IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.2	#116
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.6	#298
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#141

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.4	#107

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.7%	4.8%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.0%	1.0%	0.1%
Average Seed	10.6	10.6	11.9

.500 or above	63.9%	65.9%	30.6%
.500 or above in Conference	40.5%	41.7%	20.7%
Conference Champion	3.3%	3.4%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	8.4%	21.3%

First Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
First Round	4.4%	4.6%	1.7%
Second Round	1.2%	1.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 4	8 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 1	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	333	Niagara	W	73-56	94%
Nov 07, 2025	251	Sacred Heart	W	78-67	84%
Nov 11, 2025	242	Queens	W	76-65	83%
Nov 15, 2025	39	@ Villanova	L	57-70	13%
Nov 19, 2025	316	Loyola Maryland	W	74-59	91%
Nov 22, 2025	218	Northeastern	W	70-64	72%
Dec 02, 2025	226	William & Mary	W	79-69	81%
Dec 06, 2025	298	Stony Brook	W	73-59	89%
Dec 10, 2025	62	@ Boise St.	L	62-71	21%
Dec 13, 2025	104	@ Nevada	L	61-66	34%
Dec 22, 2025	352	Canisius	W	76-57	95%
Dec 30, 2025	145	@ Davidson	L	66-67	48%
Jan 03, 2026	60	Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-67	39%
Jan 07, 2026	110	@ Saint Joseph's	L	65-69	37%
Jan 13, 2026	65	Dayton	L	65-68	40%
Jan 17, 2026	163	@ Fordham	W	72-71	52%
Jan 20, 2026	70	Saint Louis	L	67-69	43%
Jan 24, 2026	94	@ Loyola Chicago	L	64-69	32%
Jan 28, 2026	124	St. Bonaventure	W	66-62	62%
Feb 01, 2026	143	Rhode Island	W	73-68	67%
Feb 04, 2026	101	@ George Mason	L	61-66	34%
Feb 07, 2026	85	George Washington	L	68-69	48%
Feb 14, 2026	124	@ St. Bonaventure	L	63-65	43%
Feb 18, 2026	187	La Salle	W	73-65	75%
Feb 21, 2026	65	@ Dayton	L	62-71	24%
Feb 28, 2026	70	@ Saint Louis	L	64-72	25%
Mar 04, 2026	143	@ Rhode Island	L	70-71	47%
Mar 07, 2026	131	Richmond	W	66-62	64%
Projected Record						15 - 13	8 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.1			3.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.2	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0				4.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	1.8	2.5	1.1	0.1	0.0					6.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.0	3.3	1.1	0.1	0.0						6.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.9	3.7	1.9	0.2								7.8	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.0	2.7	0.3	0.0								8.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	4.2	3.5	0.7	0.0									9.2	7th
8th							0.3	2.9	4.5	1.1	0.0										8.9	8th
9th						0.2	2.1	4.7	1.9	0.1											9.0	9th
10th					0.1	1.3	4.5	2.8	0.4	0.0											9.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.7	3.5	3.0	0.7	0.0												8.0	11th
12th			0.1	0.8	2.7	3.1	0.9	0.0													7.6	12th
13th		0.1	0.9	2.4	2.3	1.1	0.1														6.8	13th
14th	0.3	1.0	1.7	1.4	0.6	0.1															5.1	14th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.6	4.7	6.5	9.2	10.9	11.9	12.4	10.9	9.5	7.6	5.2	3.6	2.1	1.1	0.4	0.1				Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	94.8%	0.4		0.3	0.1
15-3	83.4%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	50.4%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	17.2%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0		0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.3%	3.3		1.7	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		90.1%	50.4%	39.7%	5.3				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0								0.0		80.0%
16-2	0.4%		68.3%	38.5%	29.8%	7.6			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		48.5%
15-3	1.1%		52.1%	30.0%	22.0%	9.2					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1						0.5		31.5%
14-4	2.1%		32.2%	19.2%	13.0%	10.2								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0					1.4		16.1%
13-5	3.6%		21.8%	17.3%	4.5%	10.8									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.1					2.8		5.5%
12-6	5.2%		12.0%	10.4%	1.6%	11.2										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.1	0.0				4.6		1.8%
11-7	7.6%		7.7%	7.2%	0.5%	11.3											0.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			7.0		0.5%
10-8	9.5%		4.9%	4.9%		11.7											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			9.0
9-9	10.9%		2.6%	2.6%		11.9												0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			10.6
8-10	12.4%		1.5%	1.5%		12.0												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			12.2
7-11	11.9%		0.7%	0.7%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.8
6-12	10.9%		0.3%	0.3%		13.8													0.0		0.0	0.0		10.9
5-13	9.2%		0.2%	0.2%		15.0																0.0		9.2
4-14	6.5%																							6.5
3-15	4.7%																							4.7
2-16	2.6%																							2.6
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.7%	3.7%	1.0%	10.6			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	2.1	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0		95.3		1.0%