IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.2	#178
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.8	#276
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#218

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.2	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	11.8%	6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.5	14.3

.500 or above	55.7%	58.3%	23.7%
.500 or above in Conference	61.2%	62.8%	41.2%
Conference Champion	12.9%	13.6%	4.6%
Last Place in Conference	10.0%	9.1%	21.3%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.9%
First Round	11.5%	11.9%	6.5%
Second Round	0.9%	0.9%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 4	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2025	356	New Hampshire	W	76-61	92%
Nov 11, 2025	218	Northeastern	W	71-66	67%
Nov 15, 2025	353	@ Army	W	73-64	78%
Nov 16, 2025	237	@ Marist	L	61-62	50%
Nov 19, 2025	90	@ Penn St.	L	66-76	18%
Nov 22, 2025	280	Boston University	W	66-61	68%
Nov 26, 2025	96	@ Boston College	L	63-73	20%
Nov 29, 2025	248	Bryant	W	77-71	71%
Dec 03, 2025	170	@ Massachusetts	L	69-72	39%
Dec 06, 2025	142	@ Furman	L	65-71	32%
Dec 20, 2025	346	Holy Cross	W	75-61	88%
Dec 23, 2025	8	@ St. John's	L	59-82	3%
Dec 28, 2025	227	@ Colgate	L	68-69	48%
Jan 05, 2026	229	Dartmouth	W	73-67	68%
Jan 10, 2026	267	@ Columbia	W	75-74	55%
Jan 17, 2026	179	Princeton	W	69-66	60%
Jan 19, 2026	278	Penn	W	74-66	75%
Jan 24, 2026	165	Cornell	W	76-74	58%
Jan 30, 2026	169	@ Brown	L	64-67	38%
Jan 31, 2026	97	@ Yale	L	64-74	21%
Feb 07, 2026	229	@ Dartmouth	L	70-71	48%
Feb 13, 2026	169	Brown	W	67-64	57%
Feb 14, 2026	97	Yale	L	67-71	38%
Feb 21, 2026	165	@ Cornell	L	73-77	38%
Feb 27, 2026	179	@ Princeton	L	66-69	40%
Feb 28, 2026	278	@ Penn	W	71-69	57%
Mar 07, 2026	267	Columbia	W	78-71	73%
Projected Record						14 - 13	7 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.7	2.7	4.3	3.2	1.6	0.4		12.9	1st
2nd								0.1	2.0	5.5	5.6	2.4	0.4				16.0	2nd
3rd							0.2	2.9	7.0	5.3	1.0	0.1					16.5	3rd
4th						0.2	2.8	7.4	4.3	0.6							15.2	4th
5th					0.3	2.7	6.6	3.1	0.4								13.0	5th
6th				0.4	2.5	5.6	2.7	0.2									11.5	6th
7th		0.0	0.7	2.4	3.9	1.7	0.1										8.8	7th
8th	0.3	1.0	1.9	1.9	0.8	0.1											6.0	8th

Total	0.3	1.0	2.6	4.7	7.4	10.3	12.4	13.8	13.7	12.1	9.3	6.8	3.6	1.6	0.4			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
13-1	100.0%	1.6		1.4	0.1
12-2	88.9%	3.2		2.5	0.6	0.0
11-3	64.0%	4.3		2.3	1.8	0.2	0.0
10-4	28.5%	2.7		0.9	1.3	0.4	0.0
9-5	6.0%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	12.9%	12.9		7.6	4.1	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.4%		53.8%	53.8%		11.3								0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
13-1	1.6%		52.3%	51.8%	0.5%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0			0.7		0.9%
12-2	3.6%		40.4%	40.4%		12.4											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.1
11-3	6.8%		31.4%	31.4%		13.0												0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.1		4.6
10-4	9.3%		25.8%	25.8%		13.7												0.0	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.1	6.9
9-5	12.1%		17.7%	17.7%		14.4													0.1	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.2	10.0
8-6	13.7%		11.5%	11.5%		15.4													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.3	12.1
7-7	13.8%		4.6%	4.6%		17.1														0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	13.1
6-8	12.4%		0.5%	0.5%		21.9																0.0	0.1	12.4
5-9	10.3%																							10.3
4-10	7.4%																							7.4
3-11	4.7%																							4.7
2-12	2.6%																							2.6
1-13	1.0%																							1.0
0-14	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	13.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	2.0	3.3	2.9	1.8	1.0	88.6		0.0%