IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#260
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#232
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	35.6%	40.4%	29.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.2	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	62.9%	75.2%	47.8%
.500 or above in Conference	90.5%	93.8%	86.4%
Conference Champion	57.0%	63.2%	49.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.2%	0.5%	2.2%

First Four	20.7%	20.4%	21.2%
First Round	29.0%	34.5%	22.4%
Second Round	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 6	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	226	William & Mary	W	76-75	55%
Nov 11, 2025	195	@ Old Dominion	L	66-72	28%
Nov 14, 2025	136	@ Towson	L	61-71	18%
Nov 21, 2025	235	Hampton	W	68-66	56%
Nov 23, 2025	157	@ Wyoming	L	62-70	23%
Nov 29, 2025	11	@ Arizona	L	61-87	1%
Dec 06, 2025	132	@ James Madison	L	63-73	19%
Dec 10, 2025	24	@ Baylor	L	56-80	2%
Dec 18, 2025	284	Grambling St.	W	65-63	56%
Dec 19, 2025	238	Jackson St.	L	70-71	46%
Dec 21, 2025	160	@ UTEP	L	65-73	25%
Dec 28, 2025	233	@ Louisiana	L	66-70	36%
Jan 03, 2026	329	@ NC Central	W	71-69	57%
Jan 10, 2026	341	@ Delaware St.	W	74-71	60%
Jan 12, 2026	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	74-61	87%
Jan 17, 2026	312	@ South Carolina St.	W	71-70	51%
Jan 24, 2026	361	Coppin St.	W	74-60	87%
Jan 26, 2026	358	Morgan St.	W	79-67	84%
Jan 31, 2026	328	@ Howard	W	74-72	55%
Feb 07, 2026	329	NC Central	W	74-66	74%
Feb 14, 2026	341	Delaware St.	W	77-68	77%
Feb 16, 2026	360	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	71-64	73%
Feb 21, 2026	312	South Carolina St.	W	73-67	70%
Feb 28, 2026	361	@ Coppin St.	W	71-63	73%
Mar 02, 2026	358	@ Morgan St.	W	76-70	70%
Mar 05, 2026	328	Howard	W	77-69	74%
Projected Record						14 - 12	10 - 4

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st								0.0	0.7	4.2	10.1	13.5	14.2	9.9	4.4		57.0	1st
2nd							0.0	0.7	4.3	7.5	5.6	2.4	0.4				20.9	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.4	3.2	4.3	1.6	0.2	0.0					9.7	3rd
4th						0.2	2.1	2.5	0.5	0.0							5.3	4th
5th					0.2	1.2	1.7	0.3	0.0								3.3	5th
6th				0.1	0.6	1.1	0.2	0.0									2.0	6th
7th			0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2											1.2	7th
8th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1												0.6	8th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.7	4.4	6.7	9.8	13.3	16.0	15.9	14.6	9.9	4.4			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	4.4		4.4
13-1	100.0%	9.9		9.7	0.1
12-2	97.1%	14.2		13.0	1.2
11-3	85.0%	13.5		11.0	2.5	0.1
10-4	63.2%	10.1		6.1	3.6	0.4	0.0
9-5	31.6%	4.2		1.2	2.0	0.9	0.1
8-6	7.0%	0.7		0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
7-7	0.4%	0.0					0.0	0.0

Total	57.0%	57.0		45.4	9.7	1.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	4.4%		71.1%	71.1%		15.0												0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.5	1.3
13-1	9.9%		61.1%	61.1%		17.0													0.1	0.3	1.0	2.4	3.0	3.8
12-2	14.6%		51.4%	51.4%		18.0													0.0	0.1	0.5	2.4	5.7	7.1
11-3	15.9%		43.6%	43.6%		18.0														0.0	0.1	1.3	6.4	9.0
10-4	16.0%		33.7%	33.7%		17.6															0.0	0.5	5.5	10.6
9-5	13.3%		25.1%	25.1%		16.9																0.1	3.4	9.9
8-6	9.8%		17.5%	17.5%		16.3																0.0	1.7	8.1
7-7	6.7%		13.1%	13.1%		16.0																	0.9	5.8
6-8	4.4%		10.3%	10.3%		16.0																	0.5	3.9
5-9	2.7%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																	0.2	2.5
4-10	1.4%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.1	1.4
3-11	0.7%		6.1%	6.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.6
2-12	0.2%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
1-13	0.1%																							0.1
0-14	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		35.6%	35.6%	0.0%	17.2												0.1	0.2	0.9	2.7	7.7	27.9	64.4		0.0%