.1
7-9 12.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.6 0.0 0.3 12.1
6-10 13.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.0
5-11 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.0
4-12 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-13 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-14 4.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.7
1-15 2.1% 2.1
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.9 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%