Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#218
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.5#169
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 5.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 44.9% 52.3% 25.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 55.9% 37.9%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.4% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 4.8% 9.2%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round4.7% 5.6% 2.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 74 - 10
Quad 410 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 280   Boston University W 68-62 72%    
  Nov 07, 2025 227   @ Colgate L 70-72 40%    
  Nov 11, 2025 178   @ Harvard L 66-71 33%    
  Nov 15, 2025 207   Vermont W 65-63 58%    
  Nov 20, 2025 179   @ Princeton L 67-72 33%    
  Nov 22, 2025 116   Duquesne L 64-70 28%    
  Nov 28, 2025 67   @ Wake Forest L 62-77 10%    
  Dec 03, 2025 346   @ Holy Cross W 73-67 69%    
  Dec 07, 2025 305   Central Connecticut St. W 70-62 76%    
  Dec 20, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 66-81 9%    
  Dec 29, 2025 224   @ Elon L 67-70 41%    
  Dec 31, 2025 349   @ N.C. A&T W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 03, 2026 200   @ Campbell L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 08, 2026 120   UNC Wilmington L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 10, 2026 136   Towson L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 15, 2026 224   Elon W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 17, 2026 210   @ Monmouth L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 17, 2026 225   @ Drexel L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 22, 2026 298   Stony Brook W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 31, 2026 123   College of Charleston L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 05, 2026 182   @ Hofstra L 62-67 35%    
  Feb 07, 2026 298   @ Stony Brook W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 12, 2026 226   William & Mary W 78-75 61%    
  Feb 19, 2026 225   Drexel W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 21, 2026 182   Hofstra W 65-64 55%    
  Feb 26, 2026 226   @ William & Mary L 75-78 42%    
  Feb 28, 2026 235   @ Hampton L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 03, 2026 210   Monmouth W 72-69 59%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.1 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.1 2.4 0.4 8.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.1 0.9 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.2 1.4 0.1 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.5 1.8 0.1 9.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.2 0.2 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.2 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 3.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.0 7.3 8.8 11.0 11.5 11.8 10.8 9.5 7.3 5.4 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 68.0% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1
14-4 42.0% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.1% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 35.1% 35.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 39.3% 39.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.9% 26.5% 26.5% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.6% 21.4% 21.4% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.8
13-5 5.4% 16.0% 16.0% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.5
12-6 7.3% 11.1% 11.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.4
11-7 9.5% 6.3% 6.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.9
10-8 10.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.3
9-9 11.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 11.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.3
7-11 11.0% 0.6% 0.6% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.9
6-12 8.8% 0.6% 0.6% 17.9 0.0 0.1 8.8
5-13 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 95.2 0.0%