IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.7	#67
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.5	#196
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.0	#74

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.7	#56

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.5%	1.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	4.7%	4.8%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.6%	24.1%	6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	22.5%	23.1%	6.6%
Average Seed	8.4	8.4	9.4

.500 or above	62.3%	63.5%	26.0%
.500 or above in Conference	43.9%	44.7%	19.7%
Conference Champion	1.5%	1.5%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.6%	7.3%	17.1%

First Four	5.4%	5.5%	2.4%
First Round	20.7%	21.2%	5.7%
Second Round	10.7%	11.0%	2.4%
Sweet Sixteen	3.1%	3.1%	1.1%
Elite Eight	1.0%	1.0%	0.2%
Final Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 3	2 - 8
Quad 2	5 - 4	7 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 14
Quad 4	6 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	303	American	W	75-55	97%
Nov 07, 2025	291	Morehead St.	W	75-56	96%
Nov 11, 2025	6	Michigan	L	67-78	15%
Nov 16, 2025	301	Umass Lowell	W	83-63	96%
Nov 20, 2025	12	Texas Tech	L	66-75	21%
Nov 25, 2025	200	Campbell	W	75-61	89%
Nov 28, 2025	218	Northeastern	W	77-62	90%
Dec 02, 2025	47	Oklahoma	W	73-72	51%
Dec 06, 2025	58	West Virginia	L	66-67	47%
Dec 14, 2025	242	Queens	W	81-65	91%
Dec 17, 2025	202	Longwood	W	80-66	88%
Dec 21, 2025	41	Vanderbilt	L	73-74	46%
Dec 31, 2025	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	65-73	24%
Jan 03, 2026	76	Virginia Tech	W	70-66	65%
Jan 07, 2026	55	Miami (FL)	W	73-71	56%
Jan 10, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	70-80	22%
Jan 17, 2026	75	@ Florida St.	L	71-73	44%
Jan 20, 2026	46	SMU	L	72-73	50%
Jan 24, 2026	3	@ Duke	L	61-78	8%
Jan 27, 2026	80	@ Pittsburgh	L	69-70	46%
Jan 31, 2026	31	North Carolina St.	L	68-70	42%
Feb 07, 2026	10	Louisville	L	70-76	29%
Feb 11, 2026	79	@ Georgia Tech	L	71-72	47%
Feb 14, 2026	99	Stanford	W	72-66	70%
Feb 18, 2026	42	Clemson	L	66-67	47%
Feb 21, 2026	76	@ Virginia Tech	L	67-69	44%
Feb 24, 2026	96	@ Boston College	W	71-70	51%
Feb 28, 2026	64	Syracuse	W	74-71	58%
Mar 03, 2026	44	@ Virginia	L	61-67	29%
Mar 07, 2026	91	California	W	74-68	69%
Projected Record						16 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	0.6	0.1				3.0	2nd
3rd												0.2	1.2	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0				3.9	3rd
4th											0.1	1.0	2.3	1.3	0.1						4.8	4th
5th										0.1	0.8	2.8	1.5	0.2							5.4	5th
6th										0.3	2.5	2.4	0.5	0.0							5.7	6th
7th									0.1	1.5	3.6	1.3	0.1								6.5	7th
8th									0.6	3.5	2.5	0.2									6.8	8th
9th								0.2	2.1	3.9	0.7	0.0									6.8	9th
10th							0.0	1.2	4.2	1.7	0.1										7.1	10th
11th							0.4	3.1	3.3	0.5											7.3	11th
12th						0.0	1.5	4.0	1.3	0.1											6.9	12th
13th					0.0	0.6	3.3	2.3	0.2												6.4	13th
14th				0.0	0.2	2.3	3.4	0.6													6.5	14th
15th				0.1	1.4	3.4	1.3	0.0													6.2	15th
16th			0.0	0.8	2.6	2.1	0.2														5.9	16th
17th	0.0	0.1	0.6	2.1	1.9	0.3	0.0														5.1	17th
18th	0.2	0.9	1.3	1.2	0.4	0.0															4.1	18th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.0	4.2	6.6	8.8	10.2	11.3	11.8	11.6	10.3	8.0	5.7	4.2	2.5	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.1
16-2	70.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1
15-3	46.9%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	15.0%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	2.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.5		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.1%		100.0%	36.7%	63.3%	2.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	0.4%		100.0%	17.7%	82.3%	3.6		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	1.2%		98.9%	13.0%	85.8%	4.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		98.7%
14-4	2.5%		97.7%	8.1%	89.6%	6.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		97.5%
13-5	4.2%		91.2%	8.3%	83.0%	7.5				0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.1						0.4		90.4%
12-6	5.7%		77.6%	3.9%	73.7%	8.5				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.0					1.3		76.7%
11-7	8.0%		60.2%	1.8%	58.3%	9.2					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.6	0.8	0.0					3.2		59.4%
10-8	10.3%		34.9%	0.9%	34.0%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.5	0.9	0.0					6.7		34.3%
9-9	11.6%		17.6%	0.4%	17.2%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.8	0.0					9.5		17.3%
8-10	11.8%		5.6%	0.4%	5.2%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.0					11.1		5.2%
7-11	11.3%		0.9%		0.9%	10.9									0.0			0.1	0.0					11.2		0.9%
6-12	10.2%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						10.2		0.1%
5-13	8.8%																							8.8
4-14	6.6%																							6.6
3-15	4.2%																							4.2
2-16	2.0%																							2.0
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		23.6%	1.4%	22.2%	8.4		0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.2	1.9	2.4	3.4	4.0	5.8	3.3	0.1					76.4		22.5%