IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.1	#155
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.6	#79
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#130

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#202

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.2%	28.0%	19.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.6	14.3

.500 or above	73.4%	80.9%	56.7%
.500 or above in Conference	87.2%	90.1%	80.8%
Conference Champion	34.7%	39.0%	25.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	1.0%	2.7%

First Four	1.7%	1.3%	2.7%
First Round	25.1%	28.0%	18.8%
Second Round	1.7%	2.1%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Neutral) - 68.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 5	4 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 4	18 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	258	Merrimack	W	70-65	69%
Nov 09, 2025	112	@ Northern Iowa	L	67-74	27%
Nov 12, 2025	28	@ Oregon	L	66-83	6%
Nov 21, 2025	283	Georgia St.	W	82-72	81%
Nov 25, 2025	118	Utah Valley	L	72-75	40%
Nov 26, 2025	92	UC Irvine	L	71-77	31%
Dec 03, 2025	254	@ Northern Arizona	W	75-73	57%
Dec 06, 2025	239	Idaho	W	78-71	74%
Dec 09, 2025	247	@ Ball St.	W	75-73	55%
Dec 15, 2025	157	Wyoming	W	70-69	50%
Dec 19, 2025	216	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	77-74	61%
Dec 29, 2025	11	@ Arizona	L	68-89	4%
Jan 01, 2026	177	Nebraska Omaha	W	78-74	64%
Jan 03, 2026	315	@ North Dakota	W	80-74	69%
Jan 08, 2026	322	Denver	W	79-66	86%
Jan 14, 2026	215	@ North Dakota St.	W	73-72	50%
Jan 17, 2026	300	UMKC	W	74-63	82%
Jan 22, 2026	149	@ St. Thomas	L	74-77	39%
Jan 28, 2026	177	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	75-77	45%
Jan 31, 2026	318	Oral Roberts	W	81-69	83%
Feb 04, 2026	149	St. Thomas	W	77-74	59%
Feb 07, 2026	294	South Dakota	W	91-80	81%
Feb 12, 2026	322	@ Denver	W	76-69	71%
Feb 14, 2026	318	@ Oral Roberts	W	78-72	69%
Feb 18, 2026	215	North Dakota St.	W	76-70	69%
Feb 21, 2026	315	North Dakota	W	83-71	83%
Feb 26, 2026	300	@ UMKC	W	71-66	65%
Feb 28, 2026	294	@ South Dakota	W	88-83	64%
Projected Record						16 - 12	11 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	2.1	6.3	9.5	8.9	5.5	2.0		34.7	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	4.1	7.4	6.9	3.1	0.7				23.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	4.2	6.1	3.8	0.7	0.0					15.5	3rd
4th								0.6	3.4	4.3	1.8	0.2							10.4	4th
5th						0.0	0.5	2.6	2.9	0.9	0.0								6.9	5th
6th					0.0	0.3	1.6	2.0	0.5	0.0									4.4	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	1.0	1.1	0.3											2.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.2												1.6	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0												0.8	9th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.0	2.0	3.3	5.6	7.4	10.2	12.4	13.6	13.9	12.6	9.5	5.5	2.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	2.0		2.0
15-1	100.0%	5.5		5.4	0.1
14-2	93.2%	8.9		7.7	1.2	0.0
13-3	75.3%	9.5		6.7	2.6	0.1
12-4	45.1%	6.3		2.8	2.8	0.6	0.1
11-5	15.8%	2.1		0.5	1.0	0.5	0.1
10-6	2.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0		0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	34.7%	34.7		25.1	7.9	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	2.0%		63.8%	63.8%		11.6					0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1			0.7
15-1	5.5%		58.2%	58.2%		12.4											0.0	0.4	1.5	1.0	0.3	0.0		2.3
14-2	9.5%		46.3%	46.3%		13.1												0.2	1.2	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	5.1
13-3	12.6%		39.2%	39.2%		13.6												0.0	0.7	1.7	1.7	0.7	0.1	7.7
12-4	13.9%		30.5%	30.5%		14.3													0.2	1.1	1.6	1.1	0.3	9.6
11-5	13.6%		21.4%	21.4%		15.4													0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	0.5	10.7
10-6	12.4%		15.4%	15.4%		16.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.6	10.5
9-7	10.2%		11.3%	11.3%		17.3														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	9.1
8-8	7.4%		8.8%	8.8%		17.2															0.0	0.2	0.5	6.8
7-9	5.6%		4.1%	4.1%		17.8																0.0	0.2	5.4
6-10	3.3%		4.9%	4.9%		17.4																0.0	0.2	3.2
5-11	2.0%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
4-12	1.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
3-13	0.6%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.6
2-14	0.2%																							0.2
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		25.2%	25.2%	0.0%	14.1					0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	4.2	6.2	6.2	4.9	3.2	74.8		0.0%