IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#239
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#231
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#159

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#308

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.6%	14.1%	7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.0	14.7

.500 or above	37.8%	60.5%	32.6%
.500 or above in Conference	56.7%	71.8%	53.3%
Conference Champion	10.6%	17.3%	9.0%
Last Place in Conference	9.3%	3.7%	10.6%

First Four	1.4%	1.0%	1.5%
First Round	8.4%	14.1%	7.1%
Second Round	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 18.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 6	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	128	@ Washington St.	L	72-81	19%
Nov 12, 2025	180	@ San Diego	L	74-80	29%
Nov 15, 2025	119	@ UC San Diego	L	65-75	19%
Nov 26, 2025	176	Cal St. Northridge	L	76-79	39%
Nov 28, 2025	199	Sam Houston St.	L	72-74	42%
Dec 03, 2025	315	North Dakota	W	79-71	75%
Dec 06, 2025	155	@ South Dakota St.	L	71-78	26%
Dec 10, 2025	63	@ Notre Dame	L	61-77	7%
Dec 21, 2025	253	@ Cal Poly	L	80-82	42%
Dec 23, 2025	234	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	69-72	39%
Jan 03, 2026	259	Eastern Washington	W	75-71	64%
Jan 08, 2026	183	Montana	W	73-72	51%
Jan 10, 2026	147	Montana St.	L	69-71	43%
Jan 14, 2026	287	Idaho St.	W	73-67	69%
Jan 17, 2026	281	@ Weber St.	L	69-70	48%
Jan 22, 2026	279	Sacramento St.	W	72-67	67%
Jan 24, 2026	217	Portland St.	W	72-70	56%
Jan 29, 2026	194	@ Northern Colorado	L	72-77	34%
Jan 31, 2026	254	@ Northern Arizona	L	71-73	42%
Feb 05, 2026	147	@ Montana St.	L	66-74	26%
Feb 07, 2026	183	@ Montana	L	70-76	32%
Feb 12, 2026	281	Weber St.	W	72-67	68%
Feb 14, 2026	287	Idaho St.	W	73-67	68%
Feb 19, 2026	217	@ Portland St.	L	69-73	37%
Feb 21, 2026	279	@ Sacramento St.	L	69-70	48%
Feb 26, 2026	254	Northern Arizona	W	74-70	62%
Feb 28, 2026	194	Northern Colorado	W	75-74	53%
Mar 02, 2026	259	@ Eastern Washington	L	72-74	44%
Projected Record						12 - 16	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.2	0.8	1.9	2.7	2.6	1.6	0.7	0.1		10.6	1st
2nd											0.2	1.7	3.5	3.4	1.8	0.5	0.0				11.2	2nd
3rd										0.4	2.2	4.4	3.4	1.0	0.1	0.0					11.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	5.1	3.0	0.6	0.0							11.1	4th
5th								0.2	2.6	5.1	2.9	0.5	0.0								11.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.2	4.9	3.1	0.5	0.0									11.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.2	4.7	2.4	0.3	0.0										10.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.2	4.1	2.5	0.3												9.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.8	2.1	2.9	1.5	0.3	0.0												7.8	9th
10th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.9	1.4	0.6	0.1														5.8	10th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.7	3.9	6.2	8.2	9.8	10.5	11.0	10.9	9.8	8.4	6.4	4.7	3.2	1.6	0.7	0.1			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.7		0.7	0.0
16-2	97.0%	1.6		1.4	0.2
15-3	83.8%	2.6		2.0	0.6	0.0
14-4	58.3%	2.7		1.5	1.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	29.6%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0
12-6	9.1%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2
11-7	1.6%	0.2			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	10.6%	10.6		6.6	3.0	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		45.9%	45.9%		11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.7%		42.6%	42.6%		12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4
16-2	1.6%		45.0%	45.0%		12.8												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.9
15-3	3.2%		31.9%	31.9%		13.7													0.1	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.2
14-4	4.7%		26.1%	26.1%		14.3													0.1	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	3.5
13-5	6.4%		19.1%	19.1%		14.9													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.1	5.2
12-6	8.4%		14.1%	14.1%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	7.2
11-7	9.8%		11.8%	11.8%		17.3														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	8.6
10-8	10.9%		5.7%	5.7%		16.5															0.1	0.2	0.4	10.2
9-9	11.0%		5.0%	5.0%		17.3															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.5
8-10	10.5%		2.4%	2.4%		17.1																0.0	0.2	10.2
7-11	9.8%		2.1%	2.1%		16.5																0.0	0.2	9.6
6-12	8.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.1
5-13	6.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
4-14	3.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.9
3-15	2.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.6%	8.6%	0.0%	15.2											0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.0	2.5	2.3	91.4		0.0%