IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.2	#329
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.2	#207
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#291

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.8%	29.9%	13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.3	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	24.5%	67.1%	24.2%
.500 or above in Conference	65.3%	86.2%	65.2%
Conference Champion	20.9%	40.4%	20.8%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	2.1%	6.4%

First Four	10.7%	13.9%	10.7%
First Round	9.2%	23.6%	9.1%
Second Round	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 2	0 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 8	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	31	@ North Carolina St.	L	56-83	1%
Nov 07, 2025	44	@ Virginia	L	52-77	1%
Nov 09, 2025	204	@ Appalachian St.	L	58-69	16%
Nov 14, 2025	23	@ North Carolina	L	62-90	1%
Nov 22, 2025	65	@ Dayton	L	59-81	2%
Nov 25, 2025	332	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	76-79	40%
Dec 03, 2025	132	@ James Madison	L	62-77	9%
Dec 06, 2025	349	N.C. A&T	W	75-70	68%
Dec 09, 2025	7	@ Kentucky	L	60-92	0.2%
Dec 20, 2025	202	Longwood	L	71-76	35%
Dec 29, 2025	90	@ Penn St.	L	64-83	5%
Jan 03, 2026	260	Norfolk St.	L	69-71	43%
Jan 10, 2026	361	@ Coppin St.	W	70-67	59%
Jan 12, 2026	358	@ Morgan St.	W	76-75	55%
Jan 17, 2026	328	Howard	W	76-73	59%
Jan 24, 2026	341	Delaware St.	W	76-72	64%
Jan 26, 2026	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	73-64	76%
Jan 31, 2026	312	@ South Carolina St.	L	69-74	35%
Feb 07, 2026	260	@ Norfolk St.	L	66-74	26%
Feb 14, 2026	361	Coppin St.	W	73-64	76%
Feb 16, 2026	358	Morgan St.	W	79-72	73%
Feb 21, 2026	328	@ Howard	L	73-76	40%
Feb 28, 2026	341	@ Delaware St.	L	73-75	44%
Mar 02, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	70-67	58%
Mar 05, 2026	312	South Carolina St.	W	72-71	55%
Projected Record						9 - 16	8 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.5	2.8	5.1	5.6	4.4	1.9	0.6		20.9	1st
2nd							0.0	1.3	5.7	8.2	5.3	2.3	0.3				23.2	2nd
3rd						0.1	1.6	6.3	6.2	2.1	0.4	0.0					16.7	3rd
4th					0.0	1.2	6.1	4.8	0.9	0.0							13.0	4th
5th				0.0	0.7	4.6	3.9	0.5									9.8	5th
6th			0.0	0.6	3.3	3.3	0.5	0.0									7.7	6th
7th		0.1	0.6	2.1	2.1	0.5	0.0										5.2	7th
8th	0.1	0.7	1.5	1.0	0.2												3.5	8th

Total	0.1	0.7	2.1	3.7	6.3	9.6	12.2	13.0	13.2	13.2	10.8	7.9	4.7	1.9	0.6			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
13-1	100.0%	1.9		1.9	0.1
12-2	93.6%	4.4		3.8	0.6
11-3	71.1%	5.6		4.1	1.5	0.1
10-4	47.3%	5.1		2.8	2.0	0.3	0.0
9-5	21.0%	2.8		0.7	1.3	0.7	0.1
8-6	3.4%	0.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
7-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0

Total	20.9%	20.9		13.9	5.6	1.2	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.6%		63.0%	63.0%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2
13-1	1.9%		47.5%	47.5%		17.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	1.0
12-2	4.7%		41.6%	41.6%		18.3														0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.8
11-3	7.9%		31.3%	31.3%		18.0														0.0	0.0	0.4	2.4	5.4
10-4	10.8%		23.2%	23.2%		17.5																0.1	2.6	8.3
9-5	13.2%		16.1%	16.1%		16.7																0.0	2.2	11.1
8-6	13.2%		12.6%	12.6%		16.6																	1.7	11.5
7-7	13.0%		6.7%	6.7%		16.1																	0.9	12.1
6-8	12.2%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.5	11.7
5-9	9.6%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.3	9.3
4-10	6.3%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
3-11	3.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
2-12	2.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
1-13	0.7%																							0.7
0-14	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		13.8%	13.8%	0.0%	17.3													0.0	0.1	0.4	1.7	12.9	86.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%