IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.6	#280
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.4	#351
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.5%	16.5%	9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.0	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	47.0%	66.8%	39.2%
.500 or above in Conference	65.0%	76.9%	60.3%
Conference Champion	13.8%	20.9%	11.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.0%	2.9%	7.3%

First Four	5.0%	5.3%	4.9%
First Round	10.4%	15.6%	8.3%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Away) - 28.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 10	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	218	@ Northeastern	L	62-68	28%
Nov 07, 2025	72	@ Northwestern	L	54-71	6%
Nov 12, 2025	169	Brown	L	61-64	40%
Nov 15, 2025	258	Merrimack	W	61-59	56%
Nov 18, 2025	267	@ Columbia	L	69-73	37%
Nov 22, 2025	178	Harvard	L	61-66	32%
Nov 25, 2025	90	@ Penn St.	L	60-75	9%
Nov 29, 2025	266	@ Northern Kentucky	L	61-65	37%
Dec 06, 2025	356	@ New Hampshire	W	67-63	63%
Dec 10, 2025	285	Maine	W	64-60	62%
Dec 13, 2025	229	@ Dartmouth	L	64-70	31%
Dec 21, 2025	301	Umass Lowell	W	70-66	64%
Dec 31, 2025	230	@ Navy	L	62-68	31%
Jan 03, 2026	303	American	W	64-59	65%
Jan 07, 2026	308	@ Lafayette	L	62-63	45%
Jan 10, 2026	353	Army	W	70-61	79%
Jan 14, 2026	302	Lehigh	W	67-63	65%
Jan 17, 2026	316	@ Loyola Maryland	L	64-65	47%
Jan 21, 2026	308	Lafayette	W	65-60	66%
Jan 24, 2026	227	@ Colgate	L	63-69	31%
Jan 28, 2026	230	Navy	W	66-65	50%
Jan 31, 2026	286	@ Bucknell	L	64-66	42%
Feb 02, 2026	346	@ Holy Cross	W	66-64	58%
Feb 07, 2026	316	Loyola Maryland	W	67-62	66%
Feb 11, 2026	353	@ Army	W	67-64	61%
Feb 14, 2026	286	Bucknell	W	67-63	61%
Feb 16, 2026	227	Colgate	W	66-65	50%
Feb 21, 2026	302	@ Lehigh	L	64-66	44%
Feb 25, 2026	346	Holy Cross	W	69-61	75%
Feb 28, 2026	303	@ American	L	61-62	45%
Projected Record						14 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.8	2.4	3.7	3.5	2.2	1.0	0.2		13.8	1st
2nd											0.2	1.9	4.2	4.6	2.4	0.8	0.1				14.1	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	2.5	4.8	4.0	1.3	0.2						13.0	3rd
4th									0.3	2.4	5.0	3.3	0.8	0.0	0.0						11.8	4th
5th								0.2	2.2	5.3	3.2	0.5	0.0								11.4	5th
6th							0.2	2.1	4.9	2.6	0.5	0.0									10.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.8	2.4	0.4	0.0										8.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.9	3.1	1.7	0.3	0.0											7.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.2	1.2	0.2	0.0												5.8	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	1.1	0.4	0.1														3.6	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	3.0	4.8	6.3	8.0	10.1	10.8	11.4	10.6	9.8	8.2	6.3	4.3	2.3	1.0	0.2			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
16-2	96.6%	2.2		2.0	0.2
15-3	82.2%	3.5		2.7	0.8	0.0
14-4	58.4%	3.7		2.0	1.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	28.9%	2.4		0.8	1.1	0.4	0.0
12-6	7.9%	0.8		0.1	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.8%	13.8		8.9	3.9	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		51.7%	51.7%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.1
17-1	1.0%		58.4%	58.4%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1		0.4
16-2	2.3%		42.0%	42.0%		14.7													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	1.3
15-3	4.3%		36.7%	36.7%		16.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	2.7
14-4	6.3%		27.1%	27.1%		17.2													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	4.6
13-5	8.2%		21.0%	21.0%		18.3														0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	6.5
12-6	9.8%		16.2%	16.2%		18.0															0.0	0.4	1.4	8.2
11-7	10.6%		10.2%	10.2%		18.2															0.0	0.2	1.1	9.5
10-8	11.4%		7.9%	7.9%		18.4																0.1	1.0	10.5
9-9	10.8%		5.5%	5.5%		16.7																0.0	0.6	10.2
8-10	10.1%		3.5%	3.5%		16.3																	0.4	9.8
7-11	8.0%		1.9%	1.9%		16.7																	0.2	7.9
6-12	6.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
5-13	4.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
4-14	3.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	17.0												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	3.2	7.3	88.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%