IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#283
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#76
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.5	#244

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	1.9%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.8	14.4

.500 or above	14.4%	23.7%	8.2%
.500 or above in Conference	27.5%	36.5%	21.6%
Conference Champion	1.6%	2.5%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	16.9%	12.0%	20.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	1.2%	1.9%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 8	3 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 7	10 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	292	@ Eastern Michigan	L	74-77	40%
Nov 07, 2025	45	@ Cincinnati	L	59-81	2%
Nov 10, 2025	263	Presbyterian	W	71-69	56%
Nov 17, 2025	69	@ Arizona St.	L	66-84	5%
Nov 21, 2025	155	@ South Dakota St.	L	72-82	19%
Nov 25, 2025	171	Samford	L	76-82	30%
Nov 26, 2025	139	New Mexico St.	L	65-73	22%
Dec 02, 2025	246	@ Mercer	L	74-79	32%
Dec 05, 2025	146	@ Kennesaw St.	L	72-83	18%
Dec 13, 2025	154	Jacksonville St.	L	68-72	37%
Dec 18, 2025	243	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-80	32%
Dec 20, 2025	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	62-69	27%
Dec 31, 2025	185	@ Marshall	L	71-79	24%
Jan 03, 2026	274	@ Coastal Carolina	L	68-72	37%
Jan 08, 2026	204	Appalachian St.	L	65-66	44%
Jan 10, 2026	185	Marshall	L	74-76	42%
Jan 17, 2026	347	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	74-72	57%
Jan 22, 2026	276	Southern Miss	W	78-76	59%
Jan 24, 2026	137	Arkansas St.	L	73-79	33%
Jan 29, 2026	233	@ Louisiana	L	69-75	30%
Jan 31, 2026	167	@ South Alabama	L	63-72	22%
Feb 04, 2026	130	Troy	L	68-74	32%
Feb 12, 2026	132	@ James Madison	L	66-78	16%
Feb 14, 2026	195	@ Old Dominion	L	69-77	26%
Feb 19, 2026	243	Georgia Southern	W	78-77	52%
Feb 21, 2026	132	James Madison	L	69-75	32%
Feb 24, 2026	274	Coastal Carolina	W	71-69	57%
Feb 27, 2026	195	Old Dominion	L	72-74	44%
Projected Record						9 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0					3.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0						3.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.0	1.7	0.4	0.0							4.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.2	2.3	0.5	0.0								5.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	1.2	0.0									6.3	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	3.9	2.0	0.1										7.3	8th
9th						0.0	1.0	4.0	3.6	0.5	0.0										9.1	9th
10th					0.0	0.9	3.6	4.3	0.9	0.0											9.7	10th
11th				0.0	0.8	3.5	5.1	1.5	0.1												11.2	11th
12th			0.1	1.1	3.9	5.1	2.1	0.2													12.6	12th
13th		0.2	1.9	4.3	4.5	1.9	0.3	0.0													13.0	13th
14th	0.8	2.3	3.2	2.6	1.1	0.2	0.0														10.2	14th

Total	0.8	2.5	5.2	8.1	10.3	11.6	12.1	11.5	10.3	8.7	6.4	5.0	3.4	2.0	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	86.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	78.9%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.6%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.8%	29.8%		12.7													0.0	0.0				0.0
16-2	0.2%		26.8%	26.8%		12.6													0.0	0.0				0.2
15-3	0.5%		24.1%	24.1%		12.9													0.0	0.1	0.0			0.4
14-4	1.2%		21.8%	21.8%		13.7														0.1	0.1	0.0		0.9
13-5	2.0%		12.6%	12.6%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.8
12-6	3.4%		4.9%	4.9%		16.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	3.3
11-7	5.0%		1.8%	1.8%		15.6													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	4.9
10-8	6.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.3													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	6.3
9-9	8.7%		0.3%	0.3%		15.5																0.0	0.0	8.7
8-10	10.3%		0.4%	0.4%		21.0																0.0	0.0	10.3
7-11	11.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	12.1%																							12.1
5-13	11.6%																							11.6
4-14	10.3%																							10.3
3-15	8.1%																							8.1
2-16	5.2%																							5.2
1-17	2.5%																							2.5
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	14.7													0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.2	98.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%